Jose Ramirez's MLB Props - Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians 7/22

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 22, 2024, 6:13:26 AM
Jose Ramirez's MLB Props - Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians 7/22
Game Summary
The Detroit Tigers will face off against the Cleveland Guardians on July 22 at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. As the MLB season heats up, both teams are looking to make a statement. The Tigers currently hold a record of 59-39, while the Guardians are at 49-51. The Tigers have been solid both at home (31-13) and on the road (28-26), while the Guardians have a balanced record of 24-24 at home and 25-27 on the road.
In recent performances, the Tigers are coming off a series against the Toronto Blue Jays where they went 2-1, including a close 5-4 victory and a 7-3 win. The Guardians, on the other hand, have had a mixed bag against the San Diego Padres, winning one game 7-0 but losing the next two 7-0 and 2-1.
Historically, the Tigers and Guardians have had competitive matchups, with both teams showcasing strengths and weaknesses. This game is set to be a thrilling encounter as both teams aim to improve their standings.
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Player Prop Odds
Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+262), Under 0.5 (-404)
Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+420)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+159), Under 0.5 (-224)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+112), Under 0.5 (-154)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-103), Under 0.5 (-133)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+108), Under 1.5 (-148)
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Player Analysis
Jose Ramirez has been a standout performer for the Cleveland Guardians this season. Leading his team in home runs (23), RBIs (79), and MLB Rating (435.2), Ramirez is a formidable force at the plate. His batting average is respectable, and he consistently delivers in clutch moments. With an over/under of 0.5 for doubles, home runs, RBIs, and runs scored, Ramirez presents several attractive betting opportunities.
Specifically, Ramirez's ability to hit home runs and drive in runs makes him a significant threat against any pitcher. His odds of hitting a home run are set at +420, making it a high-risk but high-reward bet. Additionally, his odds of recording an RBI at +159 also offer value given his track record.
Opposing Analysis
The Tigers' starting pitcher, Carlos Carrasco, has had a challenging season with a 3-7 record and a 5.02 ERA. Carrasco has struggled to keep hitters off base, giving up 91 hits and 14 home runs in 86 innings pitched. This could play into Ramirez's strengths, as Carrasco's tendency to give up the long ball aligns well with Ramirez's power-hitting capabilities.
On the flip side, the Guardians face Tarik Skubal, who has been stellar with a 10-3 record and a 2.41 ERA. Skubal has held opposing hitters to a low average and boasts an impressive strikeout rate. However, the Tigers' offense overall ranks 10th in runs scored, showing they can put up runs against quality pitching.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Carrasco (DET) | 3-7 | 5.02 | 68 |
| Tarik Skubal (CLE) | 10-3 | 2.41 | 140 |
Team Previews
Detroit Tigers
The Tigers have had a strong season, currently sitting at 59-39. They rank 10th in runs scored with 461 and 16th in batting average at .242. Their pitching staff has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.68, ranking 6th in the league. The Tigers have also been effective in closing out games, with 34 saves, the second-most in the league. However, they have committed 51 errors, which could be a factor in close games.
Cleveland Guardians
The Guardians have had a more balanced season, with a record of 49-51. They rank 16th in runs scored with 425 and 24th in batting average at .234. Their pitching staff has a team ERA of 3.94, ranking 14th in the league. The Guardians' bullpen has been a bit shaky with 22 saves, tied for 22nd in the league. They have committed 59 errors, which is among the highest in the league, potentially costing them in crucial moments.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Parker Meadows | CF | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 (Hamstring) |
| Reese Olson | SP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 (Shoulder) |
| Kerry Carpenter | RF | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 (Back) |
| James Karinchak | RP | Expected to be out until at least Jul 31 (Shoulder) |
Recent Games
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Detroit Tigers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Toronto | W5-4 | W |
| @ Toronto | W7-3 | W |
| @ Toronto | L5-4 | L |
| @ Cleveland | 6:40 PM | Upcoming |
| @ Cleveland | 6:40 PM | Upcoming |
Cleveland Guardians
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs San Diego | W7-0 | W |
| vs San Diego | L7-0 | L |
| vs San Diego | L2-1 | L |
| vs Detroit | 6:40 PM | Upcoming |
| vs Detroit | 6:40 PM | Upcoming |
Prediction
Given the current form of both teams and the pitching matchup, this game has the potential to be high-scoring. Jose Ramirez's ability to hit home runs and drive in runs makes him an attractive pick for player props. Considering Carlos Carrasco's struggles on the mound, the odds of Ramirez hitting a home run (+420) and recording an RBI (+159) offer good value. Additionally, the over 1.5 total bases (+108) for Ramirez also presents a worthwhile bet.
Pick: Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Total Bases (+108)
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