Tampa Bay LIghtning vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, Pick and Preview, December 28 (12/28): NHL

Tampa Bay LIghtning vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, Pick and Preview, December 28 (12/28): NHL

 

Odds

Time 7:00 p.m. EST
Lightning money line -200
Lightning spread -1.5 (+130)
Canadiens  money line +170
Canadiens spread +1.5 (-150)
Over / under 6

 

2021-2022 season stats

  Tampa Bay Lightning Montreal Canadiens
Record 15-9-1 12-9-2
Home / road record 8-4-1 5-6
Streak L1 W3
Goals per game 3.44 2.61
Goals allowed per game 3.12 2.78
Shots per game 31.3 29.7
Shots allowed per game 30.2 33.2
PP % 28.6% 29.10%
PK % 25.22% 20.80%
Over / under record 13-10-2 10-12-1
 

Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning continue at home and will host the Montreal Canadiens at the Amalie Arena on Thursday night. These teams already faced each other this season in Montreal where the Lightning took the win 3-2.

 

Tampa Bay Lightning

The Lightning have won 4 of their last 6 games and are 8-4-1 at home with a 15-9-1 record overall ranking 4th in the Atlantic Division. The Lightning have conceded 78 goals while scoring 86 for a +8 scoring differential.

Steven Stamkos has 14 goals and 16 assists for the Lightning. Nikita Kucherov has four goals and 10 assists over the last 10 games.

In their last 10 games the Lightning are 7-3-0, averaging 3.7 goals, 6.6 assists, 3.7 penalties and 7.7 penalty minutes while giving up 2.7 goals per game.

Montreal Canadiens

The Canadiens have won their last 3 games and are 5-3 at home so far this season with a 8-6-1 record overall ranking 6th in the Atlantic division. They're coming from a 5-4 win in overtime at home against the Penguins. Mike Hoffman scored 63 seconds into overtime for the win. Nick Suzuki scored one goal and added one assist, Josh Anderson and Cole Caufield also scored for the Canadiens, who boosted their winning streak to three games. Jake Allen allowed four goals and made 19 saves.

Nick Suzuki leads the Canadiens with 10 goals, 9 total assists and has 19 points. Kirby Dach is leading the team in assists with 10.

In their last 10 games the Canadiens are 5-5, averaging 3.2 goals, 4.9 assists, 4.4 penalties and 11 penalty minutes while allowing 3.5 goals per game with an .871 save percentage.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Montreal are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

Montreal are 2-10 SU in their last 12 games against Tampa Bay.

Montreal are 7-13 SU in their last 20 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games against Montreal.

The total has gone OVER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 12 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Lightning have been playing much better lately and have won 7 of their last 10 games scoring an average of 3.7 goals per game on that strecht and already beat the Canadiens earlier this season on the road. The Canadiens have also been pretty good lately winning 4 of their last 5 games but they have struggled against the Lightning. This should be a close game and with both teams hot right now I think the best play is the over.

PICK: Over 6 (-110) 

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