Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars Game 4 Betting Preview (May 13, 2025)

The Winnipeg Jets and Dallas Stars face off in Game 4 of their second-round NHL playoff series on Tuesday, May 13, 2025. The Stars hold a 2-1 series lead and can push Winnipeg to the brink with a win, while the Jets are desperate to even the series. Below we break down the matchup, latest odds, best bets, and a prediction for this pivotal playoff clash.

Matchup Preview

Playoff Context: This is a critical Game 4 with Dallas up 2-1 in the series. A Stars victory would give them a commanding 3-1 lead heading back to Winnipeg, whereas a Jets win would knot the series 2-2 and make it a best-of-three. The playoff intensity is sky-high, and every shift matters with a conference finals berth on the line.

Recent Form: The series has been a back-and-forth battle so far. Dallas took Game 1 in a tight contest, Winnipeg responded with a convincing 4-0 shutout in Game 2, and the Stars bounced back to win 5-2 in Game 3. The Jets have struggled on the road this postseason (0-4 in away games), which is a worrying trend as they play again in Dallas. The Stars, meanwhile, have been strong at home and regained momentum with their Game 3 offensive outburst.

Goaltending Duel: Connor Hellebuyck versus Jake Oettinger is a premier goalie matchup. Hellebuyck, one of the league’s top netminders (coming off a Vezina-caliber season), was stellar in Game 2 with a 21-save shutout. However, he looked more human in Game 3, allowing five goals as the Jets’ defense lapsed. On the other side, Oettinger has shown flashes of brilliance but has also had inconsistent stretches. He was shelled in Game 2, but rebounded by stopping the key shots in Game 3’s victory. Both goalies can steal a game when hot – expect a focused effort from Hellebuyck to shake off the last loss, and for Oettinger to try and build on his recent win. The edge in net could ultimately decide Game 4’s outcome.

Offensive Trends: The Stars boast a deep and balanced attack, which came alive with five goals in Game 3. Dallas got contributions up and down the lineup – Jason Robertson, Roope Hintz, Joe Pavelski, and others are all threats. Robertson (46 goals in the regular season) is the offensive catalyst, and veteran Pavelski continues to be a clutch scorer in the postseason. The Stars’ power play is dangerous as well, especially at home. Winnipeg’s offense has been more hit-or-miss in this series. The Jets exploded for four goals in their Game 2 win (with winger Nikolaj Ehlers tallying three points in that game), but they managed just two goals in Game 3. Kyle Connor and Mark Scheifele lead the Jets’ scoring punch – when they’re on the scoresheet, Winnipeg usually succeeds. With Ehlers and top defenseman Josh Morrissey back healthy, the Jets have their full complement of weapons, but they’ll need more consistency and secondary scoring to crack Dallas’s defensive structure.

Key Storylines: One big storyline is Jets coach Rick Bowness facing his former team – Bowness coached Dallas to a Stanley Cup Final in 2020, so there’s familiarity on both sides. His Jets will need to make adjustments after the Game 3 setback, especially to generate offense against Dallas’s checking. Another factor is Winnipeg’s road woes: can they finally win a playoff game away from home? The Stars will try to capitalize on home ice advantage and their playoff experience (many of these Stars players went deep last year). Also keep an eye on discipline – the series has been physical, and special teams could swing momentum if either side takes bad penalties. In a game this important, expect the Stars’ veterans like Jamie Benn and Tyler Seguin to set the tone physically and emotionally, while the Jets’ leaders attempt to keep their team composed and confident despite the pressure.

Latest Odds and Line

Odds: The Stars are home favorites in Game 4. Dallas is -145 on the moneyline (implied ~59% chance to win), while Winnipeg is a +125 underdog. The puck line favors Dallas -1.5 goals (meaning the Stars must win by 2+; that bet offers a bigger payout around +170), and Winnipeg +1.5 goals is priced around -200. The Over/Under is set at 5.5 goals for the game, reflecting moderate scoring expectations. These odds indicate bookmakers trust Dallas to take care of business at home, but it should be a competitive matchup.

Best Bet: Stars Moneyline (-145)

Best Bet – Dallas to Win: The recommended play is the Stars moneyline at -145. Dallas has the momentum and home ice, and they’ve shown the ability to respond after losses. The Jets’ 0-4 road record in the playoffs is hard to ignore – Winnipeg simply hasn’t proven they can win in a hostile environment yet. The Stars are a seasoned team that knows how pivotal this game is; they will be highly motivated to avoid letting the Jets back into the series.

From a matchup perspective, Dallas’ depth and two-way balance give them an edge. They can roll four lines effectively, and their defense (anchored by Miro Heiskanen) has largely kept Winnipeg’s top guns in check outside of that Game 2 outburst. If Oettinger provides solid goaltending, the Stars should be able to grind out a win in front of their fans. The Jets will put up a fight, but the safer bet is on the home team that has been more consistent. At -145, Dallas offers reasonable value to win outright in what projects to be a close game that the Stars find a way to pull out.

Top Player Prop: Jason Robertson to Score a Goal (+110)

Top Prop – Jason Robertson Anytime Goal: One player prop to target is Jason Robertson to score a goal (around +110 odds for an anytime goal scorer). Robertson is the offensive focal point for Dallas and led the team in goals during the regular season. He has a knack for stepping up in big moments and has been getting his chances in this series. While he may have been held off the scoresheet in the shutout loss, Robertson generates a high volume of shots and is a fixture on the top power-play unit. Back on home ice, he’s likely to find some quality looks. Winnipeg’s defense will have its hands full containing him, especially if they also have to worry about Hintz and Pavelski on other shifts. Robertson scoring in Game 4 is a solid prop bet given his talent and the importance of this game – the Stars will be leaning on their young star winger to provide offense, and he’s due to capitalize on his opportunities.

(If you’re looking for a Jets-centric prop: Kyle Connor over 3.5 shots on goal is another enticing play. Connor averages a high shot volume, and with Winnipeg facing urgency, he should be firing whenever he has a lane. But our top recommendation stays with Robertson lighting the lamp.)

Final Score Prediction

In a hard-fought contest, the Stars are predicted to come out on top 3-2 over the Jets. We envision a tight game with playoff-level intensity, where Dallas’ experience and home-ice advantage make the difference. Winnipeg’s improved health and Hellebuyck’s goaltending will keep it close, but ultimately the Stars should squeak out the win in regulation, perhaps with a late goal or strong third-period defensive stand. Projected final score: Dallas 3, Winnipeg 2.

FAQ

Q: Who is favored in the Jets vs. Stars Game 4 on May 13, 2025?
A: The Dallas Stars are favored at home in Game 4. The moneyline has Dallas around -145 (favorites), while Winnipeg is about +125 as the underdog. This means betting markets expect Dallas to win, given their home-ice advantage and 2-1 series lead.

Q: What is the best bet for the Winnipeg vs. Dallas playoff game?
A: Our best bet is the Dallas Stars moneyline (-145) to win the game. Dallas has been strong at home and has the momentum after winning Game 3. Winnipeg has yet to win a road game in these playoffs, which makes Dallas a safer pick to take Game 4. We expect a close matchup, but lean toward the Stars to pull out the victory.

Q: What is the predicted final score and total for Game 4?
A: We’re predicting a Stars 3-2 win over the Jets in Game 4. That score would total 5 goals, which falls just under the over/under of 5.5 goals. Given the quality of both goaltenders and the high stakes, a relatively low-scoring, one-goal game is a realistic outcome.