Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Pick and Preview, December 6 (12/6): NBA

 

Odds

Time	10:00 p.m. EST
Mavericks money line	+175
Mavericks spread	+4.5 (-110)
Nuggets money line	-210
Nuggets spread	-4.5 (-110)
Over / under	223

 

2022-2023 season stats

	Dallas Mavericks	Denver Nuggets
Record	12-11	14-9
Home / road record	2-8	6-2
Streak	W2	L2
Points per game	110.00	114.00
Points allowed per game	108.00	113.00
Rebounds per game	38.00	43.00
Rebounds allowed per game	43.00	40.00
Over / under record	14-9	11-12

 

Preview

The Dallas Mavericks hit the road and will visit the Denver Nuggets at the Ball Arena on Tuesday night. These teams faced each other twice last month in Dallas and they tied 1-1.  

 

Dallas Mavericks

The Mavericks get here with a 12-11 record and are 2-8 on the road so far this season ranking 3rd in the Southwest. In their last game at home, they beat the Suns 130-111. Doncic scored 33 points, Spencer Dinwiddie added 21 pts. Christian Wood had 18 points and nine rebounds for Dallas, while Josh Green scored 16 points and tied his career best in plus-minus at plus-26.

Luka Doncic is averaging 33.5 points, 8.8 rebounds, 8.6 assists and 1.8 steals for the Mavericks. Spencer Dinwiddie is averaging 2.7 made 3-pointers over the last 10 games for Dallas.

In their last 10 games the Mavericks are 4-6, averaging 113.5 points, rebounds, assists, steals and blocks per game while shooting % from the field. Their opponents have averaged 110.2 points.

Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets get here with a 14-9 and are 6-2 at home so far this season ranking 1st in the Northwest Division. The Nuggets have gone 11-4 against Western Conference teams. Denver is sixth in the league scoring 16.0 fast break points per game led by Michael Porter Jr. averaging 3.7.

Nikola Jokic is scoring 22.7 points per game and averaging 9.8 rebounds for the Nuggets. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is averaging 2.3 made 3-pointers over the last 10 games for Denver.

In their last 10 games, the Nuggets are 5-5, averaging 111.4 points, 43.2 rebounds, 30.1 assists, 6.2 steals and 3.6 blocks per game while shooting 51.9% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 112.5 points per game.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Dallas are 12-6 ATS in their last 18 games against Denver.

Dallas are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games against Denver.

Dallas are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on the road.

Dallas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver.

Denver are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.

Denver are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games against Dallas.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Mavericks have won 3 of their last 4 games and just beat the Suns who are one of the best teams in the league but they have struggled on the road this season with a 2-8 record. The Nuggets lost their last 2 games on the road but they return home where they have lost only 2 games. The Mavs are on the 2nd of back to back so there's a chance that Luka Doncic could play less minutes on this game. Dallas is 1-3 playing on no rest games so go with the Nuggets to get the win at home.

PICK: Nuggets -4.5 (-110)

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