Kingpin analysis
Addison Barger Player Props Prediction: Blue Jays vs Twins

Addison Barger Player Props Prediction: Blue Jays vs Twins
Read our expert analysis on Addison Barger's player props for the matchup between the Toronto Blue Jays and Minnesota Twins. Get insights into odds, recent performances, and predictions for this exciting game.
Game Summary
The Toronto Blue Jays will be facing off against the Minnesota Twins at Target Field in Minneapolis on August 31, 2023. This matchup features two teams that are vying for playoff positions as the season heads into the final stretch. The Blue Jays currently hold a record of 73-61, placing them solidly in the playoff hunt, while the Twins stand at 66-71, fighting to stay relevant in the AL Central.
Recent performances show the Blue Jays have been on a slight upward trend, winning crucial games against divisional rivals. They have a solid offensive lineup, ranking eighth in the league with 646 runs scored, and they also boast the ninth-highest number of hits at 1,144. Their batting average of .253 further underscores their ability to get on base consistently.
On the other hand, the Twins have struggled lately, with a record of 3-7 in their last ten games. Their offense ranks 20th in runs scored (569) and 19th in batting average (.239), indicating that they have faced difficulties in generating consistent offensive production. However, they have shown flashes of brilliance, particularly at home, where they have a slightly better record than on the road.
In the history between these two teams, the Blue Jays have often had the upper hand, but the Twins will be eager to defend their home turf. This matchup will be critical for both teams as they look to solidify their playoff aspirations.
Player Prop Odds
Below are the current player prop odds for Addison Barger:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+330.0), Under -525.0
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+450.0)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+150.0), Under -215.0
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+115.0), Under -165.0
Player Analysis
Addison Barger has been a key contributor for the Blue Jays this season, showcasing his potential as a reliable batter. With a batting average of .254, he has consistently found ways to get on base. His power has been evident with 20 home runs this season, showcasing his ability to hit for both average and power. Additionally, his 59 RBIs indicate that he has been effective in driving in runs when opportunities arise.
Considering the prop odds, the odds for him to hit over 1.5 total bases at +115 indicate that there is value in betting on his ability to achieve this feat. His recent form has suggested that he can deliver, especially against a pitching staff like the Twins, which has had its share of struggles this season.
Opposing Analysis
The Twins will send Jose Berrios to the mound against the Blue Jays. Berrios has had a solid season, posting a 3.72 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP, with 129 strikeouts in 164.1 innings pitched. While he has been effective, Berrios has also shown vulnerability to giving up home runs, having allowed 28 long balls this season. This aspect could be critical for Barger, as he has the power to exploit Berrios's mistakes.
On the hitting side, the Twins' lineup has struggled against left-handed pitching, which could provide an opportunity for Barger and the Blue Jays to capitalize. With the Twins ranking 20th in the league in runs scored, they will need every advantage they can get against a powerful Blue Jays lineup.
Prop Analysis
When analyzing the available props for Barger, each presents an interesting angle:
- Batter Doubles (Over 0.5 +330): Given Barger's ability to hit for average, the odds suggest that he has a good chance of hitting at least one double.
- Batter Home Runs (Over 0.5 +450): With Berrios's tendency to give up home runs, this prop presents a high-risk, high-reward scenario.
- Batter RBIs (Over 0.5 +150): If Barger finds himself in a position with runners on base, driving in at least one run is very feasible.
- Batter Total Bases (Over 1.5 +115): This prop seems very achievable for Barger, considering his recent form and the Twins' pitching struggles.
Starting Pitching Summary - Blue Jays
Zebby Matthews is the projected starter for the Blue Jays. He has pitched well this season, with a 3.00 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP across 15 innings. His ability to limit walks (only 2 BB) and strike out 13 batters speaks to his effectiveness. The Blue Jays will rely on Matthews to keep the Twins' offense in check, allowing their bats the opportunity to put runs on the board.
Starting Pitching Summary - Twins
Jose Berrios will take the mound for the Twins. With a record of 13-9 and a 3.72 ERA, Berrios has been a workhorse for the Twins. His experience and ability to pitch deep into games will be crucial for the Twins as they look to stifle the Blue Jays' powerful lineup. However, his inconsistency with home runs could play a significant role in how the game unfolds.
Bullpen Summary - Blue Jays
The Blue Jays' bullpen has been solid, ranking tied for 7th in saves with 36. Their depth and recent performances suggest that they can effectively close out games and maintain leads, which could be crucial if they establish an early advantage against the Twins.
Bullpen Summary - Twins
The Twins' bullpen has been inconsistent, tied for 9th in saves with 35 but struggling to maintain leads in high-pressure situations. This could be a concern if the Blue Jays' bats come alive early in the game.
Team Previews
The Blue Jays have a strong offensive lineup, ranking 8th in runs scored and 9th in hits. Their pitching staff, meanwhile, has shown reliability, ranking 16th in ERA. In contrast, the Twins are struggling offensively, ranking 20th in runs and 19th in batting average. Their pitching staff has been inconsistent, ranking 25th in ERA, which adds to the challenges they face against a strong Blue Jays lineup.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Bichette | SS | Wed, Aug 28 | Calf | Expected to be out until at least Sep 13 |
| J. Romano | RP | Wed, Aug 28 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Sep 15 |
| M. Kepler | RF | Fri, Aug 30 | Knee | Probable for Aug 31 |
Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit | L5-4 | L |
| Detroit | L7-3 | L |
| Detroit | W5-4 | W |
| Tampa Bay | L4-2 | L |
| Tampa Bay | W6-3 | W |
Kingpin PRO
Follow ranked bettors with tracked cards
PRO unlocks today’s ranked bettor picks and alerts.
Simulated results. Entertainment only. Gambling involves risk.Methodology and disclosure
Historical Kingpin articles preserve original body copy, authors, and publication dates. Structured pick or odds modules appear only when the source article provides them.
Kingpin PRO
Continue with Kingpin PRO
Transparent simulated records. Entertainment only.
Simulated results. Entertainment only. Gambling involves risk.Simulated results for entertainment. Gambling involves risk. Bet only where legal.