MLB Moneyline Best Bets: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves 7/9
- Lm Tipster
- Jul 9, 2024, 6:43:47 PM
MLB Moneyline Best Bets: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves 7/9
Game Summary
The Arizona Diamondbacks will host the Atlanta Braves at Chase Field in Phoenix this Tuesday at 9:40 PM EDT. The Braves come into this matchup with a three-game win streak and an overall record of 50-39, placing them second in the NL East. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks stand at 45-46, holding the third spot in the NL West.
This game marks the fifth meeting between these teams this season, with the Braves currently leading the series 4-0. Atlanta has been particularly strong on the road with a 21-22 record, while Arizona has maintained a balanced 22-22 record at home. The Braves have excelled in games where they have not allowed a home run, boasting a 32-9 record in such instances. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have been successful when their offense is clicking, with a 38-18 record when they record at least eight hits in a game.
The pitching matchup is set to be an intriguing one with Chris Sale (11-3, 2.71 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 127 strikeouts) taking the mound for the Braves, and Zac Gallen (6-4, 3.06 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 71 strikeouts) pitching for the Diamondbacks. Both pitchers have had impressive seasons so far and will look to give their teams an edge in this crucial game.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Betting Line | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 7.5 |
| Spread - Braves | -127 |
| Spread - Diamondbacks | +106 |
| Moneyline - Braves | -120 |
| Moneyline - Diamondbacks | +102 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 11-3 | 2.71 | 0.91 | 127 |
| Zac Gallen (ARI) | 6-4 | 3.06 | 1.11 | 71 |
Team Previews
Arizona Diamondbacks
Hitting: The Diamondbacks have been a solid hitting team, ranking 8th in hits with 782 and 5th in runs scored with 448. Ketel Marte has been a standout performer with a .281 batting average and 17 home runs.
Relief Pitching: Their bullpen has struggled, ranking 24th in saves with 19 and 28th in ERA at 4.62.
Fielding: Fielding has been an issue, with 39 errors ranking them 27th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Zac Gallen has been a reliable starter with a 3.06 ERA and 71 strikeouts, but the overall pitching staff has underperformed.
Atlanta Braves
Hitting: The Braves have been average offensively, ranking 17th in both hits (727) and runs (384). Marcell Ozuna leads the team with a .292 batting average and 23 home runs.
Relief Pitching: Their bullpen has been strong, ranking 8th in saves with 25 and 2nd in ERA at 3.41.
Fielding: Fielding has been a strength, with only 38 errors ranking them 29th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Chris Sale has been exceptional with an 11-3 record, 2.71 ERA, and 127 strikeouts, anchoring one of the best starting rotations in the league.
Team Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Pfaadt | SP | Ankle | Day-to-day |
| Jordan Montgomery | SP | Knee | 15-Day IL |
| Blake Walston | SP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Merrill Kelly | SP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Kyle Nelson | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Miguel Castro | RP | Shoulder | 15-Day IL |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | SP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Drey Jameson | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Atlanta Braves
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond Kerr | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Ramon Laureano | RF | Back | Day-to-day |
| Brian Anderson | 3B | Bacterial Infection | 10-Day IL |
| AJ Smith-Shawver | SP | Oblique | 15-Day IL |
| Spencer Strider | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Hurston Waldrep | SP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Huascar Ynoa | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Michael Harris II | CF | Hamstring | 10-Day IL |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | RF | Knee | 60-Day IL |
| Jimmy Herget | RP | Shoulder | 15-Day IL |
| Tyler Matzek | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Angel Perdomo | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Betting Trends
- Diamondbacks are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- Braves are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- Diamondbacks have a .285 batting average in their last 10 games.
- Braves have a .238 batting average in their last 10 games.
- Diamondbacks have a 4.05 ERA in their last 10 games.
- Braves have a 2.32 ERA in their last 10 games.
- Diamondbacks have outscored opponents by 22 runs in their last 10 games.
- Braves have outscored opponents by 11 runs in their last 10 games.
Recent Games
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Atlanta | L5-4 F/11 | L |
| @ San Diego | W9-1 | W |
| @ San Diego | W7-5 F/10 | W |
| @ San Diego | L10-8 | L |
| @ Los Angeles | W9-3 | W |
Atlanta Braves
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Arizona | W5-4 F/11 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | W6-0 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | W5-1 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | L8-6 | L |
| vs San Francisco | L4-2 | L |
Team Rankings
| Category | Arizona Diamondbacks | Atlanta Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 8th | 17th |
| Starting Pitching | 28th | 2nd |
| Relief Pitching | 24th | 8th |
| Fielding | 27th | 29th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Diamondbacks are 45-46 overall this season.
- Diamondbacks are 22-22 at home this season.
- Diamondbacks are 38-18 when recording at least eight hits.
- Braves are 50-39 overall this season.
- Braves are 21-22 on the road this season.
- Braves are 32-9 in games when they did not allow a home run.
- Diamondbacks have a .253 team batting average, ranking 8th in the league.
- Braves have a .242 team batting average, ranking 18th in the league.
- Braves' bullpen ranks 2nd in ERA at 3.41.
- Diamondbacks' bullpen ranks 28th in ERA at 4.62.
Weather
Cloudy | Temperature: 105°F | High: 105°F
Prediction
Pick: Atlanta Braves moneyline
Given the current form of both teams, the Atlanta Braves appear to have the upper hand in this matchup. Chris Sale has been exceptional on the mound, and the Braves' bullpen has been one of the best in the league. While Zac Gallen has been solid for the Diamondbacks, the Braves' ability to limit home runs and their recent strong performances make them the favorites. Additionally, Atlanta's previous dominance in the season series further supports this pick.
