MLB Moneyline Expert Advice: Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins 7/11

Game Summary

The Houston Astros will host the Miami Marlins at Minute Maid Park on Thursday, July 11, 2024, at 8:10 PM EDT. The Astros are on an impressive eight-game home win streak and hold a 48-44 overall record, placing them second in the AL West. They have been particularly dominant at home, boasting a 26-19 record. The Astros' offense is notable, ranking fourth in the AL with a collective .421 slugging percentage. Key player Yordan Alvarez leads the way with 21 doubles, a triple, and 19 home runs. In their last 10 games, the Astros are 7-3, showcasing a .267 batting average and a 4.45 ERA, during which they have outscored opponents by 18 runs. In contrast, the Miami Marlins are struggling this season with a 32-60 overall record, placing them fifth in the NL East. Their road performance has been particularly poor, with a 14-29 record. The Marlins are 22-10 in games where they have recorded more hits than their opponents. Jazz Chisholm has been a standout player for them, leading the team with a .256 batting average and contributing 12 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs, and 41 RBIs. However, the Marlins have struggled in their last 10 games, going 3-7 with a .230 batting average and a 4.60 ERA, being outscored by 17 runs. This game will be the third matchup between these two teams this season, and the Astros are looking to extend their winning streak at home while the Marlins aim to turn their season around.

Odds and Betting Lines

Betting Market	Odds
Over/Under	8.5
Houston Astros Moneyline	-197
Miami Marlins Moneyline	+163
Spread (Astros -1.5)	-110
Spread (Marlins +1.5)	-110

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	WHIP	Strikeouts
Roddery Munoz (MIA)	1-3	5.48	1.47	40
Jake Bloss (HOU)	0-0	4.91	1.91	2

Team Previews

Houston Astros

Hitting: The Astros' lineup is formidable, with a .264 team batting average, ranking first in the AL. Jose Altuve leads the team with a .309 batting average. Yordan Alvarez is the power hitter with 19 home runs and 51 RBIs. Over the last 10 games, Alex Bregman has been hot, hitting 13-for-41 with three doubles, two home runs, and eight RBIs.

Relief Pitching: The Astros' bullpen has been reliable with 21 saves, ranking tied-18th in the league. The team has a 4.10 ERA, placing them 18th overall.

Fielding: Defensively, the Astros have committed 39 errors, ranking 29th in the league, indicating some vulnerability in the field.

Starting Pitchers: The Astros have had a solid performance from their starters, with Jake Bloss making his debut with a 4.91 ERA in 3.2 innings pitched. Injuries have impacted their rotation significantly, with key pitchers like Justin Verlander and Cristian Javier on the IL.

Miami Marlins

Hitting: The Marlins have struggled offensively, with a .230 team batting average, ranking 25th in the league. Jazz Chisholm is the standout player with a .256 average, 11 home runs, and 41 RBIs. Bryan De La Cruz leads the team with 15 home runs and 43 RBIs.

Relief Pitching: The Marlins' bullpen has the fewest saves in the league with 15. Their team ERA stands at 4.54, placing them 27th overall.

Fielding: Defensively, the Marlins have committed 62 errors, tied for the second-most in the league, which could be a significant disadvantage.

Starting Pitchers: Roddery Munoz has struggled this season with a 5.48 ERA in 44.1 innings pitched. Injuries have also plagued the Marlins' rotation, with key pitchers like Sixto Sanchez and Sandy Alcantara on the IL.

Team Injuries

Houston Astros

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Yordan Alvarez	LF	Hip	Day-to-day
Jake Bloss	SP	Shoulder	15-Day IL
Kyle Tucker	RF	Shin	10-Day IL

Miami Marlins

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Ryan Weathers	SP	Finger	60-Day IL
Sixto Sanchez	SP	Shoulder	60-Day IL
Jesus Luzardo	SP	Back	60-Day IL

Betting Trends

• Astros are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
• Astros have a .267 batting average over their last 10 games.
• Marlins are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
• Marlins have a .230 batting average over their last 10 games.
• Astros are 26-19 at home this season.
• Marlins are 14-29 on the road this season.
• Astros rank 4th in the AL in slugging percentage.
• Marlins rank 25th in the league in batting average.
• Astros have outscored opponents by 18 runs in their last 10 games.
• Marlins have been outscored by 17 runs in their last 10 games.

Recent Games

Houston Astros

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Miami	W9-1	W
vs Miami	W4-3	W
@ Minnesota	L3-2	L
@ Minnesota	L9-3	L
@ Minnesota	W13-12	W

Miami Marlins

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Houston	L9-1	L
@ Houston	L4-3	L
vs Chicago	W7-4	W
vs Chicago	W4-3	W
vs Chicago	L3-2	L

Team Rankings

Category	Houston Astros	Miami Marlins
Hitting	2nd	24th
Starting Pitching	18th	27th
Relief Pitching	18th	30th
Fielding	29th	2nd

Significant Betting Stats

• Astros are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
• Astros have a .267 batting average over their last 10 games.
• Marlins are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
• Marlins have a .230 batting average over their last 10 games.
• Astros are 26-19 at home this season.
• Marlins are 14-29 on the road this season.
• Astros rank 4th in the AL in slugging percentage.
• Marlins rank 25th in the league in batting average.
• Astros have outscored opponents by 18 runs in their last 10 games.
• Marlins have been outscored by 17 runs in their last 10 games.

Weather

Cloudy, 84°F

Prediction

The Houston Astros have been dominant at home with an eight-game winning streak and a solid overall performance. Their offense, led by Yordan Alvarez, has been productive, and their recent form has been strong. On the other hand, the Miami Marlins have struggled both on the road and overall this season. With Roddery Munoz's poor performance on the mound and the Marlins' recent form, it is likely that the Astros will continue their winning streak. Hence, the pick is for the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline.

Bookmaker: BetOnline.ag

Market: h2h

Commence Time: July 11

Team 1: Houston Astros (Odds: -197)

Team 2: Miami Marlins (Odds: +163)

Photo Credit: © Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports