Free MLB Player Props Picks: San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians

- Kingpin
- Jul 21, 2024, 4:04:31 PM
Free MLB Player Props Picks: San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians
Photo Credit: Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Cleveland Guardians (59-38, first in the AL Central) will host the San Diego Padres (51-50, third in the NL West) at Progressive Field on Sunday at 1:40 p.m. EDT. This game serves as the rubber match in the series, with both teams eyeing a critical win to bolster their standings and momentum as the season progresses.
Cleveland enters the game with an impressive 31-12 home record and currently sits atop the AL Central standings. The Guardians have been a balanced team with power and consistency, ranking eighth in the American League with 109 home runs. Jose Ramirez continues to be the standout player, leading the team with 23 home runs and a slugging percentage of .513. Steven Kwan also remains a key contributor, going 10-for-39 with a double over the past 10 games.
On the other hand, the San Diego Padres have experienced a mixed season with a 51-50 overall record and a 25-22 mark on the road. Despite their inconsistency, the Padres boast a solid slugging percentage of .406, ranking sixth in the National League. Jake Cronenworth leads the team with 14 home runs and a slugging percentage of .438, while Donovan Solano has been a notable performer, batting 13-for-38 with four doubles and two RBIs in the last 10 games.
In their previous matchups, both teams have had their moments, with Cleveland winning the first game 7-0 and San Diego bouncing back with a 7-0 victory in the second game. Sunday's game will be crucial in determining the series winner and setting the tone for the remainder of the season.
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Odds and Betting Lines
- Over/Under: 8 runs
- Spread: Guardians -112, Padres -107
- Moneyline: Guardians -112, Padres -107
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Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael King (CLE) | 7-6 | 3.41 | 1.23 | 111.0 | 95 | 129 | 42 | 14 |
| Ben Lively (SD) | 8-5 | 3.58 | 1.17 | 88.0 | 78 | 78 | 25 | 15 |
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Team Previews
San Diego Padres
Hitting: The Padres have shown decent power this season with a collective .406 slugging percentage, ranking sixth in the NL. Jake Cronenworth is the team leader with 14 home runs while slugging .438. Donovan Solano has been in good form recently, going 13-for-38 with four doubles and two RBIs over the last 10 games.
Relief Pitching: The Padres' bullpen has been relatively solid with 34 saves, ranking second in the league. Despite some struggles, the bullpen remains a crucial part of their strategy.
Fielding: Defensively, the Padres have committed 51 errors, ranking 15th in the league. However, their fielding has been adequate enough to support their pitching and hitting efforts.
Starting Pitchers: Ben Lively has been a reliable starter with an 8-5 record, a 3.58 ERA, and a 1.17 WHIP. His ability to control games and limit hits has been a key factor for the Padres.
Cleveland Guardians
Hitting: The Guardians are first in the AL with 891 hits and have a team batting average of .260, ranking second. Jose Ramirez leads the team with 23 home runs and 79 RBIs. Steven Kwan has also been productive, hitting .351 over the season.
Relief Pitching: Cleveland's bullpen has 24 saves, placing them 17th in the league. The bullpen has had its ups and downs but remains a critical component of the team's success.
Fielding: Defensively, the Guardians have made 48 errors, ranking 20th in the league. Their fielding has been solid, contributing to their overall strong performance this season.
Starting Pitchers: Michael King has been a standout for the Guardians with a 7-6 record, a 3.41 ERA, and a 1.23 WHIP. His consistency on the mound has been crucial for Cleveland's success.
Team Injuries
San Diego Padres
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | RP | Adductor | 15-Day IL |
| Joe Musgrove | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Tom Cosgrove | RP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | RF | Quadriceps | 10-Day IL |
| Luis Patino | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Cleveland Guardians
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Hentges | RP | Undisclosed | 15-Day IL |
| Matthew Boyd | SP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Shane Bieber | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Trevor Stephan | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| James Karinchak | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
San Diego Padres
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Cleveland | L 7-0 | L |
| @ Cleveland | W 7-0 | W |
| @ Washington | 6:45 PM | Upcoming |
| @ Washington | 6:45 PM | Upcoming |
| @ Washington | 12:05 PM | Upcoming |
Cleveland Guardians
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs San Diego | W 7-0 | W |
| vs San Diego | L 7-0 | L |
| vs Detroit | 6:40 PM | Upcoming |
| vs Detroit | 6:40 PM | Upcoming |
| vs Detroit | 6:40 PM | Upcoming |
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Team Rankings
| Category | San Diego Padres | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 21st (777 hits) | 1st (891 hits) |
| Runs | 10th (461 runs) | 11th (455 runs) |
| AVG | 16th (.242) | 2nd (.260) |
| Saves | 2nd (34 saves) | 17th (24 saves) |
| ERA | 6th (3.68 ERA) | 20th (4.15 ERA) |
| Errors | 15th (51 errors) | 20th (48 errors) |
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Prediction
Pick: Angel Martinez to score over 0.5 runs (-115)
Angel Martinez has been a consistent performer for the Guardians, and with the current form and matchup against the Padres, he is likely to score over 0.5 runs. The Padres have struggled with their pitching recently, allowing an average of 5.10 ERA in their last 10 games. This gives Martinez a good opportunity to capitalize and contribute to the Guardians' offense.
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