David Fry's MLB Props - Tigers vs Guardians 7/22

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 22, 2024, 5:45:40 AM
David Fry's MLB Props - Tigers vs Guardians 7/22
Game Summary
The Detroit Tigers will take on the Cleveland Guardians on July 22nd at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. This game features two teams with contrasting seasons. The Tigers, with a 59-39 record, have been a surprise this year, boasting a solid home record of 31-13 and a respectable 28-26 on the road. On the other hand, the Guardians have struggled to find consistency, sitting at 49-51 overall and hovering around .500 both at home (24-24) and on the road (25-27).
Recent matchups between these two teams have been competitive, with the Tigers taking a slight edge. Historically, the Guardians have held their own against the Tigers, but this season has seen a shift in momentum. The Tigers come into this game with a strong recent form, having won four of their last five games, including a pair of victories over the Toronto Blue Jays. The Guardians, meanwhile, have split their last five games, including a series loss to the San Diego Padres.
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Player Prop Odds
Batter Doubles Over 0.5: +366
Batter Doubles Under 0.5: -629
Batter Hits Over 0.5: -166
Batter Hits Under 0.5: +120
Batter RBIs Over 0.5: +208
Batter RBIs Under 0.5: -304
Batter Runs Scored Over 0.5: +165
Batter Runs Scored Under 0.5: -234
Batter Singles Over 0.5: +123
Batter Singles Under 0.5: -169
Batter Total Bases Over 0.5: -166
Batter Total Bases Under 0.5: +120
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Player Analysis
David Fry has been a reliable hitter for the Guardians this season. In his latest outings, Fry has shown his ability to get on base and drive in runs. Over the last 10 games, Fry has recorded a .271 batting average, with 3 home runs and 10 RBIs. His ability to hit for both power and average makes him a valuable asset in the Guardians' lineup.
Opposing Analysis
Opposing Fry on the mound is Detroit Tigers' Carlos Carrasco. Carrasco has had a challenging season with a 3-7 record and a 5.02 ERA. However, he has shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in games where he can keep his pitch count low and avoid giving up the long ball. The Tigers' bullpen has been a strong point, ranking 6th in ERA at 3.68, which means Fry will likely face some tough relievers if Carrasco struggles early.
Pitching Probables
Detroit Tigers: Carlos Carrasco (3-7, 5.02 ERA, 68 K)
Cleveland Guardians: Tarik Skubal (10-3, 2.41 ERA, 140 K)
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Team Previews
Detroit Tigers
Hitting: The Tigers rank 10th in runs scored (461) and 16th in batting average (.242). Their offense has been powered by key players like Steven Kwan (.346 BA) and Jose Ramirez (23 HR, 79 RBI).
Relief Pitching: As mentioned, the Tigers' bullpen has been a strong point, with a collective ERA of 3.68, ranking them 6th in the league.
Fielding: The Tigers have committed 51 errors this season, putting them 15th overall. This solid defense has helped them stay competitive in close games.
Starting Pitching: Carlos Carrasco has had a tough season, but the Tigers' rotation has overall been solid, contributing to their 59 wins thus far.
Cleveland Guardians
Hitting: The Guardians have struggled offensively, ranking 16th in runs scored (425) and 24th in batting average (.234). Riley Greene has been a bright spot, leading the team with a .271 batting average and 17 home runs.
Relief Pitching: The Guardians' bullpen has been middle-of-the-pack, with a 3.94 ERA ranking them 14th.
Fielding: The Guardians have committed 59 errors this season, ranking them 6th worst in the league.
Starting Pitching: Tarik Skubal has been a standout with a 10-3 record and a 2.41 ERA. He has consistently given the Guardians quality starts and should be a tough matchup for the Tigers.
Team Injuries
Detroit Tigers
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Meadows | CF | Hamstring | Out until at least Jul 26 |
| Reese Olson | SP | Shoulder | Out until at least Aug 6 |
| Kerry Carpenter | RF | Back | Out until at least Aug 6 |
Cleveland Guardians
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Karinchak | RP | Shoulder | Out until at least Jul 31 |
Recent Games
Detroit Tigers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Toronto | W 5-4 | W |
| @ Toronto | W 7-3 | W |
| @ Toronto | L 5-4 | L |
| @ Cleveland | 6:40 PM | Upcoming |
| @ Cleveland | 6:40 PM | Upcoming |
Cleveland Guardians
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs San Diego | W 7-0 | W |
| vs San Diego | L 7-0 | L |
| vs San Diego | L 2-1 | L |
| vs Detroit | 6:40 PM | Upcoming |
| vs Detroit | 6:40 PM | Upcoming |
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Prediction
Given Carlos Carrasco's struggles this season and David Fry's recent hot streak, the prop bet for David Fry to get a hit (Over 0.5 hits at -166) looks promising. Fry has been consistent at the plate, and facing a pitcher with a high ERA increases his chances of getting on base.
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