MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Mets vs Yankees 7/23

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 22, 2024, 11:25:12 PM
MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Mets vs Yankees 7/23
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Game Summary
The New York Mets will face off against the New York Yankees on July 23 at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, New York. This highly anticipated matchup features two teams with contrasting seasons. The Mets, currently 59-42, are among the top teams in the league, while the Yankees, at 50-48, are fighting to stay above .500. This game promises to be a thrilling contest between two historic rivals.
The Mets have showcased a strong season so far, with a balanced approach in both hitting and pitching. Juan Soto has been a standout performer, leading the team with a batting average of .311. On the pitching side, Luis Gil has been exceptional, boasting a 10-5 record with a 3.17 ERA.
The Yankees, on the other hand, are struggling with consistency. Despite having powerful hitters like Aaron Judge, who leads the team with 35 home runs and 89 RBIs, their pitching staff has been inconsistent. Jose Quintana will take the mound for the Yankees, with a 4-6 record and a 4.13 ERA.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 9.5 |
| Mets Spread | +1.5 (-110) |
| Yankees Spread | -1.5 (-110) |
| Mets Moneyline | +132 |
| Yankees Moneyline | -156 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Quintana (NYY) | 4-6 | 4.13 | 79 |
| Luis Gil (NYM) | 10-5 | 3.17 | 118 |
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Team Previews
New York Mets
Hitting: The Mets have been solid at the plate, with Juan Soto leading the charge. Soto's .311 average is complemented by Aaron Judge's power, who has hit 35 home runs and driven in 89 runs. The team ranks 13th in batting average (.246) and 1st in runs scored (499).
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been reliable, ranking 4th in ERA (3.58) and tied for 9th in saves (27). This stability has been crucial in close games.
Fielding: Defensively, the Mets have been efficient, committing 59 errors, which ranks them tied for 6th.
Starting Pitchers: The starting rotation has been anchored by Luis Gil, who has a 10-5 record and a 3.17 ERA. His WHIP of 1.08 and 118 strikeouts in 102.1 innings highlight his dominance on the mound.
New York Yankees
Hitting: The Yankees' lineup features powerful hitters like Aaron Judge and Francisco Lindor. Judge's 35 home runs and 89 RBIs are impressive, while Lindor has a respectable .253 average. The team ranks 10th in batting average (.249) and 8th in runs scored (472).
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been inconsistent, with a team ERA of 4.21, ranking 22nd in the league. The Yankees have recorded 26 saves, tied for 11th.
Fielding: Defensively, the Yankees have struggled, committing 66 errors, which ranks them 3rd in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Jose Quintana will start for the Yankees, sporting a 4-6 record and a 4.13 ERA. His WHIP is 1.26, and he has struck out 79 batters in 102.1 innings.
Team Injuries
New York Mets
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shintaro Fujinami | RP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 23 |
New York Yankees
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton | DH | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 1B | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Aug 20 |
| Nick Burdi | RP | Hip | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
| Jose Trevino | C | Quadriceps | Expected to be out until at least Aug 20 |
| Clarke Schmidt | SP | Lat | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
| J.T. Brubaker | SP | Oblique | Expected to be out until at least Sep 15 |
| Cody Poteet | SP | Triceps | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
Betting Trends
- The Mets are 9-1 in their last 10 games as a road underdog.
- The Yankees are 3-7 in their last 10 home games.
- The Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games against a team with a winning record.
- The Yankees are 2-8 in their last 10 games following a win.
- The Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss.
- Under is 6-2 in Mets' last 8 road games.
- Under is 7-3 in Yankees' last 10 home games.
- Mets are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Yankees are 0-4 in Quintana's last 4 starts.
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings at Yankee Stadium.
Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Miami | L 6-4 | L |
| @ Miami | W 1-0 | W |
| @ Miami | L 4-2 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | W 6-1 | W |
| vs Tampa Bay | L 9-1 | L |
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Tampa Bay | W 6-1 | W |
| vs Tampa Bay | L 9-1 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | L 6-4 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | W 9-1 | W |
| @ Boston | L 4-2 | L |
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Team Rankings
| Category | New York Mets | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 12th | 10th |
| Starting Pitching | 4th | 22nd |
| Relief Pitching | 9th | 11th |
| Fielding | 6th | 3rd |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Mets are 9-1 in their last 10 games as a road underdog.
- The Yankees are 3-7 in their last 10 home games.
- The Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games against a team with a winning record.
- The Yankees are 2-8 in their last 10 games following a win.
- The Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss.
- Under is 6-2 in Mets' last 8 road games.
- Under is 7-3 in Yankees' last 10 home games.
- Mets are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Yankees are 0-4 in Quintana's last 4 starts.
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings at Yankee Stadium.
Weather
The weather for the game is expected to be cloudy with a temperature of 80°F. This relatively mild weather should be ideal for both teams to perform at their best.
Prediction
Pick: Mets Moneyline (+132)
The Mets have been in better form recently and have a more consistent pitching staff with Luis Gil on the mound. Given the Yankees' struggles at home and their inconsistent bullpen, the Mets present good value at +132 on the moneyline.
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