Jarred Kelenic's MLB Props - Reds vs Braves 7/22

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 22, 2024, 6:03:23 AM
Jarred Kelenic's MLB Props - Reds vs Braves 7/22
Game Summary
The Cincinnati Reds will take on the Atlanta Braves on July 22, 2023, at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. This matchup features two teams with contrasting recent performances. The Reds, holding a 54-44 record, have shown resilience and consistency, especially with their pitching, which sports an impressive 3.44 ERA, ranking them first in the league. On the other hand, the Braves have struggled to find their footing, sitting at 47-53. Despite a potent offense, their inconsistent pitching has been a significant factor in their subpar record.
Historically, the Reds have had an edge over the Braves, especially in recent years. However, this matchup presents an exciting clash between two rising stars on the mound: Reynaldo Lopez for the Reds and Hunter Greene for the Braves. Lopez has been stellar with a 7-3 record and a 1.88 ERA, while Greene has also been solid with a 6-4 record and a 3.34 ERA. The Braves will look to leverage their home-field advantage, but the Reds' balanced lineup and formidable pitching staff could tip the scales in their favor.
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Player Prop Odds
Jarred Kelenic Player Props: - Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+440) - Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-180) - Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+460) - Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+190) - Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-110) - Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+105) - Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+390) - Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+140)
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Player Analysis
Jarred Kelenic has been one of the most exciting young talents in MLB. This season, he has shown flashes of brilliance with his bat, accumulating a respectable batting average and showcasing his power with home runs and RBIs. Kelenic’s versatility at the plate makes him a constant threat, whether it be hitting for power or advancing runners with timely singles. His speed on the bases also adds another layer to his offensive capabilities, making him a valuable asset for prop betting.
Opposing Analysis
Kelenic will be facing Hunter Greene, a talented young pitcher for the Atlanta Braves. Greene has a solid ERA of 3.34 and has accumulated 126 strikeouts over 110.1 innings, indicating his ability to miss bats. However, Greene has been prone to allowing home runs, having given up 10 this season. This could present an opportunity for a power hitter like Kelenic to take advantage. Additionally, the Braves' bullpen has been inconsistent, which could further benefit Kelenic in later innings.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Greene (ATL) | 6-4 | 3.34 | 1.11 | 110.1 | 78 | 126 | 45 | 10 |
| Reynaldo Lopez (CIN) | 7-3 | 1.88 | 1.17 | 95.2 | 78 | 95 | 34 | 6 |
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Team Previews
Cincinnati Reds
The Reds have been a balanced team this season, with a solid mix of offense and pitching. Offensively, they rank 16th in hits (789) and 19th in runs (415) with a team batting average of .241. Their strength, however, lies in their pitching. The Reds' pitching staff boasts a league-best 3.44 ERA and has shown remarkable consistency throughout the season. Their bullpen has also been reliable, contributing to their success in close games.
Atlanta Braves
The Braves, on the other hand, have had a more tumultuous season. While their offense has been potent, ranking 14th in runs scored (441), their pitching has been inconsistent. They rank 28th in hits allowed (746) and have a team ERA of 3.89. The Braves' defense has also been a concern, with 61 errors, making them one of the most error-prone teams in the league. Their bullpen has struggled at times, which has cost them several close games.
Team Injuries
Cincinnati Reds
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Maile | C | Sun, Jul 21 | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
Atlanta Braves
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Matzek | RP | Sun, Jul 21 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
| Max Fried | SP | Sun, Jul 21 | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Aug 7 |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | Sun, Jul 21 | Wrist | Expected to be out until at least Sep 15 |
| Jimmy Herget | RP | Sun, Jul 21 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
| Hurston Waldrep | SP | Sun, Jul 21 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
Recent Games
Cincinnati Reds
| DATE | OPPONENT | SCORE | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Washington | 5-8 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Washington | 4-5 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Washington | 2-5 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Atlanta | 7:20 PM | Upcoming |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Atlanta | 7:20 PM | Upcoming |
Atlanta Braves
| DATE | OPPONENT | SCORE | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs St. Louis | Postponed | Postponed |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs St. Louis | 3-2 F/10 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs St. Louis | 5-9 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs St. Louis | 2-6 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Cincinnati | 7:20 PM | Upcoming |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 0.5 Home Runs (+460)
Jarred Kelenic has shown the ability to hit for power, and with Hunter Greene's tendency to give up home runs, this prop bet presents good value. Given Kelenic's power-hitting capabilities and the Braves' inconsistent pitching, taking the over on 0.5 home runs at +460 odds is a solid bet.
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