MLB Player Props Handicapping: Phillies vs Twins 7/24

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 24, 2024, 4:10:07 AM
MLB Player Props Handicapping: Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins 7/24
Photo Credit: © Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Philadelphia Phillies (64-37, first in the NL East) face off against the Minnesota Twins (55-45, second in the AL Central) at Target Field in Minneapolis on Wednesday, July 24th, at 1:10 p.m. EDT. With the series currently tied at 1-1, the winner of this game will claim the three-game series.
The Twins have had a solid season at home, boasting a 28-21 record at Target Field. Offensively, they have the fourth-ranked team batting average in the AL at .252. Recently, the Twins have been on a bit of a rollercoaster, going 4-6 in their last 10 games with a .226 batting average and a 3.72 ERA.
The Phillies, on the other hand, have proven to be formidable on the road with a 27-21 record. Their overall record of 64-37 is bolstered by having the fourth-best team on-base percentage in the majors at .329. Over their last 10 games, the Phillies are 5-5, batting .236 with a 5.37 ERA.
Historically, these teams have had competitive matchups, and this game is expected to be no different. Key players like Bryce Harper and Trea Turner for the Phillies, as well as Carlos Santana and Jose Miranda for the Twins, will play pivotal roles in the outcome of this game.
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Player Prop Odds
Here are the player prop odds for Trea Turner:
- Batter Doubles 0.5: Over +311, Under -504
- Batter RBIs 0.5: Over +178, Under -254
- Batter Runs Scored 0.5: Over -109, Under -125
- Batter Singles 0.5: Over -127, Under -108
- Batter Stolen Bases 0.5: Over +360, Under -575
- Batter Total Bases 1.5: Over +108, Under -148
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Player Analysis
Trea Turner has been a key player for the Philadelphia Phillies this season. With a batting average of .296, he has shown consistency at the plate. Over the past 10 games, Turner has gone 12-for-39, with four home runs and eight RBI, highlighting his ability to contribute both in terms of power and run production.
Turner's speed is also a significant asset, as evidenced by his ability to steal bases. This season, he has consistently been a threat on the base paths, which adds another layer to his offensive prowess. Turner's recent form indicates that he is in a good rhythm, making him a vital player for the Phillies in this matchup.
Opposing Analysis
Steven Okert will be starting on the mound for the Minnesota Twins. With a record of 3-1, an ERA of 4.40, and a WHIP of 1.40, Okert has had a mixed season. In 28.2 innings pitched, he has allowed 28 hits and struck out 27 batters while walking 12. Okert's performance has been somewhat inconsistent, making him a potential target for the Phillies' hitters.
Given Turner's ability to hit for power and average, combined with Okert's tendency to give up hits, Turner is well-positioned to have a productive game. The key for Turner will be to capitalize on any mistakes Okert might make and to continue his aggressive approach at the plate.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola (PHI) | 11-4 | 3.54 | 1.04 | 124.2 | 102 | 120 | 28 | 17 |
| Steven Okert (MIN) | 3-1 | 4.40 | 1.40 | 28.2 | 28 | 27 | 12 | 3 |
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Team Previews
Philadelphia Phillies
The Phillies have been strong in several key areas this season. They rank 9th in hits (855), 6th in runs scored (484), and 7th in team batting average (.254). Their pitching staff has also been solid, with a team ERA of 4.12, ranking 19th in MLB. Defensively, they have committed 47 errors, placing them 24th in fielding.
Minnesota Twins
The Twins have excelled offensively, ranking 3rd in hits (878) and tied for 4th in runs scored (493). They also have a team batting average of .258, placing them 3rd in the AL. Their pitching staff has been impressive, with a team ERA of 3.48, ranking 3rd in MLB. Defensively, they have committed 57 errors, ranking 10th in fielding.
Team Injuries
Philadelphia Phillies
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Rucker | RP | Wed, Jul 24 | Hand | Expected to be out until at least Jul 24 |
Minnesota Twins
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Topa | RP | Tue, Jul 23 | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
Recent Games
Philadelphia Phillies
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Pittsburgh | L 8-7 | 62-35 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Pittsburgh | L 4-1 | 62-36 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Pittsburgh | W 6-0 | 63-36 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Minnesota | L 7-2 | 63-37 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Minnesota | W 3-0 | 64-37 |
Minnesota Twins
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Milwaukee | L 8-4 F/12 | 54-43 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Milwaukee | L 8-7 | 54-44 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Philadelphia | W 7-2 | 55-44 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Philadelphia | L 3-0 | 55-45 |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 0.5 RBI (+178)
Reasoning: Trea Turner has been in excellent form recently, and with Steven Okert's inconsistency on the mound, Turner has a good chance to drive in at least one run. His recent performance and the overall offensive capability of the Phillies make this a solid bet.
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