Kansas City Chiefs vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction, Pick and Preview, January 21 (1/21) NFL

Kansas City Chiefs vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction, Pick and Preview, January 21 (1/21) NFL



Time 4:30 p.m. EST
Jaguars money line +395
Jaguars spread +9 (-110)
Chiefs money line -500
Chiefs spread -9 (-110)
Over / under 52.5


2022 season stats

  Jacksonville Jaguars Kansas City Chiefs
Record 10-8 14-3
Home / road record 4-5 7-1
Points per game 24.5 29.8
Points allowed per game 21.1 21.7
O/U 9-9 8-9
Pass yards per game 235.5 297.0
Rush yards per game 124.0 115.5
Total yards per game 375.5 371.5
Total yards allowed per game 396.5 305.0



The AFC Champion Kansas City Chiefs will host the Jacksonville Jaguars on Saturday at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to play the AFC Divisional Playoffs. These teams faced each other in the regular season at Kansas City where the Chiefs took the win 27-17.


Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars get here with an 10-8 record overall and are 4-5 on the road after beating the Los Angeles Chargers in one of the greatest comebacks in NFL history. Jacksonville battled back from a 27-point deficit to win 31-30 thanks to four touchdowns from Trevor Lawrence. With the help of his four interceptions, the second-year pro was able to advance Jacksonville down the field on the game's final drive, setting up Riley Patterson's game-winning field goal. 

Defensively they allow 352.5 yards per game, the 27th-highest average in the league. They are also giving up 20.5 points per game.


Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs have won their last 5 games and get here with a 14-3 record overall ranking 1st in the AFC West. Their only 3 losses came against the Colts, Bills and the Bengals. They led the NFL in both total offense (413.6 yards per game) and points scored (29.2 points on average). Mahomes threw for 5,250 yards, 41 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions. Isiah Pacheco rushed for 830 yards and five touchdowns. Travis Kelce led all receivers with 110 catches for 1,338 yards and 12 touchdowns.

The defense allows 21.7 points (16th) and 328.2 total yards (11th), with 107.2 rushing yards (8th) and 220.9 passing yards (18th). Its opponents convert 38.9 percent of their third downs (12th) and score touchdowns on 67.2 percent of their red zone attempts..



Jacksonville are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against Kansas City.

Jacksonville are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games against Kansas City.

Jacksonville are 4-16 SU in their last 20 games on the road.

Jacksonville are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City.

Kansas City are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.

Kansas City are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games against Jacksonville.

Kansas City are 15-2 SU in their last 17 games at home.



The Jaguars will get to this game with plenty of motivation after one of the craziest comebacks in History in the wild card game against the Chargers but they will visit Mahome and the Chiefs who already beat them earlier this season by 10 points. The Chiefs ranked #1 in offense in the league and only 3 teams were able to stop them. Mahomes has never lost in four starts in the divisional round, beating Indianapolis, Houston, Cleveland and Buffalo. All those games were played at Arrowhead Stadium and the Jaguars will need a lot more than just motivation to keep up with this powerful offense. Take the Chiefs. 

PICK: Chiefs -9 (-110)

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