MLB Player Props Bets: Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins - 7/24

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 24, 2024, 1:13:35 AM
MLB Player Props Bets: Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins - 7/24
Photo Credit: © Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Philadelphia Phillies take on the Minnesota Twins at Target Field on July 24th in what promises to be an exciting matchup. The Phillies, currently holding a 55-45 record, will look to continue their strong performance on the road where they are 27-24. Meanwhile, the Twins, boasting a league-best 64-37 record, are formidable at home with a 37-16 record.
In their recent games, the Phillies have shown resilience and competitiveness. Their last five games have seen a mix of wins and losses, including a notable 6-0 victory against Pittsburgh. The Twins, on the other hand, have had a slightly rough patch, but managed a solid 7-2 win against the Phillies, showcasing their potential to bounce back.
Historically, these teams have had close encounters. With both teams having strong offensive and defensive stats, this game is expected to be a tight contest. The Phillies rank 9th in hits and 6th in runs, while the Twins hold 3rd place in both hits and batting average. This sets up an intense showdown where every player’s performance will be crucial.
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Player Prop Odds
Here are the latest player prop odds for Bryce Harper:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+275) / Under 0.5 (-429)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+410)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+146) / Under 0.5 (-204)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+104) / Under 0.5 (-142)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+104) / Under 0.5 (-142)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+108) / Under 1.5 (-148)
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Player Analysis
Bryce Harper has been a standout performer for the Phillies this season. With a batting average of .296, he leads the team not only in average but also in home runs (23) and RBIs (71). Harper's ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a critical asset for the Phillies, especially in tightly contested games.
Harper's recent form has been impressive, consistently contributing to the Phillies' offense. His slugging percentage and on-base percentage are among the best in the league, indicating his proficiency in both hitting for power and getting on base. Given his current form, betting on Harper to exceed his prop odds seems like a strong play.
Opposing Analysis
The Minnesota Twins' pitching staff will be tasked with containing Harper. The probable pitcher for the Twins, Aaron Nola, has an 11-4 record with a 3.54 ERA. Nola's ability to strike out batters (120 strikeouts in 124.2 innings) and limit walks (28 walks) makes him a formidable opponent.
However, the Phillies' offense has shown the ability to handle strong pitching. With players like Harper leading the charge, the Phillies have the potential to disrupt Nola's rhythm and create scoring opportunities. Nola's tendency to give up home runs (17 HRs allowed) could be a vulnerability that Harper and the Phillies look to exploit.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola (MIN) | 11-4 | 3.54 | 120 |
| Steven Okert (PHI) | 3-1 | 4.40 | 27 |
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Team Previews
Philadelphia Phillies
The Phillies have been solid across the board this season. Offensively, they rank 9th in hits (855) and 6th in runs (484), with a team batting average of .254. Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.12, which places them 19th in the league. Defensively, they have committed 47 errors, ranking 24th.
Key players like Bryce Harper, who leads the team in batting average, home runs, and RBIs, will play a crucial role. The Phillies' bullpen has also been reliable, with 30 saves (7th in the league).
Minnesota Twins
The Twins have been one of the best teams in the league this season. They rank 3rd in hits (878) and batting average (.258), and are tied for 4th in runs (493). Their pitching staff has been exceptional, with an ERA of 3.48, ranking 3rd in the league. Defensively, they have committed 57 errors, which ranks them 10th.
Aaron Nola has been a standout on the mound, with an 11-4 record and a 3.54 ERA. Offensively, players like Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers have provided power and run production.
Team Injuries
Philadelphia Phillies
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Rucker | RP | Mon, Jul 22 | Hand | Expected to be out until at least Jul 23 |
Minnesota Twins
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Topa | RP | Tue, Jul 23 | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
Recent Games
Philadelphia Phillies
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Pittsburgh | L8-7 | 62-35 | Mlodzinski 2-3 | Alvarado 1-4 | NaN | 39530 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Pittsburgh | L4-1 | 62-36 | Ortiz 5-2 | Sanchez 7-5 | NaN | 39114 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Pittsburgh | W6-0 | 63-36 | Phillips 2-0 | Gonzales 1-1 | NaN | 38291 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Minnesota | L7-2 | 63-37 | Ober 9-5 | Suarez 10-5 | Sands 3 | 29904 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Minnesota | W3-0 | 64-37 | Soto 2-3 | Duran 5-5 | Strahm 1 | 31272 |
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Minnesota Twins
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Milwaukee | L8-4 F/12 | 54-43 | Junis 2-0 | Okert 3-1 | NaN | 41679 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Milwaukee | L8-7 | 54-44 | Koenig 8-1 | Jax 3-4 | Megill 19 | 36327 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Philadelphia | W7-2 | 55-44 | Ober 9-5 | Suarez 10-5 | Sands 3 | 29904 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Philadelphia | L3-0 | 55-45 | Soto 2-3 | Duran 5-5 | Strahm 1 | 31272 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Philadelphia | 1:10 PM | NaN | Okert | Nola | Tickets as low as $15 | Tickets as low as $15 |
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Prediction
Considering Bryce Harper's recent performance and his season stats, betting on him to hit over 1.5 total bases (+108) seems like a solid pick. Harper's ability to get extra-base hits and his overall form make this a value bet.


