Kingpin analysis

Desmond Bane: Over/Under 23.5 Points Tonight?

Desmond Bane: Over/Under 23.5 Points Tonight?

Desmond Bane - Will he go over or under 23.5 points tonight?

Offense Production

Desmond Bane has been playing solid basketball lately, averaging 20.7 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 4.4 assists over his last ten games. He’s been a consistent source of offense for the Memphis Grizzlies, which is important given how integral he is to the team’s success. Bane has also been an efficient scorer, shooting 50.8% from the field and 42.3% from beyond the arc over this stretch.

Opposing Defense

The Dallas Mavericks have a below-average defense, allowing 113.2 points per game this season. They haven't been any better in recent games, holding their opponents to 113.7 points per game over their last three games. The Mavericks have held Bane to 15 points or fewer in two of the three games they’ve played against the Grizzlies this season.

How injuries on team affect his prop total

The Grizzlies have a few players dealing with injuries, including Steven Adams and Vince Williams Jr. However, these players don’t have a significant impact on Bane's prop total, as they’re not primary scorers for the team. Bane should still see plenty of opportunities to score regardless of who's available for the Grizzlies.

Why He could go over

Bane has been playing some of his best basketball lately, scoring at least 23 points in six of his last ten games. The Grizzlies have been relying heavily on him for offense, which means he should see plenty of opportunities to score against the Mavericks. Bane has also been shooting the ball efficiently, which bodes well for his chances of hitting the over.

Why he could go under

Bane has struggled in two of the three games against the Mavericks this season, scoring 15 points or fewer in both of those games. The Mavericks have a decent defense that has been improving lately, which could make it harder for Bane to get good looks at the basket. Moreover, with Luka Doncic and Ja Morant likely to dominate the ball, Bane might not get as many scoring opportunities as he would like.

Pick: Under 23.5

Overall, Bane has been playing excellent basketball lately, but there are reasons to be cautious about his chances of hitting the over tonight. The Mavericks have been playing better defense latel as well.

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Methodology and disclosure

Historical Kingpin articles preserve original body copy, authors, and publication dates. Structured pick or odds modules appear only when the source article provides them.

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Kingpin analysis · 4.8★Get ranked cards for this game in the app
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