Francisco Alvarez's MLB Props - Mets vs Marlins 7/22

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 22, 2024, 5:51:46 AM
Francisco Alvarez's MLB Props - Mets vs Marlins 7/22
Game Summary
The New York Mets are set to face off against the Miami Marlins on July 22nd at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. The Mets have struggled recently with a dismal overall record of 35-64, while the Marlins are hovering around .500 with a record of 50-48. The Mets have had a tough season, ranking 29th in runs scored and 27th in team ERA, and they have lost four of their last five games. On the other hand, the Marlins have shown moments of brilliance, ranking 10th in team batting average (.249) and tied for 7th in runs scored (470). Historically, the Mets have had the upper hand in this matchup, but recent form suggests the Marlins might have the edge.
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Player Prop Odds
Francisco Alvarez's prop odds for the game include:
Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+390), Under 0.5 (-650)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+190), Under 0.5 (-265)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+130), Under 0.5 (-175)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-115), Under 0.5 (-120)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+150), Under 1.5 (-205)
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Player Analysis
Francisco Alvarez has been a standout performer for the Mets this season. With a batting average of .251, 16 home runs, and 45 RBIs, he has been one of the few bright spots in an otherwise challenging season for the team. Alvarez's recent performance has been promising, and he will be looking to capitalize on his form against the Marlins. His prop odds reflect his potential impact on the game, especially in terms of total bases and RBIs.
Opposing Analysis
The Marlins' starting pitcher for this game is David Peterson, who has had a solid season with a 4-0 record, a 3.09 ERA, and 32 strikeouts over 43.2 innings pitched. The Marlins' bullpen has also been reliable, ranking tied for 10th in saves with 26. However, the Marlins have shown vulnerability against power hitters, and Alvarez could exploit this aspect.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Peterson (MIA) | 4-0 | 3.09 | 1.42 | 43.2 | 43 | 32 | 19 | 4 |
| Yonny Chirinos (NYM) | 0-1 | 5.76 | 1.72 | 25.0 | 34 | 21 | 9 | 5 |
Team Previews
New York Mets
The Mets have struggled across the board this season. Offensively, they are ranked 29th in runs scored (342) and 25th in batting average (.233). Their pitching has also been a weak point, with a team ERA of 4.54, ranking 27th in the league. In the field, the Mets have committed 68 errors, which is tied for the most in MLB.
Miami Marlins
The Marlins have been more competitive, especially on offense, where they are tied for 7th in runs scored (470) and 10th in batting average (.249). Their pitching staff has a combined ERA of 4.21, ranking 22nd in the league. Defensively, the Marlins have made 66 errors, the third-most in MLB.
Team Injuries
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| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shintaro Fujinami | RP | Sun, Jul 21 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 22 |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Garrett | SP | Thu, Jul 18 | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Aug 23 |
| Dane Myers | RF | Thu, Jul 18 | Ankle | Expected to be out until at least Sep 1 |
Recent Games
New York Mets
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Miami | L6-4 | 49-47 |
| @ Miami | W1-0 | 50-47 |
| @ Miami | L4-2 | 50-48 |
Miami Marlins
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs New York | W6-4 | 34-63 |
| vs New York | L1-0 | 34-64 |
| vs New York | W4-2 | 35-64 |
Prediction
Given Francisco Alvarez's recent form and the Marlins' vulnerability to power hitters, the prop bet that stands out is "Over 1.5 Total Bases" at +150 odds. Alvarez has shown the ability to rack up extra-base hits, and with Peterson's tendency to give up hits, Alvarez is poised to have a productive game.
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (+150)
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