Dominic Smith - MLB Prop Prediction: Red Sox vs Rockies 7/23

Game Summary

The Boston Red Sox (53-46, third in the AL East) will face off against the Colorado Rockies (37-64, fifth in the NL West) at Coors Field in Denver on Tuesday, July 23, 2024, at 8:40 p.m. EDT. The Red Sox are looking to break a four-game losing streak, while the Rockies are aiming to build on their recent victory over the Red Sox in a thrilling 12-inning affair.

The Rockies have a decent home record of 23-28 and are known for their power hitting, ranking sixth in the NL with 111 home runs. The Red Sox, on the other hand, boast a solid road record of 29-21 and are fifth in the majors with a team slugging percentage of .427. This game marks the second meeting between these two teams this season.

In terms of recent performance, the Rockies have managed a 5-5 record in their last 10 games, with a .251 batting average and a 5.66 ERA, though they have been outscored by nine runs. The Red Sox, meanwhile, are 4-6 in their last 10 games, hitting .288 and posting a 4.83 ERA, with an even run differential.

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Player Prop Odds

Dominic Smith's prop odds for the game are as follows:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+245)
• Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+165)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+110)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-150)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-165)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-120)

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Player Analysis

Dominic Smith has been a consistent performer for the Rockies this season. He has shown a knack for getting on base and driving in runs. Smith has accumulated a batting average of .255, with 10 home runs and 35 RBIs. His ability to hit for both average and power makes him a valuable asset in the Rockies' lineup.

Over his last 10 games, Smith has been on a tear, going 13-for-36 with four doubles, two home runs, and seven RBIs. His performance at Coors Field has been particularly impressive, where he has a .289 batting average and a .525 slugging percentage.

Opposing Analysis

The Red Sox will be starting Cooper Criswell, who has had an up-and-down season with a 3-4 record, a 4.50 ERA, and a 1.28 WHIP. Criswell has struggled with consistency, particularly on the road, where his ERA balloons to 5.25. Opposing hitters have a .265 average against him this season.

The Red Sox bullpen has also been shaky, with a team ERA of 4.83 over the last 10 games. This could provide ample opportunities for Smith to capitalize, especially in the hitter-friendly environment of Coors Field.

Pitching Probables

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Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Cooper Criswell (BOS)	3-4	4.50	1.28	58.0	59	50	15	7
Ty Blach (COL)	3-5	5.46	1.58	59.1	81	32	13	10

Team Previews

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox have been a strong offensive team this season, ranking fifth in team slugging percentage at .427. They are led by Rafael Devers, who has 23 home runs and 62 RBIs. Jarren Duran has also been a key contributor, boasting a .288 batting average and six doubles in his last 10 games.

The Red Sox bullpen, however, has been inconsistent, with a team ERA of 4.83 over the last 10 games. Injuries have also played a role, with key players like Kenley Jansen and Justin Slaten on the IL.

Colorado Rockies

The Rockies have struggled this season but have shown flashes of power with 111 home runs, ranking sixth in the NL. Brenton Doyle has been a standout player with 17 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs, and 46 RBIs. Mike Toglia has also been hot, going 9-for-38 with six home runs in his last 10 games.

The Rockies' pitching staff has been their Achilles' heel, with a team ERA of 5.66 over the last 10 games. Ty Blach, who will start for the Rockies, has a 5.46 ERA and has allowed 10 home runs in 59.1 innings.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Triston Casas	1B	Mon, Jul 22	Ribs	Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
Justin Slaten	RP	Mon, Jul 22	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Aug 2

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Ryan McMahon	3B	Mon, Jul 22	Finger	Probable for Jul 23
Kris Bryant	1B	Mon, Jul 22	Oblique	Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
Elias Diaz	C	Mon, Jul 22	Calf	Probable for Jul 23
German Marquez	SP	Mon, Jul 22	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
Nolan Jones	LF	Mon, Jul 22	Back	Expected to be out until at least Jul 23

Recent Games

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Boston Red Sox

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Los Angeles	L 4-1	L
@ Los Angeles	L 7-6 (11)	L
@ Los Angeles	L 9-6	L
@ Colorado	L 9-8 (12)	L

Colorado Rockies

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs San Francisco	W 7-3	W
vs San Francisco	W 4-3	W
vs San Francisco	L 3-2	L
vs Boston	W 9-8 (12)	W

Prediction

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