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Stephen Curry Player Prop Bet: Toronto Raptors vs. Golden State Warriors NBA Game Analysis and Prediction

The Golden State Warriors (40-29) will host the Toronto Raptors (24-45) at Chase Center on March 20, 2025. The key player prop bet for this matchup focuses on Stephen Curry, whose points line is set at 24.5 (-115). Let’s analyze whether he can exceed this total.

Odds Table

Team	Spread	Moneyline	Total Points (Over/Under)
Toronto Raptors (24-45)	+14.5 (-110)	+600	Over 226.5 (-110)
Golden State Warriors (40-29)	-14.5 (-110)	-1000	Under 226.5 (-110)

Team Analysis

Toronto Raptors

The Raptors have struggled this season, sitting near the bottom of the Eastern Conference standings. Their defense has been inconsistent, ranking in the bottom half of the league in opponent points per game. With RJ Barrett and Jakob Poeltl listed on the injury report, their defense could be even more vulnerable.

Golden State Warriors

The Warriors have been heating up, winning four of their last five games. Curry remains the focal point of the offense, averaging 24.3 PPG this season. Golden State’s high-tempo offense creates plenty of scoring opportunities, which is key for this prop bet.

Recent Performance

Toronto Raptors

• March 17, 2025: Lost to Phoenix Suns, 129-89.
• March 16, 2025: Lost to Portland Trail Blazers, 105-102.
• March 14, 2025: Defeated Utah Jazz, 126-118.
• March 12, 2025: Defeated Philadelphia 76ers, 118-105.
• March 10, 2025: Defeated Washington Wizards, 119-104.

Golden State Warriors

• March 18, 2025: Defeated Milwaukee Bucks, 104-93.
• March 17, 2025: Lost to Denver Nuggets, 114-105.
• March 15, 2025: Defeated New York Knicks, 97-94.
• March 13, 2025: Defeated Sacramento Kings, 130-104.
• March 10, 2025: Defeated Portland Trail Blazers, 130-120.

Head-to-Head Comparison

The Raptors and Warriors met earlier this season on January 13, with Toronto pulling off a surprising 104-101 victory. Curry scored 26 points in that game, shooting 52.9% from the field. Golden State will be looking to even the season series.

Against the Spread (ATS) Records

Team	ATS Record	ATS Home	ATS Away
Toronto Raptors	29-40	16-19	13-21
Golden State Warriors	38-31	21-15	17-16

Betting Stats and Trends

• Curry has scored 25+ points in 7 of his last 10 games.
• Curry is averaging 25.9 PPG in March.
• Toronto allows the 7th-most points to opposing point guards.
• The total has gone over in 5 of the last 7 Warriors games.
• Golden State has covered the spread in 6 of its last 9 games.

Player Spotlight: Stephen Curry

Curry has been in excellent form, and here are his last five performances:

• March 17 vs. DEN: 20 points (6-21 FG), 4 rebounds, 7 assists.
• March 15 vs. NY: 28 points (8-20 FG), 7 rebounds, 5 assists.
• March 13 vs. SAC: 11 points (4-9 FG), 2 rebounds, 5 assists.
• March 10 vs. POR: 24 points (6-14 FG), 2 rebounds, 3 assists.
• March 8 vs. DET: 32 points (8-22 FG), 3 rebounds, 4 assists.

With the Raptors struggling defensively and Curry playing well, this sets up favorably for him to exceed 24.5 points.

Prediction