MLB Player Props Prediction: Houston Astros vs Oakland Athletics 7/24

Photo Credit: © Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports

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Game Summary

The Houston Astros (52-49), currently leading the AL West, are set to face the Oakland Athletics (41-62), who sit in fifth place in the division. The game will take place on Wednesday, July 24, 2024, at 3:37 p.m. EDT at the Oakland Coliseum in Oakland, California. The Astros come into the game hoping to snap a three-game losing streak, while the Athletics aim to continue their recent strong performances, having won seven of their last ten games.

Historically, the Astros have dominated the Athletics this season, leading the series 6-3. However, the Athletics have shown resilience, particularly at home, where they hold a 26-26 record. Conversely, the Astros have struggled on the road with a 24-28 record. This matchup will be crucial for both teams as they look to gain momentum in the latter part of the season.

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Player Prop Odds

Yordan Alvarez Player Prop Odds:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+310) / Under 0.5 (-475)
• Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+300) / Under 0.5 (-475)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+130) / Under 0.5 (-175)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-110) / Under 0.5 (-125)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+100) / Under 0.5 (-135)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-105) / Under 1.5 (-130)

Player Analysis

Yordan Alvarez has been a standout performer for the Houston Astros this season. With a batting average of .304, he has accumulated 24 doubles, two triples, 20 home runs, and 54 RBIs. Alvarez's ability to hit for power and average makes him a constant threat in the lineup. Over the past ten games, he has maintained a productive form, contributing significantly to the team's offense.

Alvarez's propensity to hit doubles and home runs is noteworthy, making the prop bets for extra-base hits particularly enticing. His consistency in driving in runs and scoring adds further value to the RBI and runs scored props.

Opposing Analysis

The Athletics will rely on JP Sears to counter Alvarez and the Astros' offense. Sears has a 7-7 record with a 4.49 ERA and 80 strikeouts in 106.1 innings pitched. While he has shown flashes of brilliance, Sears has struggled with consistency, particularly against power hitters. The Athletics' bullpen has been solid but not spectacular, which could provide opportunities for Alvarez to capitalize on any mistakes.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	WHIP	Strikeouts
Hunter Brown (HOU)	8-6	4.14	1.36	110
JP Sears (OAK)	7-7	4.49	1.28	80

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Team Previews

Houston Astros

Hitting: The Astros have struggled offensively, ranking 28th in the league with a .230 batting average. However, they have managed to score 420 runs, placing them in the middle of the pack. Yordan Alvarez has been the key contributor, supported by Jake Meyers and other role players.

Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been a weak spot, with only 18 saves, placing them near the bottom of the league. The team will need their relievers to step up to secure close games.

Fielding: The Astros have committed 62 errors this season, tied for 4th most in the league. Improved defense will be crucial in their bid for a playoff spot.

Starting Pitchers: Hunter Brown has been the standout in the rotation, although his 4.14 ERA indicates room for improvement. Getting quality starts will be essential for the Astros' success.

Oakland Athletics

Hitting: The Athletics have been more productive offensively, ranking 1st with a .261 batting average and 10th in runs scored with 468. Brent Rooker and Lawrence Butler have been key contributors.

Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been reliable, recording 25 saves and helping secure wins in close games.

Fielding: The Athletics have committed 42 errors, ranking them 28th in the league. Their solid defense has been a key factor in their home success.

Starting Pitchers: JP Sears has had an up-and-down season, with a 4.49 ERA. Consistent performances from the starting rotation will be vital for the Athletics.

Team Injuries

Houston Astros

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Justin Verlander	SP	Neck	15-Day IL
Cristian Javier	SP	Forearm	60-Day IL
Kyle Tucker	OF	Shin	10-Day IL
Jose Urquidy	SP	Forearm	60-Day IL
Luis Garcia	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Oakland Athletics

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Jacob Wilson	IF	Hamstring	10-Day IL
Paul Blackburn	SP	Foot	60-Day IL
Esteury Ruiz	OF	Wrist	10-Day IL

Recent Games

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	@ Seattle	W 3-0	W
Sat, Jul 20	@ Seattle	W 4-2	W
Sun, Jul 21	@ Seattle	L 6-4	L
Mon, Jul 22	@ Oakland	L 4-0	L
Tue, Jul 23	@ Oakland	L 8-2	L

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	vs Los Angeles	W 13-3	W
Sat, Jul 20	vs Los Angeles	W 8-2	W
Sun, Jul 21	vs Los Angeles	L 8-5	L
Mon, Jul 22	vs Houston	W 4-0	W
Tue, Jul 23	vs Houston	W 8-2	W

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Prediction

Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105)

Yordan Alvarez's consistent performance and the favorable matchup against JP Sears make the over 1.5 total bases prop a strong pick. Alvarez's ability to hit for power and average should enable him to surpass this mark. Additionally, the Athletics' pitching staff has struggled to contain power hitters, providing further confidence in this prop bet.

 

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