Kingpin analysis
Alec Bohm Player Props Prediction: Braves vs Phillies

Alec Bohm Player Props Prediction: Braves vs Phillies
Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves are set to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies on August 29, 2024, at Citizens Bank Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 6:40 PM EDT. As the Braves arrive in Philadelphia, they're riding a five-game road winning streak, which has significantly boosted their confidence. Currently, the Braves hold a record of 73-60, placing them second in the NL East, while the Phillies lead the division with a strong 78-55 record.
In their last ten games, the Braves have been on a roll, going 8-2 with a batting average of .256 and a remarkable 2.45 ERA. This stellar performance has allowed them to outscore their opponents by 13 runs. The Phillies, on the other hand, have had a mixed bag, posting a 5-5 record in their last ten games with a .265 batting average and a 3.89 ERA, outscoring their opponents by six runs.
Historically, the two teams have faced each other nine times this season, with the Braves leading the series 6-3. This matchup is crucial for both teams as they continue their push for the postseason. The Braves have shown particular strength in games where they do not allow home runs, boasting a 46-12 record under such circumstances.
Looking at the individual performances, Kyle Schwarber has been a standout for the Phillies with 45 extra-base hits, including 28 home runs. J.T. Realmuto is also hot, going 13-for-36 over the past ten games with four doubles and two homers. For the Braves, Marcell Ozuna has been a force, hitting .309 with 37 home runs and 98 RBIs, while Alec Bohm looks to contribute significantly in this matchup.
Player Prop Odds
Alec Bohm
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+175)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-120)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-105)
Player Analysis
Alec Bohm has been a consistent performer for the Phillies this season. His batting average stands at an impressive .298, showcasing his ability to get on base and contribute to the team's offensive efforts. Bohm has accumulated 25 doubles and 18 home runs, driving in 75 RBIs, making him a key player in the lineup.
Looking at his recent performance, Bohm has been particularly effective at home, where he has a batting average close to .310. His plate discipline is evident in his strikeout rate, which is significantly lower than the league average, allowing him to make solid contact consistently.
His ability to drive the ball to all fields makes him a difficult matchup for opposing pitchers, especially in a hitter-friendly environment like Citizens Bank Park.
Opposing Analysis
The Braves' pitching staff, led by Charlie Morton, presents a unique challenge for Bohm. Morton has a 4.24 ERA and a WHIP of 1.30, indicating he's prone to giving up hits and runs. His strikeout rate is decent, but he struggles with walks, which could put Bohm in advantageous hitting situations. Against right-handed pitchers like Morton, Bohm has shown the ability to adapt and deliver, with a higher batting average and power numbers.
As for the Braves' hitters, their collective batting average of .258 puts them in the middle of the pack in MLB, but they've been effective in capitalizing on opportunities, which could lead to more scoring chances for Bohm.
Prop Analysis
For Bohm's props, the "Over 1.5 hits" at +175 presents a tantalizing opportunity. Given his recent form and the matchup against Morton, there's a strong possibility he could record at least two hits. His consistency at home supports this bet.
Looking at the "Over 0.5 runs scored," at -120, it seems smart given the Phillies' offensive firepower and Bohm's place in the batting order. If he gets on base, the chances of scoring increase with players like Schwarber and Realmuto behind him.
Finally, the "Over 1.5 total bases" at -105 is another favorable prop. Given Bohm's ability to hit for extra bases, especially at home, this bet aligns well with his recent performance metrics.
Starting Pitching Summary - Atlanta Braves
Charlie Morton will take the mound for the Braves. He currently has a record of 7-7 with a 4.24 ERA over 131.2 innings pitched. Morton has struck out 133 batters but has also allowed 20 home runs this season. His WHIP of 1.30 indicates that he can be hittable, which could bode well for a player like Bohm looking to capitalize on scoring opportunities.
Morton has struggled with his control at times, leading to walks that can put runners on base, which, if Bohm can get on, may set the stage for scoring opportunities.
Starting Pitching Summary - Philadelphia Phillies
Cristopher Sanchez will be the starting pitcher for the Phillies. With a 9-9 record and a 3.51 ERA, Sanchez has been a reliable option for the Phillies. Over 146.1 innings pitched, he has registered 116 strikeouts while allowing only 6 home runs. Sanchez's ability to limit home runs could be crucial in this matchup, as the Braves' power hitters will be swinging for the fences.
His WHIP of 1.27 shows that he can be effective, but the Braves have shown the ability to score runs, especially against left-handed pitching.
Bullpen Summary - Atlanta Braves
The Braves' bullpen has been solid throughout the season, with a collective ERA of 3.70, ranking them fourth in the league. They have depth in their relief options, which could be crucial in maintaining leads late in games. However, with several key injuries, their effectiveness may be tested as they approach the postseason.
Bullpen Summary - Philadelphia Phillies
The Phillies' bullpen has an ERA of 3.63, placing them second overall. This depth allows them to manage leads effectively and close out games, which will be vital if they can get a lead early against the Braves. The bullpen's performance could be a determining factor in the outcome of this matchup.
Team Previews
The Braves are a well-rounded team, currently ranked fifth in the league with a .258 batting average and seventh in runs scored with 646. Their pitching staff has been performing well, with a 3.70 ERA and a strong strikeout rate.
The Phillies, leading the NL East, have a collective batting average of .242 and have scored 576 runs. Their pitching staff, particularly their starters, has been effective, allowing them to maintain a competitive edge in the division.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | RP | Out for the season |
| Spencer Turnbull | RP | Expected to be out until at least Sep 10 |
Recent Games
| Team | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | Milwaukee | W6-2 | W |
| Phillies | Houston | L10-0 | L |
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