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MLB Player Props Picks Today: San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians

MLB Player Props Picks Today: San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians

 

MLB Player Props Picks Today: San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians

Photo Credit: © Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

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Game Summary

The San Diego Padres (51-50, third in the NL West) will face the Cleveland Guardians (59-38, first in the AL Central) in a crucial rubber match at Progressive Field in Cleveland on Sunday, July 21, 2024, at 1:40 p.m. EDT. Both teams are looking to clinch the series with a victory in this final game of the three-game set. The Guardians have been dominant at home with a 31-12 record and have been one of the top teams in the AL Central. They have displayed a balanced attack, ranking eighth in the AL with 109 total home runs. Meanwhile, the Padres have a respectable 25-22 record on the road and rank sixth in the NL with a collective .406 slugging percentage.

The Padres will send Michael King (7-6, 3.41 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 129 strikeouts) to the mound, while the Guardians will counter with Ben Lively (8-5, 3.58 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 78 strikeouts). This is the third meeting between these teams this season, with both having won one game each. Key performers to watch include Jose Ramirez, who leads the Guardians with 23 home runs and a .513 slugging percentage, and Jake Cronenworth, who leads the Padres with 14 home runs and a .438 slugging percentage.

Recent form has seen the Guardians go 4-6 in their last 10 games with a .213 batting average and a 3.56 ERA, being outscored by 11 runs. The Padres, on the other hand, are 3-7 in their last 10 games with a .244 batting average and a 5.10 ERA, being outscored by 19 runs.

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Odds and Betting Lines

  • Guardians Moneyline: -112
  • Padres Moneyline: -107
  • Over/Under: 8 runs

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Pitching Probables

Player W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
Michael King (SD) 7-6 3.41 1.23 111.0 95 129 42 14
Ben Lively (CLE) 8-5 3.58 1.17 88.0 78 78 25 15

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Team Previews

San Diego Padres

Hitting: The Padres have a collective .406 slugging percentage, ranking sixth in the NL. Key hitters include Jake Cronenworth, who leads the team with 14 home runs and a .438 slugging percentage, and Donovan Solano, who is 13-for-38 with four doubles and two RBIs over the last 10 games.

Relief Pitching: The Padres' bullpen has been solid, securing 34 saves, which ranks second in the league. Their overall ERA stands at 3.68, placing them sixth in the league.

Fielding: Defensively, the Padres have committed 51 errors, ranking tied for 15th in the league.

Starting Pitchers: Michael King will be on the mound with a 7-6 record, a 3.41 ERA, and 129 strikeouts over 111 innings pitched.

Cleveland Guardians

Hitting: The Guardians rank eighth in the AL with 109 home runs and have a collective .260 batting average, which ranks second in the league. Key hitters include Jose Ramirez, who leads the team with 23 home runs and a .513 slugging percentage, and Steven Kwan, who is 10-for-39 with a double over the past 10 games.

Relief Pitching: The Guardians' bullpen has not been as effective, with a 4.15 ERA, ranking 20th in the league.

Fielding: Defensively, the Guardians have committed 48 errors, ranking tied for 20th in the league.

Starting Pitchers: Ben Lively will take the mound with an 8-5 record, a 3.58 ERA, and 78 strikeouts over 88 innings pitched.

Team Injuries

San Diego Padres

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Wandy Peralta RP Aductor 15-Day IL
Joe Musgrove SP Elbow 60-Day IL
Tom Cosgrove RP Elbow 15-Day IL
Fernando Tatis Jr. RF Quadricep 10-Day IL
Luis Patino SP Elbow 60-Day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Sam Hentges RP Undisclosed 15-Day IL
Matthew Boyd SP Elbow 15-Day IL
Shane Bieber SP Elbow 60-Day IL
Trevor Stephan RP Elbow 60-Day IL
James Karinchak RP Shoulder 60-Day IL

Recent Games

San Diego Padres

Opponent Score W/L
@ Cleveland L 7-0 L
@ Cleveland W 7-0 W
vs Washington L 5-4 L
vs Washington L 6-5 L
vs Washington W 7-4 W

Cleveland Guardians

Opponent Score W/L
vs San Diego W 7-0 W
vs San Diego L 7-0 L
@ Baltimore W 5-4 W
@ Baltimore L 6-5 L
@ Baltimore W 7-4 W

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Team Rankings

Category San Diego Padres Cleveland Guardians
Hitting 21st (777 hits) 1st (891 hits)
Runs 10th (461 runs) Tied-11th (455 runs)
Batting Average 16th (.242) 2nd (.260)
Saves 2nd (34 saves) Tied-17th (24 saves)
ERA 6th (3.68) 20th (4.15)
Errors Tied-15th (51 errors) Tied-20th (48 errors)

Prediction

Pick: Bo Naylor Over 0.5 Hits (-130)

Given Bo Naylor's recent form and his favorable matchup against Michael King, the Over 0.5 hits prop at -130 offers good value. Naylor has been seeing the ball well and has a history of performing against right-handed pitchers like King. With the Padres' starting pitcher having a respectable ERA, Naylor's ability to get on base will be crucial for the Guardians. Considering his batting average and recent performances, this prop bet is a solid choice for today's game.

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Historical Kingpin articles preserve original body copy, authors, and publication dates. Structured pick or odds modules appear only when the source article provides them.

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