Karol Rosa vs Bethe Correia Odds, Preview and Prediction, October 2 (10/2): UFC

Credit: photo by David G. McIntyre-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time (Preliminary Card)	4:00 p.m. EST
Karol Rosa money line	-440
Bethe Correia money line	+340

 

Key stats

	Karol Rosa	Bethe Correia
Height	5'5	5'5
Weight	135	135
Reach	67.5'	64'
Record	14-3	11-5-1
Streak	W5	L1
Last 5	5-0	1-3-1

 

Preview

 

A Women’s Bantamweight contest features the surging Karol Rosa against former title challenger Bethe ‘Pitbull’ Correia. Rosa enters this fight on a five-fight win streak, with three of those coming in the UFC. While the future is bright for the young Brazilian, her UFC tenure has been marred somewhat by fight cancellations. Since Rosa’s debut in August of 2018, she has had two bouts and seven fight cancellations. Meanwhile, Correia will make the walk for the final time. The former title challenger and eleven-fight UFC veteran is set to retire following this bout. A loser of three of her last four fights, Correia no longer can compete with the best of the division. With no chance at the title, perhaps retirement is a smart way to avoid further punishment.

Prediction

With nothing to lose, it's interesting to see how Bethe Correia approaches this fight. While I don’t believe she has many advantages against Karola Rosa, she does have a weird ability to lure fighters into a sloppy fight. Obviously that isn’t a recipe for success, as evidence by her two wins in the last seven years. However, like most of Correia’s recent fights, this one is stylistically a tough one. Rosa has been evolving fight-to-fight, showing off ridiculous striking output in her first two UFC fights and wrestling in her most recent fight. 

As for a prediction, I have Rosa winning. I feel like this is a pretty easy fight to call. At 38 years old, Correia is clearly out of her prime. While she is as tough and game as they come, at this point, that will only aid ‘Pitbull’ in survival more than winning. Rosa is a crisp boxer who throws excellent combinations. While she hasn’t flashed power, her high output has proven to be tough to compete with. In Rosa’s first two UFC fights, she landed a combined 291 significant strikes. You’d have to combine Correia’s last six fights to get that production. In the end, Rosa is going to dominate this fight and pick up her first UFC stoppage victory via TKO.

PICK: Karol Rosa (-440)

 

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