MLB Player Props Guide: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins

Photo Credit: © Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Baltimore Orioles and Miami Marlins clash in the second game of their series on Wednesday, July 24th, 2024, at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. The game is set to start at 6:40 p.m. EDT. The Marlins hold a 1-0 advantage in the series after winning the first game 6-3.

Baltimore enters the contest with a 60-40 record, leading the AL East. The Orioles have been impressive on the road this season, boasting a 30-18 record away from home. They also have the highest team slugging percentage in the AL at .452. However, they have struggled recently, going 3-7 in their last ten games while being outscored by 18 runs.

On the other hand, Miami sits at the bottom of the NL East with a 36-65 record and a 21-33 record at home. Despite their overall struggles, the Marlins have been competitive when they score at least five runs, holding a 19-12 record in such games. They have a .277 batting average over their last ten games but have a 4-6 record in that span, being outscored by 13 runs.

This matchup will see Baltimore's Chayce McDermott make his MLB debut against Miami's Edward Cabrera, who has had a challenging season with a 1-3 record and a 7.36 ERA over 33 innings pitched.

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Player Prop Odds

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Jorge Mateo Player Props:

• Batter Hits: 0.5 Over -161
• Batter Total Bases: 1.5 Over +167

Player Analysis

Jorge Mateo has been a key player for the Orioles this season. Although he is currently day-to-day with an elbow injury, when healthy, Mateo has been a productive part of Baltimore's lineup. He has the speed and agility to turn singles into extra bases, and his aggressive playstyle makes him a constant threat on the base paths.

In his most recent games, Mateo's hitting has been consistent, although not spectacular. He has a keen eye for pitches and can work counts in his favor, increasing his chances of getting on base. Mateo's ability to get hits and stretch them into extra bases makes the prop bet for over 0.5 hits at -161 a solid choice.

Opposing Analysis

Edward Cabrera will be pitching for the Marlins. Cabrera has struggled this season, with a 7.36 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP over 33 innings pitched. He has allowed 35 hits and 20 walks, which indicates control issues. Cabrera has also given up nine home runs, which shows he can be prone to giving up big hits.

For hitters like Jorge Mateo, who excel at putting the ball in play and taking advantage of mistakes, Cabrera's struggles create a favorable matchup. Given Cabrera's tendency to allow hits and walks, Mateo has a good chance of getting on base and contributing to the Orioles' offense.

Pitching Probables

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Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Chayce McDermott (BAL)	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Edward Cabrera (MIA)	1-3	7.36	1.67	33.0	35	43	20	9

Team Previews

Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles have been a formidable team this season, especially on the road. They lead the AL with a .452 slugging percentage and have a record of 60-40. Key players include Gunnar Henderson, who leads the team with a .287 batting average, and Anthony Santander, who has been hot over the past ten games with four home runs and nine RBIs.

However, Baltimore has struggled recently, losing seven of their last ten games. Their pitching staff has a combined ERA of 4.91 over that span, and they have been outscored by 18 runs. Injuries have also been a concern, with significant players like Kyle Bradish and John Means on the IL.

Miami Marlins

The Marlins have had a tough season, currently sitting at the bottom of the NL East with a 36-65 record. Despite their struggles, they have shown flashes of potential, particularly when they score five or more runs. Jazz Chisholm has been a standout performer, hitting .251 with 13 home runs and 47 RBIs.

Miami's recent form has been slightly better, with a .277 team batting average over their last ten games. However, their pitching has been inconsistent, with a team ERA of 4.71 during that span. Injuries have also plagued the Marlins, with key pitchers like Sandy Alcantara and Jesus Luzardo on the IL.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Jorge Mateo	2B	Day-to-day (elbow)
Albert Suarez	SP	Day-to-day (shin)
Ramon Urias	3B	Day-to-day (neck)
Dane Myers	10-Day IL (ankle)
Ryan Weathers	60-Day IL (finger)
Sixto Sanchez	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Braxton Garrett	15-Day IL (elbow)
Jesus Luzardo	60-Day IL (back)
Josh Simpson	60-Day IL (elbow)
Eury Perez	60-Day IL (elbow)
Sandy Alcantara	60-Day IL (elbow)

Recent Games

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Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	@ Texas	W 9-1	W
Sat, Jul 20	@ Texas	W 8-4	W
Sun, Jul 21	@ Texas	L 3-2	L
Tue, Jul 23	@ Miami	L 6-3	L
Wed, Jul 24	@ Miami	--	--

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	vs New York	W 6-4	W
Sat, Jul 20	vs New York	L 1-0	L
Sun, Jul 21	vs New York	W 4-2	W
Mon, Jul 22	vs New York	L 6-4	L
Tue, Jul 23	vs Baltimore	W 6-3	W

Prediction

 

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