Kingpin analysis

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, Pick and Preview, February 21 (2/21): NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, Pick and Preview, February 21 (2/21): NHL

Credit: photo by Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 7:00 p.m. EST
Maple Leafs money line -340
Maple Leafs spread -1.5 (-125)
Candiens money line +270
Canadiens spread +1.5 (+105)
Over / under 6

 

2021-2022 season stats
  Toronto Maple Leafs Montreal Canadiens
Record 32-13-3 10-33-7
Road / home record 14-8-2 6-17-1
Streak L1 W2
Goals per game 3.58 2.20
Goals allowed per game 2.73 3.94
Shots per game 34.7 29.5
Shots allowed per game 30.8 34.3
PP % 31.58% 13.01%
PK % 15.44% 26.22%
Over / under record 26-21-1 27-22-1

 

Preview

The Maple Leafs will visit the Montreal Canadiens on Monday night. These teams already met earlier this season and the Maple Leafs took the win at home 2-1.

TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS 

After winning two straight games the Maple Leafs lost against the Blues at home. William Nylander had two goals and T.J. Brodie scored his first goal since Jan. 5 for Toronto. Jack Campbell made 28 saves.

Toronto are averaging 3.6 goals per game and are scoring on 31.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 33 goals, Morgan Rielly has 36 assists and William Nylander has 161 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.7 goals per game and are killing 84.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays.

The Maple Leafs are 7-3 in their last 10 games and have scored 4.3 goals per game and allowing 2.9 gpg.

MONTREAL CANADIENS

Believe it or not, the Canadiens have won 2 straight games for the first time this season, they beat Blues and the Islanders. Before that they were on a 10 game losing streak.

Canadiens are averaging 2.2 goals per game and are scoring on 13 percent of their power play opportunities. Josh Anderson leads Montreal with 10 goals, Nick Suzuki has 20 assists and Artturi Lehkonen has 89 shots on goal. Defensively, the Montreal Canadiens are allowing 3.9 goals per game and are killing 73.8 percent of their opponent’s power plays.

BETTING TRENDS

Toronto are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games.

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 10 games.

Montreal are 3-16 SU in their last 19 games.

Montreal are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games at home.

Prediction

The Canadiens have averaged 2.3 goals and allowed 4.2 goals in their last 10 games. Toronto has scored three goals or more in eight out of their last 10 games. Toronto barely beat the Canadiens at home in October so I'm not going touching the side but the Over seems like a good option. The total has gone OVER in 10 of Montreal's last 14 games and in 8 of Toronto's last 10 games.

PICK: Over 6 (-125)

Find more sports picks from the top sports bettors and NHL experts all in one place using our iOS and Google Play apps, as well as our other articles at Kingpin.pro.  We are the home for NHL picks, sports picks and sports betting.

Kingpin PRO

Get ranked cards and line-move alerts in the app

Tracked experts, Edge scores, and alerts on iPhone and Android.

Simulated results. Entertainment only. Gambling involves risk.

Methodology and disclosure

Historical Kingpin articles preserve original body copy, authors, and publication dates. Structured pick or odds modules appear only when the source article provides them.

Kingpin PRO

Track this game in the Kingpin app

Transparent simulated records. Entertainment only.

Simulated results. Entertainment only. Gambling involves risk.

Simulated results for entertainment. Gambling involves risk. Bet only where legal.

Kingpin analysis · 4.8★Get ranked cards for this game in the app
Choose app store