MLB Player Props Handicapping: Angels vs Mariners 7/24

- Mr Wager
- Jul 24, 2024, 5:04:02 AM
MLB Player Props Handicapping: Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners
Photo Credit: © Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Los Angeles Angels (44-57, fourth in the AL West) will face off against the Seattle Mariners (53-50, second in the AL West) at T-Mobile Park in Seattle on Wednesday, July 24, 2024, at 3:40 PM EDT. The Angels are entering this matchup on a three-game win streak and will be looking to continue their momentum against a Mariners team that has been strong at home with a 31-22 record.
Seattle has been solid overall with a 53-50 record and ranks seventh in the AL with 112 total home runs this season. The Mariners have a potent lineup, averaging 1.1 home runs per game. However, they have struggled in their last 10 games, going 3-7 with a .194 batting average and a 2.35 ERA, slightly outscoring their opponents by just one run.
The Angels, on the other hand, have a 22-28 record on the road and have seen better performances lately, going 7-3 in their last 10 games despite a .222 batting average and a 4.75 ERA. They have been outscored by 10 runs in this span but have managed to capitalize on key moments to secure victories.
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Player Prop Odds
For Griffin Canning to record a win: No: -314, Yes: +213
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Player Analysis
Griffin Canning (3-10, 5.20 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 73 strikeouts) has had a challenging season. He has struggled to maintain consistency, as evidenced by his high ERA and WHIP. Despite showing flashes of potential, Canning has often found himself in difficult situations, leading to a less than stellar win-loss record. His control issues have been a significant factor, with 38 walks in 105.2 innings pitched, and he has also given up 19 home runs.
Opposing Analysis
The Mariners' lineup presents a formidable challenge for Canning. Seattle's offense, led by Cal Raleigh with 20 home runs and Julio Rodriguez's recent hot streak, has the power to disrupt Canning's rhythm. The Mariners have a balanced attack, capable of generating runs through both power and small ball. Over the past 10 games, Rodriguez has been particularly impressive, going 14-for-32 with three home runs and seven RBIs. This kind of production puts additional pressure on Canning to avoid mistakes that could lead to big innings for Seattle.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Canning (LAA) | 3-10 | 5.20 | 1.42 | 105.2 | 112 | 73 | 38 | 19 |
| L. Castillo (SEA) | 8-10 | 3.55 | 1.16 | 124.1 | 109 | 119 | 35 | 15 |
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Team Previews
Los Angeles Angels
The Angels' offense has been inconsistent, ranking 30th in hits (721) and 28th in runs (388). Their batting average of .217 is the lowest in the league, which has been a significant factor in their struggles. Despite these challenges, they have shown the ability to score runs in bunches, particularly when they exceed five runs in a game (30-13 record in such games). The absence of key players like Mike Trout has also impacted their overall performance.
Seattle Mariners
The Mariners boast a more balanced lineup, with 780 hits and 401 runs, ranking 26th in both categories. Their batting average of .235 is modest but significantly better than the Angels. Their pitching staff has been a strength, with an overall ERA of 4.69. However, their bullpen has had its ups and downs, which could be a factor in close games. The Mariners have also been effective at home, which bodes well for them in this matchup.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Trout | CF | Tue, Jul 23 | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Jul 30 |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Crawford | SS | Tue, Jul 23 | Hand | Expected to be out until at least Aug 13 |
| J. Rodriguez | CF | Tue, Jul 23 | Ankle | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
Recent Games
Los Angeles Angels
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Oakland | L 13-3 | 41-56 | Sears 7-7 | Canning 3-10 | 11596 | |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Oakland | L 8-2 | 41-57 | Spence 6-6 | Kochanowicz 0-2 | 14574 | |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Oakland | W 8-5 | 42-57 | Garcia 4-1 | Erceg 2-3 | Estevez 18 | 10380 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Seattle | W 3-1 | 43-57 | Garcia 5-1 | Thornton 3-2 | Estevez 19 | 22528 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Seattle | W 5-1 | 44-57 | Soriano 6-7 | Gilbert 6-6 | 26496 |
Seattle Mariners
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Houston | L 3-0 | 52-47 | Brown 8-6 | Castillo 8-10 | Hader 19 | 40948 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Houston | L 4-2 | 52-48 | Scott 7-3 | Stanek 6-3 | Hader 20 | 38017 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Houston | W 6-4 | 53-48 | Woo 4-1 | Blanco 9-5 | Munoz 16 | 35038 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Los Angeles | L 3-1 | 53-49 | Garcia 5-1 | Thornton 3-2 | Estevez 19 | 22528 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Los Angeles | L 5-1 | 53-50 | Soriano 6-7 | Gilbert 6-6 | 26496 |
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Prediction
Pick: Griffin Canning to record a win - Yes (+213)
Despite Griffin Canning's struggles this season, the Angels have shown recent resilience with a three-game win streak and an ability to score crucial runs. Betting on Canning to record a win at +213 odds presents a high-risk, high-reward opportunity. Given the Mariners' recent offensive struggles and Canning's potential to deliver a quality start, this prop bet could yield substantial returns for those willing to take the risk.
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