MLB Player Props Analysis Today: St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Game Summary

The St. Louis Cardinals and the Pittsburgh Pirates are set to face off on July 22 at PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The game features two teams with contrasting recent performances and playoff aspirations. The Cardinals, currently holding a 50-49 record, have been inconsistent this season but are looking to build momentum as they face a Pirates team that has been slightly better with a 52-47 record. The Pirates have a solid home record of 26-22, making this matchup particularly interesting.

In their last series, the Cardinals had a mixed bag of results against the Atlanta Braves. They lost a close game 3-2 in extra innings but bounced back with a 9-5 and 6-2 win. On the other hand, the Pirates recently played a series against the Philadelphia Phillies, winning two out of three games, including an 8-7 victory and a 4-1 win before losing the last game 6-0.

Historically, the Cardinals have had the upper hand in their matchups against the Pirates. However, given the current form of both teams, this game promises to be a tightly contested affair. The weather forecast for the game is cloudy with a temperature of 81°F, which should provide optimal playing conditions.

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Player Prop Odds

Here are the player prop odds for Lars Nootbaar in the upcoming game:

Batter Doubles 0.5: Over +390.0, Under -650.0

Batter Hits 0.5: Over -170.0, Under +125.0

Batter RBIs 0.5: Over +220.0, Under -310.0

Batter Runs Scored 0.5: Over +155.0, Under -210.0

Batter Singles 0.5: Over +110.0, Under -145.0

Batter Total Bases 0.5: Over -170.0, Under +125.0

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Player Analysis

Lars Nootbaar has been a key contributor for the St. Louis Cardinals this season. With a batting average of .288, he has proven to be a reliable hitter in the lineup. Nootbaar has also contributed 18 home runs and 61 RBIs, making him one of the team's top offensive threats. His ability to get on base and drive in runs will be crucial for the Cardinals in this matchup.

This season, Nootbaar has shown a knack for hitting doubles and singles, which is reflected in his prop odds. His consistency at the plate makes the over on hits and total bases an intriguing option for bettors. Given his recent form, Nootbaar is poised to make an impact against the Pirates' pitching staff.

Opposing Analysis

The Pittsburgh Pirates will be starting Mitch Keller on the mound. Keller has been one of the Pirates' most reliable pitchers this season, boasting a 10-5 record with a 3.46 ERA. He has accumulated 105 strikeouts in 114.1 innings pitched, showing his ability to dominate opposing hitters.

However, the Cardinals' lineup, including Lars Nootbaar, has had success against right-handed pitchers like Keller. The Cardinals rank 12th in the league with a team batting average of .247, and their ability to get on base and score runs will be tested against Keller's pitching.

Pitching Probables

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Player	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Andre Pallante (STL)	4-4	4.21	41
Mitch Keller (PIT)	10-5	3.46	105

Team Previews

St. Louis Cardinals:

The Cardinals have a balanced team with strengths in various areas. Their hitting has been led by key players like Lars Nootbaar and Bryan Reynolds. The Cardinals have a team batting average of .233, which ranks 26th in the league. However, they have shown the ability to score runs, with 414 runs this season, placing them 21st in the league.

Their pitching staff has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.86, ranking 12th. The starting pitchers have done a commendable job, and their bullpen has contributed with 25 saves, ranking 15th. Fielding has been a bit of a concern with 48 errors, ranking 20th.

Pittsburgh Pirates:

The Pirates have been impressive in various aspects of the game. Their hitting has been consistent, with a team batting average of .247, ranking 12th. They have also accumulated 822 hits, ranking 11th. However, their run production has been a bit lower, with 409 runs, ranking 24th.

The Pirates' pitching staff has been reliable, with a team ERA of 4.01, ranking 16th. Mitch Keller has been a standout performer in their rotation. The bullpen has been exceptional with 36 saves, leading the league. Fielding has been decent with 46 errors, ranking 24th.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Steven Matz	SP	Back	Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
Tommy Edman	2B	Wrist	Expected to be out until at least Jul 29

Player	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Ryan Borucki	RP	Wrist	Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
Daulton Jefferies	RP	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Jul 28

Recent Games

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Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	@ Atlanta	Postponed	Postponed
Sat, Jul 20	@ Atlanta	3-2 F/10	L
Sat, Jul 20	@ Atlanta	9-5	W
Sun, Jul 21	@ Atlanta	6-2	W
Mon, Jul 22	@ Pittsburgh	6:40 PM	Pending

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	vs Philadelphia	8-7	W
Sat, Jul 20	vs Philadelphia	4-1	W
Sun, Jul 21	vs Philadelphia	0-6	L
Mon, Jul 22	vs St. Louis	6:40 PM	Pending
Tue, Jul 23	vs St. Louis	6:40 PM	Pending

Prediction

Lars Nootbaar has been consistent at the plate, and with the prop odds favoring an over on hits (-170.0), it's a solid bet. Given his recent performance and the Cardinals' need for offensive production, Nootbaar is likely to get at least one hit in this game. Mitch Keller has been solid but not impervious, and Nootbaar's ability to make contact makes this a favorable bet.

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