NBA Playoffs Player Prop Bets – Sunday, May 11, 2025

The 2025 NBA Playoffs continue with two pivotal Game 4 matchups: the Oklahoma City Thunder face the Denver Nuggets in the Western Conference Semifinals, while the Cleveland Cavaliers take on the Indiana Pacers in the Eastern Conference Semifinals. Below, we analyze the top player prop bets for today's games, providing insights and predictions to guide your wagering decisions.

Game 1: Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets

Time: 3:30 PM ET
Location: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Series: Nuggets lead 2-1

Top Player Prop Bets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-115)

Gilgeous-Alexander has been a consistent contributor in multiple facets of the game. In Game 3, he recorded 13 rebounds and 7 assists. Averaging 9 rebounds and 7.7 assists per game in the series, he has surpassed this combined total in two of the three games. His involvement in both rebounding and playmaking makes this over a strong consideration.

Nikola Jokic Over 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (-160)

Despite a 0-for-10 performance from beyond the arc in Game 3, Jokic attempted 10 three-pointers, indicating a willingness to shoot from distance. He made multiple threes in the first two games of the series. Given his shooting volume and previous success, the over on 1.5 made threes is a viable bet.

Chet Holmgren Over 1.5 Assists (-120)

Holmgren has shown the ability to distribute the ball effectively. While he didn't record an assist in Game 3, he had four assists combined in the first two games. Considering his season average of two assists per game, betting on the over is reasonable.

Nikola Jokic Over 3.5 Turnovers (-130)

Jokic has committed 13 turnovers over the first two games of the series, averaging 6.5 per game. The Thunder's defensive strategy has disrupted his playmaking, leading to increased turnovers. Betting on the over for turnovers aligns with this trend.

Game 2: Cleveland Cavaliers at Indiana Pacers

Time: 8:00 PM ET
Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
Series: Pacers lead 2-1

Top Player Prop Bets

Tyrese Haliburton Over 17.5 Points (-105)

Haliburton scored only 4 points in Game 3 but had 19 and 20 points in the first two games. He averaged 18.6 points per game during the regular season and 20.4 at home. Expecting a bounce-back performance, the over on 17.5 points is a solid bet.

Darius Garland Over 2.5 Made Three-Pointers (+150)

Garland made two three-pointers in Game 3 and has made multiple threes in all three matchups against the Pacers this season. With a regular-season average of 2.8 made threes per game, betting on the over offers value.

Evan Mobley Over 10.5 Rebounds (-110)

Mobley has recorded 13 and 10 rebounds in the two games he's played in this series. Given his increased rebounding numbers against the Pacers, the over on 10.5 rebounds is a strong consideration.

Summary of Top Player Prop Bets

Player	Team	Prop	Line	Odds
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	Thunder	Rebounds + Assists	Over 12.5	-115
Nikola Jokic	Nuggets	Made Three-Pointers	Over 1.5	-160
Chet Holmgren	Thunder	Assists	Over 1.5	-120
Nikola Jokic	Nuggets	Turnovers	Over 3.5	-130
Tyrese Haliburton	Pacers	Points	Over 17.5	-105
Darius Garland	Cavaliers	Made Three-Pointers	Over 2.5	+150
Evan Mobley	Cavaliers	Rebounds	Over 10.5	-110

Prediction