Alec Burleson's MLB Props - Cardinals vs Pirates 7/22

Game Summary

The St. Louis Cardinals will face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates on July 22, 2023, at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. This matchup features two teams with playoff aspirations, each looking to gain ground in their respective divisional races.

The Cardinals come into this game with a record of 50-49, while the Pirates hold a slightly better record at 52-47. Both teams have been competitive throughout the season, and this game is pivotal for their playoff hopes. The Cardinals have been on a recent hot streak, winning four out of their last five games, including a series against the Atlanta Braves. The Pirates, meanwhile, have been consistent but recently dropped a game to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Historically, the Cardinals have had the upper hand in this matchup, but the Pirates' improved form this season makes this an intriguing contest. The previous series between these two teams saw competitive games, with neither team able to dominate.

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Player Prop Odds

Alec Burleson Player Props:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+290), Under 0.5 (-450)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+195), Under 0.5 (-270)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+115), Under 0.5 (-160)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-135), Under 0.5 (+100)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+115), Under 1.5 (-155)

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Player Analysis

Alec Burleson has been a standout performer for the Cardinals this season, boasting a batting average of .294. He has been a reliable presence in the lineup, contributing 18 home runs and 59 RBIs. Burleson’s ability to make consistent contact and his power make him a threat against any pitcher.

His recent form has been impressive, with multiple multi-hit games in the past week. Burleson's tendency to come through in clutch situations makes him a key player to watch in this matchup. Given his current form, the prop bets on his singles and total bases are particularly intriguing.

Opposing Analysis

The Pirates’ pitching staff will be facing the challenge of containing Burleson. Mitch Keller, the probable starting pitcher for the Pirates, has had a solid season, posting a 10-5 record with a 3.46 ERA. Keller has been effective at limiting damage, but he has shown vulnerability to giving up home runs, having allowed 12 this season.

The Pirates’ bullpen has been one of the best in the league, leading MLB with 36 saves. However, their middle relief has shown inconsistency, which could be an area where the Cardinals can capitalize. The key for the Pirates will be to keep Burleson off-balance and avoid giving him opportunities with runners in scoring position.

Pitching Probables

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Pitcher	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Mitch Keller (PIT)	10-5	3.46	105
Andre Pallante (STL)	4-4	4.21	41

Team Previews

St. Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals have been solid across all phases of the game. Offensively, they are led by Bryan Reynolds, who has a .288 batting average, 18 home runs, and 61 RBIs. The team as a whole has an average of .233, which ranks them 26th in the league. However, they have shown the ability to score runs in bunches, currently ranking 21st with 414 runs scored.

The Cardinals' pitching staff has been their strength, with a team ERA of 3.86, good for 12th in MLB. Their bullpen has been reliable, notching 25 saves, which ranks them tied for 15th. The Cardinals' defense has committed 48 errors, placing them 20th in the league, indicating room for improvement in the field.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates' offense has been slightly better, with a team batting average of .247, ranking them 12th. They have scored 409 runs, which puts them at 24th in the league. Alec Burleson has been their standout performer, leading the team with a .294 average.

Pitching-wise, the Pirates have an ERA of 4.01 (16th in MLB). Their bullpen has been exceptional, with 36 saves, the most in the league. Defensively, the Pirates have committed 46 errors, ranking them 24th, which could be a point of exploitation for the Cardinals.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Steven Matz	SP	Expected to be out until at least Jul 30 (Back)
Tommy Edman	2B	Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 (Wrist)

Player	Position	Injury Status
Ryan Borucki	RP	Expected to be out until at least Jul 22 (Wrist)
Daulton Jefferies	RP	Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 (Elbow)

Recent Games

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Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Atlanta	Postponed	Postponed
@ Atlanta	L 3-2	L
@ Atlanta	W 9-5	W
@ Atlanta	W 6-2	W

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Philadelphia	W 8-7	W
vs Philadelphia	W 4-1	W
vs Philadelphia	L 6-0	L

Prediction

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