UFC Predictions & Best Bets — September 9, 2026

UFC best bets for September 9, 2026. This card covers all 8 scheduled fights and ranks the bets from strongest to weakest. The order matters: the first plays have the best mix of price and current win probability.

Use the listed sportsbook price as the target. A worse line can wipe out the value, especially on favorites and alternate spreads. Odds move throughout the day, so compare books before placing anything.

UFC best bets ranked

1. #1 Eduarda Moura vs Casey O'Neill: Eduarda Moura at +155
2. #2 Brian Ortega vs Renato Moicano: Brian Ortega at +174
3. #3 Brunno Ferreira vs Edmen Shahbazyan: Brunno Ferreira at +135
4. #4 Charles Jourdain vs Marlon Vera: Marlon Vera at +200
5. #5 Mauricio Ruffy vs Arman Tsarukyan: Mauricio Ruffy at +303
6. #6 Iwo Baraniewski vs Alonzo Menifield: Alonzo Menifield at +245
7. #7 Joanderson Brito vs Giga Chikadze: Giga Chikadze at +274
8. #8 Robelis Despaigne vs Tai Tuivasa: Tai Tuivasa at +505

#1 Eduarda Moura vs Casey O'Neill

Best bet: Eduarda Moura (+155) · Moneyline · MARKET LEAN

Why this bet ranks #1

Eduarda Moura is available at +155 at BetOnline. The no-vig market is 38% compared with a 39.2% break-even rate at that price. Eduarda Moura brings record 12-2-0, wins by knockout 4, wins by submission 5, first round finishes 7. Casey O'Neill brings record 11-2-0, wins by knockout 4, wins by submission 2, first round finishes 2. The clearest documented win path for Eduarda Moura is 5 submission wins to Casey O'Neill's 2.

Current market comparison

• Moneyline: Eduarda Moura at +155 (BetOnline) — 38% market win probability vs 39.2% break-even.

What could change the bet

Keep Eduarda Moura at +155 only if Eduarda Moura and Casey O'Neill both make weight and the opponent, weight class, and bout format remain unchanged. A replacement or medical issue invalidates the fighter-style comparison used for Eduarda Moura vs Casey O'Neill.

#2 Brian Ortega vs Renato Moicano

Best bet: Brian Ortega (+174) · Moneyline · MARKET LEAN

Why this bet ranks #2

Brian Ortega is available at +174 at BetOnline. The no-vig market is 35.4% compared with a 36.5% break-even rate at that price. Brian Ortega brings record 16-5-0, wins by knockout 3, wins by submission 8, first round finishes 4. Renato Moicano brings record 21-7-1, wins by knockout 2, wins by submission 11, first round finishes 4. The clearest documented win path for Brian Ortega is 3 listed knockout wins to Renato Moicano's 2. The main style counter is Renato Moicano's 11 submission wins.

Current market comparison

• Moneyline: Brian Ortega at +174 (BetOnline) — 35.4% market win probability vs 36.5% break-even.

What could change the bet

Keep Brian Ortega at +174 only if Brian Ortega and Renato Moicano both make weight and the opponent, weight class, and bout format remain unchanged. A replacement or medical issue invalidates the fighter-style comparison used for Brian Ortega vs Renato Moicano.

#3 Brunno Ferreira vs Edmen Shahbazyan

Best bet: Brunno Ferreira (+135) · Moneyline · MARKET LEAN

Why this bet ranks #3

Brunno Ferreira is available at +135 at BetOnline. The no-vig market is 41.2% compared with a 42.6% break-even rate at that price. Brunno Ferreira brings record 15-4-0, wins by knockout 9, wins by submission 5, first round finishes 11. Edmen Shahbazyan brings record 16-6-0, wins by knockout 13, wins by submission 1, first round finishes 13. The clearest documented win path for Brunno Ferreira is 5 submission wins to Edmen Shahbazyan's 1. The main style counter is Edmen Shahbazyan's 13 knockout wins.

Current market comparison

• Moneyline: Brunno Ferreira at +135 (BetOnline) — 41.2% market win probability vs 42.6% break-even.

What could change the bet

Keep Brunno Ferreira at +135 only if Brunno Ferreira and Edmen Shahbazyan both make weight and the opponent, weight class, and bout format remain unchanged. A replacement or medical issue invalidates the fighter-style comparison used for Brunno Ferreira vs Edmen Shahbazyan.

#4 Charles Jourdain vs Marlon Vera

Best bet: Marlon Vera (+200) · Moneyline · MARKET LEAN

Why this bet ranks #4

Marlon Vera is available at +200 at BetOnline. The no-vig market is 32.1% compared with a 33.3% break-even rate at that price. Charles Jourdain brings record 18-8-1, wins by knockout 8, wins by submission 7, first round finishes 6. Marlon Vera brings record 23-12-1, wins by knockout 8, wins by submission 10, first round finishes 8. The clearest documented win path for Marlon Vera is 10 submission wins to Charles Jourdain's 7.

Current market comparison

• Moneyline: Marlon Vera at +200 (BetOnline) — 32.1% market win probability vs 33.3% break-even.

What could change the bet

Keep Marlon Vera at +200 only if Charles Jourdain and Marlon Vera both make weight and the opponent, weight class, and bout format remain unchanged. A replacement or medical issue invalidates the fighter-style comparison used for Charles Jourdain vs Marlon Vera.

#5 Mauricio Ruffy vs Arman Tsarukyan

Best bet: Mauricio Ruffy (+303) · Moneyline · MARKET LEAN

Why this bet ranks #5

Mauricio Ruffy is available at +303 at BetOnline. The no-vig market is 23.9% compared with a 24.8% break-even rate at that price. Mauricio Ruffy brings record 14-2-0, wins by knockout 13, first round finishes 9, sig strikes landed 245. Arman Tsarukyan brings record 23-3-0, wins by knockout 9, wins by submission 6, first round finishes 8. The clearest documented win path for Mauricio Ruffy is 13 listed knockout wins to Arman Tsarukyan's 9.

Current market comparison

• Moneyline: Mauricio Ruffy at +303 (BetOnline) — 23.9% market win probability vs 24.8% break-even.

What could change the bet

Keep Mauricio Ruffy at +303 only if Mauricio Ruffy and Arman Tsarukyan both make weight and the opponent, weight class, and bout format remain unchanged. A replacement or medical issue invalidates the fighter-style comparison used for Mauricio Ruffy vs Arman Tsarukyan.

#6 Iwo Baraniewski vs Alonzo Menifield

Best bet: Alonzo Menifield (+245) · Moneyline · MARKET LEAN

Why this bet ranks #6

Alonzo Menifield is available at +245 at BetOnline. The no-vig market is 27.9% compared with a 29% break-even rate at that price. Iwo Baraniewski brings record 9-0-0, wins by knockout 7, wins by submission 2, first round finishes 9. Alonzo Menifield brings record 18-6-1, wins by knockout 11, wins by submission 3, first round finishes 11. The clearest documented win path for Alonzo Menifield is 11 listed knockout wins to Iwo Baraniewski's 7 and 3 submission wins to Iwo Baraniewski's 2.

Current market comparison

• Moneyline: Alonzo Menifield at +245 (BetOnline) — 27.9% market win probability vs 29% break-even.

What could change the bet

Keep Alonzo Menifield at +245 only if Iwo Baraniewski and Alonzo Menifield both make weight and the opponent, weight class, and bout format remain unchanged. A replacement or medical issue invalidates the fighter-style comparison used for Iwo Baraniewski vs Alonzo Menifield.

#7 Joanderson Brito vs Giga Chikadze

Best bet: Giga Chikadze (+274) · Moneyline · MARKET LEAN

Why this bet ranks #7

Giga Chikadze is available at +274 at BetOnline. The no-vig market is 25.7% compared with a 26.7% break-even rate at that price. Joanderson Brito brings record 19-5-1, wins by knockout 8, wins by submission 8, first round finishes 11. Giga Chikadze brings record 15-6-0, wins by knockout 9, wins by submission 1, first round finishes 9. The clearest documented win path for Giga Chikadze is 9 listed knockout wins to Joanderson Brito's 8. The main style counter is Joanderson Brito's 8 submission wins.

Current market comparison

• Moneyline: Giga Chikadze at +274 (BetOnline) — 25.7% market win probability vs 26.7% break-even.

What could change the bet

Keep Giga Chikadze at +274 only if Joanderson Brito and Giga Chikadze both make weight and the opponent, weight class, and bout format remain unchanged. A replacement or medical issue invalidates the fighter-style comparison used for Joanderson Brito vs Giga Chikadze.

#8 Robelis Despaigne vs Tai Tuivasa

Best bet: Tai Tuivasa (+505) · Moneyline · MARKET LEAN

Why this bet ranks #8

Tai Tuivasa is available at +505 at BetOnline. The no-vig market is 15.9% compared with a 16.5% break-even rate at that price. Robelis Despaigne brings record 5-2-0, wins by knockout 5, first round finishes 5, sig strikes landed 64. Tai Tuivasa brings record 15-10-0, wins by knockout 14, first round finishes 12, sig strikes landed 491. The clearest documented win path for Tai Tuivasa is 14 listed knockout wins to Robelis Despaigne's 5.

Current market comparison

• Moneyline: Tai Tuivasa at +505 (BetOnline) — 15.9% market win probability vs 16.5% break-even.

What could change the bet

Keep Tai Tuivasa at +505 only if Robelis Despaigne and Tai Tuivasa both make weight and the opponent, weight class, and bout format remain unchanged. A replacement or medical issue invalidates the fighter-style comparison used for Robelis Despaigne vs Tai Tuivasa.

Final UFC betting card

The list above is already ordered from best to worst. Start at the top, demand the listed price, and skip any play after a bad line move. Smaller edges belong lower on the card and should not be treated like the top bet.

Shop the final card once across multiple sportsbooks. Take the best available price for the exact selection and point shown; do not substitute a worse number merely because the matchup is the same.

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Bet only what you can afford to lose. Odds and lineups can change.