Aaron Judge's MLB Props - Yankees vs Rays 7/22

Game Summary

The New York Yankees are set to host the Tampa Bay Rays on July 22 at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, New York. This matchup is highly anticipated as both teams are battling for top positions in the AL East. The Yankees come into this game with a record of 50-49, while the Rays boast a more impressive 59-42 record. The Yankees have been inconsistent recently, having won only two of their last five games, whereas the Rays have managed three wins in their last five outings.

Historically, the Yankees have had the upper hand in head-to-head matchups, but this season the Rays have looked stronger overall, leading the division with their high-powered offense and solid pitching. Yankee Stadium, known for its hitter-friendly dimensions, could play a significant role in the outcome of this game, especially with sluggers like Aaron Judge in the lineup.

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Player Prop Odds

Aaron Judge has several prop bets available for this game:

Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+390), Under 0.5 (-650)

Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+170), Under 1.5 (-240)

Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+150), Under 0.5 (-205)

Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (-120), Under 0.5 (-115)

Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-175), Under 0.5 (+125)

Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+110), Under 0.5 (-150)

Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-145), Under 1.5 (+110)

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Player Analysis

Aaron Judge has been a powerhouse for the Yankees this season, leading the team with a .309 batting average, 35 home runs, and 89 RBIs. His ability to hit for power and average makes him a constant threat at the plate. Judge has also been successful in Yankee Stadium, where the shorter right-field porch plays to his strengths as a right-handed hitter.

Judge's recent form has been impressive, and he has been particularly effective against left-handed pitching. With a slugging percentage of .678 and an on-base percentage of .425, Judge is not only getting on base but also driving in runs at a high rate. His ability to hit the long ball makes the over on home runs (+150) an enticing option.

Opposing Analysis

Tampa Bay's probable starting pitcher, Carlos Rodon, has had an up-and-down season with a 9-7 record and a 4.63 ERA. Rodon has struggled with control at times, issuing 33 walks in 107 innings. His WHIP of 1.28 indicates that he allows a fair number of baserunners, which could spell trouble against a disciplined hitter like Judge.

The Rays' bullpen, however, has been one of the best in the league, ranking 4th in ERA. If Rodon can hand the game over to the bullpen with a lead, the Rays will be in a strong position. However, if Judge can get to Rodon early, the Yankees could drive up the score quickly. This makes the over on total bases (-145) and RBIs (-120) appealing bets for Judge.

Pitching Probables

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Player	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Zack Littell (NYY)	3-6	4.26	94
Carlos Rodon (TB)	9-7	4.63	112

Team Previews

Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays come into this game with a potent offense that ranks 1st in runs scored and 12th in hits. Their team batting average of .246 is respectable, and they are known for their ability to manufacture runs. The Rays' pitching staff has been excellent, with a team ERA of 3.57, ranking 4th in the league. Their relief pitching has been a strong point, consistently shutting down opponents in late innings.

New York Yankees

The Yankees have struggled offensively this season, ranking 27th in runs scored and 24th in hits. Their team batting average of .236 is below league average. However, their pitching staff has been solid, with a team ERA of 4.18. The Yankees' bullpen, in particular, has been reliable, ranking tied for 4th in saves. Fielding has been a concern, with 50 errors, ranking 18th in the league.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Jeffrey Springs	SP	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
Richard Lovelady	RP	Forearm	Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
Ryan Pepiot	SP	Knee	Expected to be out until at least Aug 3

Player	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Giancarlo Stanton	DH	Hamstring	Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
J.T. Brubaker	SP	Oblique	Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
Cody Poteet	SP	Triceps	Expected to be out until at least Jul 31

Recent Games

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Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	@ New York	L 6-1	L
Sat, Jul 20	@ New York	W 9-1	W
Sun, Jul 21	@ New York	W 6-4	W
Mon, Jul 22	@ New York	1:05 PM	Pending
Tue, Jul 23	@ Toronto	7:07 PM	Pending

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	vs Tampa Bay	W 6-1	W
Sat, Jul 20	vs Tampa Bay	L 9-1	L
Sun, Jul 21	vs Tampa Bay	L 6-4	L
Mon, Jul 22	vs Tampa Bay	1:05 PM	Pending
Tue, Jul 23	vs New York	7:05 PM	Pending

Prediction

Pick: Aaron Judge Over 0.5 Home Runs (+150)

Aaron Judge has been in tremendous form and has a favorable matchup against Carlos Rodon, who has been inconsistent this season. Yankee Stadium's dimensions also play into Judge's strengths, making the over on home runs a solid bet. Judge's power, combined with Rodon's struggles, makes this prop bet particularly appealing.

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