Kingpin analysis
Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 18 (8/18): MLB

Credit: photo by Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
Odds
| Time | 7:20 p.m. EST |
| Braves money line | |
| Braves run line | |
| Mets money line | |
| Mets run line | |
| Over / under |
Key stats
| Atlanta Braves | New York Mets | |
| Record | 72-47 | 76-42 |
| Home / road record | 39-23 | 36-23 |
| Last 10 record | 8-2 | 7-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Over / under record | 60-52-7 | 60-51-7 |
| Runs / game | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| Runs allowed / game | 3.97 | 3.64 |
Preview
The New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves will play the 4th game of the series at the loanDepot park on Thursday. The Mets bounced back and got the win 9-7 in the third game of the series. Baty homered in his first major league at-bat, Starling Marte went deep twice.
Atlanta Braves
The Braves get here with a 72-47 record and have won 8 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.81 runs per game. They're batting for .250 AVG, 539 runs scored in 955 hits and 170 home runs, ranking #3 in offense in the league behind the NY Yankees. Austin Riley is leading the team with 30 home runs and 74 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .300.
Defensively they are allowing 3.97 runs per game and rank #7 in the league. Max Fried leads the pitching staff with a 2.60 ERA, 127 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded with the Braves.
Probable Pitcher: Jake Odorizzi (4-4, 3.80 ERA)
Odorizzi will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for Atlanta. Manager Brian Snitker announced Fried (concussion) will be activated off the 7-day injured list to start Thursday against the Mets. The left-hander landed on the shelf due to the concussion last week, and he'll rejoin the rotation after being sidelined for little more than the minimum of seven days. He has a record of 5-5 with an ERA of 2.86 and 92 strikeouts in 19 appearances against the Mets in his career.
New York Mets
The Mets get here with a 76-42 record and have won 7 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.80 runs per game. They're batting for .259 AVG, 544 runs scored in 992 hits and 115 home runs, ranking #4 in offense in the league behind the Atlanta Braves. Jeff McNeil is batting for .307 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 29 home runs and 96 RBI.
Defensively they are allowing 3.64 runs per game and rank #4 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 3.39 ERA, 123 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded with the NY Mets.
Probable Pitcher: Jacob deGrom (2-0, 1.62 ERA)
DeGrom will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Mets. DeGrom gave up two hits and no walks while striking out 10 over six shutout innings to earn the win in a 1-0 victory over the Phillies on Saturday. He has a record of 10-7 with an ERA of 2.01 and 213 strikeouts in 26 appearances versus the Braves in his career.
BETTING TRENDS
NY Mets are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games against Atlanta.
NY Mets are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games on the road.
NY Mets are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games against an opponent in the National League.
Atlanta Braves are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games at home.
Atlanta Braves are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the National League.
Prediction
The Mets bounced back and beat the Braves in a high scoring game on Wednesday but don't expect the same picture for the final game of this series as both teams will go with their best pitchers. Jacob deGrom will start for the Mets who's looking like he never left allowing 3 runs across 16.2 innings pitched so far and the Mets with a 2-0 record. Max Fried is ready to go for the Braves who's having another great season but the Braves have lost 2 of 3 games vs Mets with him on the mound this season. The Braves don't seem like they'll slow down at all but if somebody can stop them is Jacob deGrom. Take the Mets.
PICK: Mets ML
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