Francisco Lindor's MLB Props - Mets vs Marlins 7/22

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 22, 2024, 5:52:42 AM
Francisco Lindor's MLB Props - Mets vs Marlins 7/22
Game Summary
The New York Mets are set to face the Miami Marlins on July 22, 2024, at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. The Mets, struggling with a 35-64 record, will look to turn their fortunes around against the Marlins, who have been more competitive with a 50-48 record. Both teams have had their fair share of ups and downs this season, but this matchup promises to be a thrilling one with plenty of action on both sides.
In recent performances, the Mets have shown some resilience but continue to struggle overall. Their last five games include a mix of wins and losses, showcasing a fluctuating form. The Marlins, meanwhile, have had a slightly better run, with key victories that have kept them in the hunt for a playoff spot. Historically, the Mets have had a decent record against the Marlins, but this season has been a different story with the Marlins often getting the upper hand.
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Player Prop Odds
For Francisco Lindor in this game, the player prop odds are as follows:
Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+270), Under 0.5 (-400)
Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+185), Under 1.5 (-260)
Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+400), Under 0.5 (-700)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+145), Under 0.5 (-200)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-145), Under 0.5 (+105)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-120), Under 0.5 (-115)
Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+360), Under 0.5 (-600)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-110), Under 1.5 (-125)
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Player Analysis
Francisco Lindor has been a standout player for the New York Mets this season. With a batting average of .253, 19 home runs, and 63 RBIs, Lindor has been a key contributor to the Mets' offense. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a constant threat to opposing pitchers. Over the last few games, Lindor has shown consistency at the plate, which bodes well for his performance against the Marlins.
Lindor's recent form has been impressive, with multiple hits in several games. His ability to hit both doubles and home runs makes him a versatile hitter, capable of changing the game's dynamics with a single swing. Given his current form and the Mets' reliance on his offensive capabilities, Lindor is expected to have a significant impact in this matchup.
Opposing Analysis
The Miami Marlins will be starting David Peterson, who has had a solid season so far. With a 4-0 record, a 3.09 ERA, and 32 strikeouts over 43.2 innings, Peterson has been a reliable pitcher for the Marlins. However, the Mets' offense, led by Lindor, will look to exploit any weaknesses in Peterson's game.
While Peterson has been effective, he has shown vulnerability against top-tier hitters. Lindor's experience and ability to read pitchers will be crucial in this matchup. Additionally, the Marlins' bullpen has had its struggles, with an ERA of 4.21, which ranks 22nd in the league. This could provide Lindor with opportunities later in the game to capitalize on less experienced relievers.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Peterson (MIA) | 4-0 | 3.09 | 32 |
| Yonny Chirinos (NYM) | 0-1 | 5.76 | 21 |
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Team Previews
New York Mets
The New York Mets have struggled this season, with a record of 35-64. Offensively, the team has been inconsistent, ranking 25th in batting average (.233) and 29th in runs scored (342). Despite these struggles, the Mets have some bright spots, including Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso, who lead the team in home runs and RBIs.
On the pitching side, the Mets have also faced challenges. The team’s ERA of 4.54 ranks 27th in the league, and the bullpen has struggled to close out games. Yonny Chirinos, the probable starter for this game, has a 5.76 ERA and has struggled to find consistency.
Defensively, the Mets rank tied for 1st in errors with 68, which has often cost them crucial games. Improving their defensive play will be key to turning their season around.
Miami Marlins
The Miami Marlins have been more competitive this season, with a 50-48 record. The team ranks 10th in batting average (.249) and tied for 7th in runs scored (470), showcasing a more balanced offensive approach. Key players like Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Bryan De La Cruz have been pivotal in driving the offense.
Pitching has been a strength for the Marlins, with a team ERA of 4.21 ranking 22nd in the league. David Peterson, the probable starter, has been a standout with a 3.09 ERA and a 4-0 record. The bullpen has also been effective, with 26 saves ranking tied for 10th in the league.
Defensively, the Marlins have been solid, ranking 3rd in errors with 66. Maintaining this defensive consistency will be crucial in their playoff push.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shintaro Fujinami | RP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 22 |
| Braxton Garrett | SP | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Aug 23 |
| Dane Myers | RF | Ankle | Expected to be out until at least Sep 1 |
Recent Games
New York Mets
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Miami | L 6-4 | L |
| @ Miami | W 1-0 | W |
| @ Miami | L 4-2 | L |
| @ Miami | 6:40 PM | Upcoming |
| @ New York | 7:05 PM | Upcoming |
Miami Marlins
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs New York | W 6-4 | W |
| vs New York | L 1-0 | L |
| vs New York | W 4-2 | W |
| vs New York | 6:40 PM | Upcoming |
| vs Baltimore | 6:40 PM | Upcoming |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Francisco Lindor has been in good form recently, and given his matchups against David Peterson and the Marlins' bullpen, it is likely he will surpass 1.5 total bases. Lindor’s ability to hit for power and average makes this a strong pick for today's game.
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