MLB Player Prop Picks: Tigers vs Guardians - 7/24

Photo Credit: © John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Detroit Tigers will face off against the Cleveland Guardians on July 24 at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Both teams come into this matchup with contrasting recent form and aspirations for the remainder of the season. The Tigers, who are currently 60-40 overall and 32-14 at home, look to continue their strong performance. Meanwhile, the Guardians, with a 50-52 overall record and a balanced 24-24 at home, will aim to bounce back from recent struggles.

Recent performances show the Tigers in good shape with a 4-2 record in their last six games, including significant wins against Toronto and Cleveland. On the other hand, the Guardians have been inconsistent, losing three of their last five games, including a heavy 7-0 defeat to San Diego. Historically, this matchup has been relatively even, but the Tigers have had the upper hand this season.

Moreover, weather conditions are expected to be mostly cloudy with thunderstorms, with temperatures around 74°F, which could play a role in the game’s dynamics.

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Player Prop Odds

For Riley Greene, the following player prop odds are available:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+330)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+165)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+100)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-110)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+110)

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Player Analysis

Riley Greene has been a standout performer for the Guardians this season. With a batting average of .268, he leads the team in home runs (17) and RBIs (51). Greene’s consistency at the plate has been crucial for the Guardians’ offense, and his ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a valuable asset.

In recent games, Greene has shown his prowess with key hits and RBIs, making him a threat to any opposing pitcher. His performance against the Tigers will be critical for the Guardians, especially if they hope to turn their recent form around.

Opposing Analysis

Tigers’ probable starting pitcher Tanner Bibee has been reliable on the mound this season, boasting an 8-4 record with a 3.58 ERA. Bibee's ability to limit hits and strikeout batters (126 Ks in 110.2 IP) will be tested against a potent hitter like Greene.

The Tigers’ pitching staff has been solid overall, ranking 6th in ERA (3.69) and 2nd in saves (34). However, they will need to be cautious with Greene, who has the ability to change the game with one swing.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Jack Flaherty (CLE)	7-5	3.13	0.96	100.2	80	127	17	15
Tanner Bibee (DET)	8-4	3.58	1.11	110.2	93	126	30	13

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Team Previews

Detroit Tigers

The Tigers have been impressive this season, ranking 5th in wins (59) and 6th in ERA (3.69). Their hitting has been solid, with a team batting average of .242, placing them 16th in the league. Key players like Steven Kwan, who leads the team with a .347 average, and Jose Ramirez, who has 24 home runs and 82 RBIs, have been instrumental in their success.

Their relief pitching has also been a strength, with 34 saves (2nd in the league) and a solid defensive record with only 53 errors (T-14th).

Cleveland Guardians

The Guardians have had a mixed season, currently 50-52 overall. Their hitting has been inconsistent, with a team average of .234 (23rd in the league). However, their pitching has been relatively strong, with a team ERA of 3.93 (14th in the league). Riley Greene has been a standout, leading the team in average, home runs, and RBIs.

Defensively, the Guardians have struggled with 59 errors (T-6th), and their relief pitching has been average with 22 saves (23rd in the league).

Team Injuries

Detroit Tigers

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Parker Meadows	CF	Tue, Jul 23	Hamstring	Expected to be out until at least Aug 1

Cleveland Guardians

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Matthew Boyd	SP	Tue, Jul 23	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
James Karinchak	RP	Tue, Jul 23	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Aug 10

Recent Games

Detroit Tigers

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Fri, Jul 19	@ Toronto	W5-4	48-50	Flaherty 7-5	Bassitt 8-8	Holton 3	39697
Sat, Jul 20	@ Toronto	W7-3	49-50	Faedo 5-1	Kikuchi 4-9	NaN	38583
Sun, Jul 21	@ Toronto	L5-4	49-51	Gausman 8-8	Montero 1-3	Green 7	38766
Mon, Jul 22	@ Cleveland	W8-2	50-51	Skubal 11-3	Carrasco 3-8	NaN	22451
Tue, Jul 23	@ Cleveland	L5-4	50-52	Smith 5-1	Wentz 0-2	Clase 30	23277

Cleveland Guardians

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Fri, Jul 19	vs San Diego	W7-0	59-37	Bibee 8-4	Waldron 5-9	NaN	37242
Sat, Jul 20	vs San Diego	L7-0	59-38	Cease 9-8	Williams 0-2	NaN	37485
Sun, Jul 21	vs San Diego	L2-1	59-39	King 8-6	Lively 8-6	Suarez 23	30491
Mon, Jul 22	vs Detroit	L8-2	59-40	Skubal 11-3	Carrasco 3-8	NaN	22451
Tue, Jul 23	vs Detroit	W5-4	60-40	Smith 5-1	Wentz 0-2	Clase 30	23277

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Prediction

Given Riley Greene’s recent form and the odds available, the prop bet for Greene to hit a double at +330 offers great value. Greene’s ability to find gaps and his power at the plate make this an enticing bet. Additionally, considering Bibee's tendency to give up hits (93 in 110.2 IP), Greene has a good chance to capitalize.