MLB Player Props Handicapping: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins 7/24

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Photo Credit: © Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Baltimore Orioles are set to face the Miami Marlins on July 24, 2023, at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. The game will feature an intriguing matchup between two teams with contrasting fortunes this season. The Orioles have struggled, holding a 36-65 record, and have faced numerous challenges both at home and on the road. On the other hand, the Marlins have been impressive, boasting a 60-40 record and consistently performing well, whether playing at home or away.

The Orioles' recent performances have been inconsistent, with a record of 1-4 in their last five games, including two losses against the Texas Rangers and a loss against the Marlins in their most recent game. The Marlins, however, have shown resilience, winning three out of their last five games, including a notable victory against the New York Yankees.

Historically, the Orioles and Marlins have had limited matchups, but the Marlins have generally had the upper hand in their recent encounters. This game is expected to be a pivotal one, with both teams looking to make a statement as they approach the final stretch of the season.

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Player Prop Odds

For this matchup, we will be focusing on player props for Nick Fortes of the Miami Marlins. The odds for his various props are as follows:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+448), Under 0.5 (-854)
• Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-135), Under 0.5 (-101)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+208), Under 0.5 (-304)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+202), Under 0.5 (-294)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+118), Under 0.5 (-163)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-135), Under 0.5 (-101)

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Player Analysis

Nick Fortes has been a solid contributor for the Miami Marlins this season. The catcher has shown flashes of brilliance both behind the plate and with the bat. Currently, Fortes holds a batting average of .253, and his ability to get on base has been crucial for the Marlins. In the last ten games, Fortes has managed to record multiple hits in several outings, showcasing his consistency and reliability.

Fortes' prop odds suggest that he can impact the game in various ways. His ability to hit for singles, score runs, and even drive in RBIs makes him a valuable player for prop betting. The odds for Fortes to hit over 0.5 singles at +118 and to score a run at +202 are particularly enticing, given his recent form and the Marlins' offensive capabilities.

Opposing Analysis

The Baltimore Orioles will have Edward Cabrera on the mound. Cabrera has had a rough season, with a record of 1-3 and an ERA of 7.36. He has struggled with control, issuing 20 walks in just 33 innings pitched and has given up 9 home runs. This presents a favorable matchup for the Marlins' hitters, including Nick Fortes.

The Orioles' pitching staff has generally struggled this season, ranking 27th in ERA and having issues with consistency. Cabrera's propensity to give up hits and runs could play into the hands of the Marlins' offense, providing opportunities for Fortes to excel.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Chayce McDermott	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Edward Cabrera	1-3	7.36	1.67	33.0	35	43	20	9

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Team Previews

Baltimore Orioles

The Baltimore Orioles have endured a challenging season, with their stats reflecting their struggles. They rank 24th in batting average (.234), 29th in runs scored (350), and 27th in ERA (4.52). The team has also committed the most errors in the league (71), showcasing their defensive frailties.

Miami Marlins

The Miami Marlins, in contrast, have been impressive. They rank 6th in hits (866), 4th in runs scored (493), and 5th in ERA (3.68). The Marlins' ability to consistently produce offensively and their strong pitching staff have been key to their success this season. Their fielding has also been reliable, with only 44 errors, ranking 27th in the league.

Team Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Albert Suarez	SP	Tue, Jul 23	Leg	Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
Jorge Mateo	2B	Tue, Jul 23	Arm	Probable for Jul 24
Ramon Urias	3B	Tue, Jul 23	Neck	Probable for Jul 24

Miami Marlins

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Ryan Weathers	SP	Tue, Jul 23	Finger	Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
Josh Simpson	RP	Tue, Jul 23	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Aug 16

Recent Games

Baltimore Orioles

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Texas	W9-1	W
@ Texas	W8-4	W
@ Texas	L3-2	L
@ Miami	L6-3	L
@ Miami	6:40 PM	Upcoming

Miami Marlins

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs New York	W6-4	W
vs New York	L1-0	L
vs New York	W4-2	W
vs New York	L6-4	L
vs Baltimore	W6-3	W

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Prediction

Given the current form of both teams and the pitching matchup, Nick Fortes presents a strong opportunity for prop betting. With Edward Cabrera's struggles on the mound, Fortes has a favorable chance to exceed his prop odds. Specifically, the odds for Fortes to hit over 0.5 singles at +118 and to score a run at +202 are appealing. Considering Cabrera’s high ERA and WHIP, along with the Marlins' strong offensive lineup, Fortes is likely to take advantage of Cabrera's vulnerabilities.