MLB Predictions for April 12, 2025 – Best MLB Bets Today for All 15 Games

Looking for MLB predictions April 12 2025? You’ve come to the right place. Below we break down the best MLB bets today for all 15 games on this jam-packed Saturday slate. Each matchup includes moneyline and run line picks, an over/under total lean, and a MLB player prop today with strong value. These MLB picks April 12 are focused entirely on baseball betting angles – no fluff, just actionable baseball betting picks with concise analysis. Let’s dive into today’s games and find some winners!

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Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins (2:10 PM ET)

Starting Pitchers: Jackson Jobe (DET) vs. Chris Paddack (MIN) – A rookie 22-year-old in Jobe faces a veteran Paddack who’s still regaining form (14.73 ERA in one start). The Tigers have started 7-5 and sit atop the AL Central early, while Minnesota is slumping at 4-9 and looking for a spark at home.

Moneyline: Twins (-120) – Minnesota is a slight home favorite and we like them to bounce back. Their lineup has more proven pop, and facing a debuting rookie pitcher could be the cure for the Twins’ recent offensive woes. Look for Minnesota to scratch out enough runs to win outright at home.
Run Line: Twins -1.5 (+150) – If you’re hunting value, the Twins on the run line offer a nice plus payout. Paddack is a question mark, but if he can keep Detroit in check for five innings, Minnesota’s bullpen and bats can deliver a multi-run victory. With the Tigers’ offense cooling off (just 3 runs in their last game), Minnesota -1.5 is worth a sprinkle.
Total: Over 8.5 runs – Both pitchers carry uncertainty: Jobe is talented but green, and Paddack was shelled in his first outing. The Tigers have scored 4+ runs in five of their last seven, and the Twins should awaken against a rookie. This has the feel of a 6-4 type game, so over 8.5 runs is the play.
Prop: Carlos Correa over 1.5 total bases – Correa is a good bet to lead the Twins’ offense today. He’s had success against young pitchers, and with Jobe likely to challenge him in the zone, Correa could tally a couple of hard-hit balls. One gapper or a pair of singles will cash this player prop, making it a high-value pick.

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals (2:15 PM ET)

Starting Pitchers: Aaron Nola (PHI) vs. Andre Pallante (STL) – The Phillies send ace Aaron Nola, while the Cardinals counter with swingman Andre Pallante pressed into starting duty. Philadelphia (8-4) is rolling offensively, whereas St. Louis (5-7) has lost 5 of its last 6 and is struggling to score runs.

Moneyline: Phillies (-150) – Philadelphia is favored for good reason. Nola gives them a clear pitching edge, and the Phillies’ lineup (top 10 in OPS early on) should capitalize on the vulnerable Pallante. The Cards are slumping, so backing Philly to win is the safest play, even at moderate juice.
Run Line: Phillies -1.5 (+105) – The Phillies’ bats have been hot – Kyle Schwarber already has 6 homers – and they could put up a crooked number against St. Louis’s thin pitching. If Nola delivers a typical quality start, Philadelphia can cover the -1.5 comfortably. Taking the Phils on the run line at plus money is an enticing bet, given their form and the Cardinals’ recent one-run loss pattern.
Total: Over 8.0 runs – Philadelphia’s offense is capable of hitting this number on its own if Pallante struggles. The Cards might only chip in a couple of runs against Nola, but the Phillies could reach 6+ by themselves. With Philadelphia averaging nearly 5 runs per game (and facing a spot starter), over 8 is the lean.
Prop: Kyle Schwarber to hit a HR (+250) – Schwarber is locked in right now and leads the team in long balls. Facing a right-hander in Pallante who doesn’t have overpowering stuff, Schwarber has a prime opportunity to go deep. As one of the premier power hitters in the game, a Schwarber homer prop is a worthwhile high-reward bet in this matchup.

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San Francisco Giants vs. New York Yankees (3:05 PM ET)

Starting Pitchers: Robbie Ray (SF) vs. Marcus Stroman (NYY) – A fascinating duel of newcomers to these teams: the Giants added lefty Robbie Ray, while the Yankees signed sinkerballer Marcus Stroman. New York (6-6) is favored at home, and the total is a modest 8, suggesting a competitive game at Yankee Stadium.

Moneyline: Yankees (-135) – The best MLB bets today often ride with the Yankees at home, especially with a favorable matchup. Stroman has been steady to start the season, and the Bronx Bombers should do just enough against the sometimes-wild Robbie Ray. San Francisco’s offense is inconsistent, so backing New York to win is the smart play in the Bronx.
Run Line: Yankees -1.5 (+155) – In a game projected to be close, the run line is a bit of a gamble – but the payout is attractive. If the Yankees can jump on Ray early (who might still be shaking off rust after missing most of last year), they could pull away. Look for a multi-run homer from the Yankee lineup (Aaron Judge, anyone?) that helps New York cover -1.5. It’s a riskier bet, but one with a nice reward if the Yanks win by 2+.
Total: Under 8.0 runs – Ray and Stroman are both capable of quality outings, and neither team has been lighting up the scoreboard lately. The Giants struggle against right-handed pitching and the Yankees might not explode against a solid lefty like Ray. A 4-3 or 5-2 type game is very plausible, making under 8 the recommended play.
Prop: Giancarlo Stanton over 1.5 total bases – Stanton absolutely mashes left-handed pitching, and in Yankee Stadium a single well-struck ball can net two bases. Whether it’s a double in the gap or a long homer to left, Stanton should reach two or more bases in this matchup. This prop pairs nicely with the expectation that he’ll be aggressive against Ray’s fastball.

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New York Mets vs. Oakland Athletics (4:05 PM ET)

Starting Pitchers: David Peterson (NYM) vs. J.T. Ginn (OAK) – The Mets have the clear edge on the mound with Peterson, a solid lefty (1-0, 2.53 ERA), while the A’s are likely giving prospect J.T. Ginn his first big-league start. The venue is Sutter Health Park in West Sacramento (Oakland’s temporary home), and offense could be on the menu with an afternoon start.

Moneyline: Mets (-130) – New York is the better team and should be favored. The Mets’ lineup featuring Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor has been productive (8-4 record so far), and they get to face an inexperienced pitcher. Meanwhile, Oakland’s young squad has only managed a 5-8 start. Back the Mets to win, as their patient hitters should take advantage of Ginn’s likely jitters and mistakes.
Run Line: Mets -1.5 (+125) – The Mets are a strong candidate to cover the run line here. The A’s have one of the league’s weaker offenses, and Peterson could handcuff them for six innings. If New York jumps out early (very possible against the A’s shaky pitching), they can cruise to a multi-run victory. Taking the Mets -1.5 at plus odds is a solid value play against an Athletics team that has lost several games by 2+ runs already this year.
Total: Over 9.5 runs – This matchup has “over” written all over it. The total is high, but consider that the Mets could put up a big number against Oakland’s rookie starter and thin bullpen. Oakland might chip in a few runs late as well – the Mets’ bullpen has had some hiccups. In a hitter-friendly park in day-time conditions, look for plenty of scoring. Over 9.5 is the pick in what could be a 7-4 type game.
Prop: Pete Alonso to hit a home run (+230) – Alonso is the premier power bat in this game and already has a few homers on the season. He’ll be licking his chops against an unproven arm like Ginn. The Mets’ slugger has a propensity for leaving the yard in bunches; against a pitcher likely to challenge him, Pete’s a great bet to go deep. This player prop offers a nice payout for one swing of the bat from a proven slugger.

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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles (4:05 PM ET)

Starting Pitchers: Bowden Francis (TOR) vs. Tomoyuki Sugano (BAL) – The Blue Jays trot out Bowden Francis (a back-end starter still proving himself), while the Orioles counter with Japanese import Tomoyuki Sugano making one of his first MLB starts. Baltimore (6-7) is a slight favorite at home, looking to climb back to .500, and this AL East clash could be one of the day’s most intriguing matchups.

Moneyline: Orioles (-120) – In a tight matchup, lean toward the home team with the better recent form. Baltimore’s young core (Adley Rutschman, Cedric Mullins, Gunnar Henderson) can manufacture runs and should have a good game plan against the relatively unfamiliar Francis. Sugano is a veteran presence – he dominated in Japan – and could keep Toronto’s bats in check. Orioles to win is the call, as their bullpen edge and home crowd should help secure a victory.
Run Line: Blue Jays +1.5 (-170) – We expect a close game here, so taking the Blue Jays +1.5 runs is a prudent play (perhaps in parlays or for added safety). Toronto’s lineup is always a threat – Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette can erupt at any time – so even if the Jays trail late, they have the firepower to keep it within one. Laying extra juice for +1.5 runs protects against a one-run O’s win, which is a very possible outcome in this evenly matched contest.
Total: Over 8.5 runs – Both teams boast plenty of hitting talent, and neither starting pitcher is a sure thing. Sugano is still adjusting to MLB hitters and Francis sports a high-4s ERA in limited action. The over 8.5 looks appealing with the firepower on these rosters. Toronto’s bats are due to break out (they were quiet on Friday), and Baltimore can always put up runs at Camden Yards. Expect an offensive show with each team contributing to a 5-4 or 6-5 type of final.
Prop: Adley Rutschman over 1.5 total bases – Rutschman has been an on-base machine and is slugging the ball with authority. Hitting in the heart of Baltimore’s order, he should see good pitches against Francis and the middle relief. Adley could cover this prop with a single and a walk and then some – but we like him to poke an extra-base hit today. Two total bases is a modest ask for Baltimore’s star catcher given his form.

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Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox (4:10 PM ET)

Starting Pitchers: Sean Newcomb (BOS) vs. Davis Martin (CWS) – It’s a battle of southpaw reclamation project vs. unproven righty. Boston’s Sean Newcomb is trying to revive his career in the Red Sox rotation, while Chicago’s Davis Martin (0-1, 5.40 ERA) is filling in for an injury-plagued staff. The Red Sox (7-5) have had a solid start, whereas the White Sox (5-8) are struggling offensively (near the bottom of the AL in runs).

Moneyline: Red Sox (-155) – Boston is favored on the road, and for good reason. They have the better lineup and a slight edge in pitching here. Newcomb looked decent in his last outing and should be able to navigate a White Sox lineup that has been inconsistent (Chicago has scored 2 or fewer runs in five games already). The Red Sox offense – led by Rafael Devers and Alex Verdugo – can outscore Chicago. Take Boston to win straight up.
Run Line: Red Sox -1.5 (+110) – Given Chicago’s offensive woes, the Red Sox have a great chance to win by multiple runs. Boston’s bats can pounce on Davis Martin early; he doesn’t miss many barrels, and Fenway’s finest will take advantage even in Chicago’s park. If Newcomb can avoid the big inning, the Red Sox should cover -1.5. A 5-3 or 6-2 Boston victory is well within reach, making this run line a fine play at plus odds.
Total: Over 7.5 runs – This total looks a bit low considering the question marks on the mound. Yes, the White Sox haven’t been scoring much, and Chicago’s April weather can suppress offense, but 7.5 is attainable. Boston might account for the bulk of it – they’ve been averaging over 4 runs per game – and the White Sox still have a couple of dangerous bats (Luis Robert Jr., Andrew Vaughn) who could contribute against Boston’s bullpen. We’ll ride with the over, expecting something like a 6-3 final that exceeds the number.
Prop: Rafael Devers over 1.5 total bases – Devers is a doubles machine and prime candidate to do damage against Davis Martin’s fastball. He’s hitting the ball hard to all fields this season. In this matchup, one of those lasers is likely to find the gap or the seats. Two or more total bases from Devers is a strong prop bet – he could get there with one swing, or a pair of hits, against a White Sox pitching staff that he matches up well against.

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Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins (4:10 PM ET)

Starting Pitchers: Trevor Williams (WSH) vs. TBD likely Edward Cabrera or Cal Quantrill (MIA) – The Nationals (6-7) are feeling good after a recent 4-2 homestand, while the Marlins (5-7) have been up and down. Washington sends veteran Trevor Williams (5.40 ERA) to the hill; he’s been consistent but unspectacular. Miami’s starter hadn’t been officially announced at writing, but whether it’s Cabrera, Quantrill, or a bullpen game, the Marlins will lean on their pitching depth in this NL East matchup.

Moneyline: Marlins (-135) – Miami is a moderate favorite and we’ll back them to win. The Marlins have a bit more firepower in the lineup (Jazz Chisholm Jr., Jorge Soler) and should be motivated at home after a loss. Trevor Williams is serviceable, but rarely dominant. Miami’s offense woke up late in Friday’s game (they lost 6-4 after a rally fell short) and can carry that into today. In a close contest, Miami to win is the safer side, given their slight edge in talent and home-field advantage.
Run Line: Nationals +1.5 (-180) – Expect a tight game – perhaps decided by one run either way. The Nationals have been pesky, covering the run line in six straight games. Their young hitters like CJ Abrams and Keibert Ruiz are gaining confidence, and they won’t roll over easily. Laying -180 isn’t ideal, but Nats +1.5 provides a cushion if this ends up a 4-3 type game. If you prefer a plus payout, you might pass on this, but if you’re parlaying, the Nats to stay within a run is a solid leg.
Total: Over 8.0 runs – Washington’s last five games have all gone over the total, and we could see another sneaky over here. Williams has allowed exactly 3 earned runs in each of his starts, and Miami’s middle relief has been shaky. Both teams have been swinging the bats better of late – the Nats plated 6 runs on Friday, and the Marlins have scored 4+ in three of their last four. With an affordable total of 8, we’ll lean over, anticipating something like a 5-4 final.
Prop: Luis Arraez over 1.5 hits – Arraez, Miami’s leadoff man, is one of the toughest outs in baseball. He’s hitting well over .350 to start the year and routinely puts the ball in play. Against Williams (who pitches to contact) and a Nats bullpen that isn’t dominant, Arraez has a great shot at a multi-hit game. Betting Arraez 2+ hits is a high-percentage prop given his elite contact skills and current hot streak.

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Atlanta Braves vs. Tampa Bay Rays (4:10 PM ET)

Starting Pitchers: AJ Smith-Shawver (ATL) vs. Drew Rasmussen (TB) – The Rays (5-7) host the Braves (3-9) at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa. Atlanta has shockingly stumbled out of the gate, and their young starter Smith-Shawver (0-2, 5.19 ERA) will have his hands full against a Rays lineup that still packs a punch. Tampa Bay counters with Drew Rasmussen (1-0, 0.90 ERA), who has been lights-out early on, giving the Rays a clear pitching advantage.

Moneyline: Rays (-140) – Tampa Bay is favored and rightfully so. The Braves are struggling mightily, having lost 9 of their first 12 games, and their offense has been relatively quiet. Meanwhile, the Rays have won 5 of 8 games when favored this year. With Rasmussen dealing and the Braves floundering (especially away from home), the best MLB bet here is Tampa Bay to win. They’re simply the more trustworthy team at the moment.
Run Line: Rays -1.5 (+150) – When Tampa Bay wins, they often win big. Four of their five wins have been by 2 or more runs. If Rasmussen continues his dominance (0.90 ERA through 10 innings) and goes deep into the game, the Rays could lead comfortably by the late innings. Atlanta’s rookie hurler Smith-Shawver has been prone to mistakes, and the Rays’ lineup (Brandon Lowe, Randy Arozarena, Wander Franco) can capitalize. At +150, Rays -1.5 is a juicy play expecting Tampa to bounce back from yesterday’s loss and hand Atlanta another multi-run defeat.
Total: Under 8.5 runs – With Rasmussen on the mound and the Braves’ offense slumping, the under is attractive. The Braves have scored 3 or fewer runs in eight of their first 12 games. If that trend holds and the Rays get a lead, Rasmussen and the Rays’ bullpen can clamp down. Tampa’s offense might score 5 or 6, but if Atlanta remains cold, the total stays under. We’ll bank on under 8.5, expecting something like a 5-2 Rays victory.
Prop: Randy Arozarena over 1.5 total bases – Arozarena has been one of Tampa’s most consistent hitters, and he thrives in run-producing situations. Facing a young pitcher who’s been hit around (.280 opponents’ average), Randy should see a couple of pitches to drive. He can reach two total bases via a well-struck double or a pair of singles (plus he’s a threat to steal, which could turn a single into an extra base effectively). Back Arozarena to rack up at least two bases as he often rises to the occasion against less-experienced arms.

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Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians (6:10 PM ET)

Starting Pitchers: Michael Lorenzen (KC) vs. Luis Ortiz (CLE) – The Guardians (5-8) return home looking to snap out of a funk. They’ve dropped 5 of 6, largely due to an anemic offense. The Royals (4-9) aren’t faring any better, but they send veteran Michael Lorenzen (1-1, 3.18 ERA) to the mound who’s been solid. Cleveland gives the ball to Luis Ortiz (0-2, 8.44 ERA), a young righty who has struggled mightily in his first two starts.

Moneyline: Guardians (-115) – Despite recent struggles, Cleveland is a slight favorite and we like them to win this game. Their offense has been cold, but facing Ortiz might be just what the Guardians’ bats need – oh wait, Luis Ortiz is actually pitching for Cleveland. In fact, Cleveland’s success hinges on Ortiz turning it around. More importantly, the Royals’ lineup is one of the weakest in baseball (hitting just .220 as a team). Look for Cleveland to scratch out a low-scoring win, perhaps sparked by José Ramírez or a timely hit from Josh Naylor. Take the Guardians to win in a tight one.
Run Line: Royals +1.5 (-205) – Runs will be at a premium here, so grabbing the Royals with +1.5 runs is a logical but pricey choice. Seven of Cleveland’s last eight games have been decided by two runs or fewer, and Cleveland’s offense doesn’t instill confidence to pull away big. Lorenzen is capable of keeping it close into the late innings. If you’re okay laying the juice, KC +1.5 covers scenarios like a 3-2 or 4-3 Cleveland win. (Alternatively, more risk-tolerant bettors might simply stick with the Guardians ML or target the total instead of paying -205.)
Total: Under 7.5 runs – This is one of the lower totals of the day, and for good reason. The Guardians haven’t scored more than 3 runs in a game all week, and the Royals have been held to 2 or fewer in four of their last six. Even with two suspect pitchers, neither lineup is imposing right now. Lorenzen can navigate Cleveland’s mostly left-handed lineup, and if Ortiz falters, Cleveland has a decent bullpen to limit damage. We could easily see a 4-2 type game, so under 7.5 is the play.
Prop: José Ramírez over 0.5 RBI – Someone has to drive in runs for Cleveland, and J-Ram is the best bet. He’s the Guardians’ most clutch hitter and will have RBI chances hitting third. Lorenzen has been solid but can be vulnerable with men on base. Ramírez’s switch-hitting ability means he’ll have the platoon advantage regardless of who KC brings in from the ‘pen. Betting José for an RBI is a confident prop, as he could easily deliver a key run-scoring hit (or sacrifice fly) in what projects as a low-scoring affair.

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET)

Starting Pitchers: Andrew Heaney (PIT) vs. Andrew Abbott (CIN) – It’s a tale of two Andrews on the mound. The Pirates signed lefty Andrew Heaney to bolster their rotation, and he’s been sharp (0-0, 1.50 ERA in two appearances). The Reds counter with promising left-hander Andrew Abbott, who flashed strikeout stuff in his rookie season. Both teams are 5-8, hungry to gain ground in the NL Central, and Great American Ball Park tends to produce some fireworks – though two lefties might mitigate that a bit.

Moneyline: Reds (-125) – We’ll give the slight edge to Cincinnati at home. Abbott is more of an unknown, but he’s a talented young arm and the Pirates’ lineup has struggled against lefties historically. Pittsburgh’s surprising start from a year ago hasn’t carried over; they’re averaging only about 3.5 runs per game. The Reds, meanwhile, have Jonathan India setting the table well and a bit more thump in the middle with Tyler Stephenson and Jake Fraley. In a close one, Cincy to win is the pick, as their offense is a tad more reliable at the moment.
Run Line: Pirates +1.5 (-165) – These division rivals tend to play tight games, and with quality left-handed pitching on both sides, it could be low-scoring and close. Taking Pittsburgh +1.5 provides a cushion if it’s a one-run contest. The Pirates also expect shortstop Oneil Cruz back in the lineup (probable after a finger injury), adding a needed bat and speed element – that boost might help them keep it close or even steal a win. Laying -165 is a bit steep, so consider this if you want insurance on a one-run game. Otherwise, stick to the Reds ML or the under.
Total: Under 8.0 runs – When two lefties of this caliber face mostly young, aggressive lineups, the result can be a lot of zeros on the board. Heaney has been excellent at missing bats (and historically, the Reds have had trouble with crafty left-handers). Abbott, on the other hand, can rack up strikeouts – the Pirates offense isn’t very disciplined. With the park factor (usually hitter-friendly) already baked into the number, we still lean under 8runs, expecting something like a 4-3 game.
Prop: Andrew Abbott over 6.5 strikeouts – Let’s spotlight a pitcher prop here. Abbott has swing-and-miss stuff, and Pittsburgh’s lineup features several high-strikeout hitters (such as Ke’Bryan Hayes and Jack Suwinski). In his last outing, Abbott fanned 8, and that was against a tougher lineup than Pittsburgh’s. If he goes 6+ innings, 7+ Ks is within reach. Back Abbott’s over on strikeouts for a plus-money prop that capitalizes on the Pirates’ propensity to whiff.

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Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros (8:10 PM ET)

Starting Pitchers: Tyler Anderson (LAA) vs. Ryan Gusto (HOU) – The Angels (8-4) have started hot, second in the AL West, and will try to stay hot in Houston. They give the ball to veteran lefty Tyler Anderson, who is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA but is known for keeping his team in games. The Astros (5-7) send out rookie right-hander Ryan Gusto (1-0, 1.13 ERA) who impressed in his debut. Houston’s championship lineup hasn’t fully clicked yet, while the Angels’ offense has been firing on all cylinders behind Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani.

Moneyline: Astros (-145) – Even against the first-place Angels, Houston is favored at home – and we agree with the oddsmakers. The Astros have underperformed so far, but they’re too talented to stay down. Best MLB bets today often involve picking a quality team due for positive regression. Houston fits that bill. They’ve hit lefties well historically (with Jose Altuve and Alex Bregman typically feasting on southpaws), and Anderson can be vulnerable to right-handed power. Expect Houston to play with urgency and grab the win.
Run Line: Astros -1.5 (+130) – If you believe in the Astros, the run line offers a nice payout. Seven of the Angels’ eight wins have been by 2+ runs, meaning when they lose, it could similarly be by a margin. Houston’s offense is a sleeping giant – Yordan Alvarez, Kyle Tucker, and company can erupt at any moment. It wouldn’t surprise us to see Houston put up a crooked number in one inning and gain separation. Provided Gusto can handle 5 innings without imploding, Houston’s superior bullpen can hold a multi-run lead. Astros -1.5 is a solid value play here.
Total: Over 9.0 runs – The Angels can score on anybody (nearly 5 runs per game), and the Astros are likely to awaken offensively sooner rather than later. Anderson isn’t overpowering, so Houston should scratch across runs consistently. On the flip side, the Angels’ lineup featuring Trout, Ohtani, and an improved supporting cast will test the rookie Gusto – they could tag him or the middle relievers for a few runs. This game has all the ingredients for a back-and-forth 6-4 or 7-5 kind of night, making over 9 the recommended play.
Prop: Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run (+300) – Is there ever a bad time to bet on Ohtani doing something amazing? The Angels’ two-way superstar loves hitting in Houston (he’s had success at Minute Maid Park) and he’ll be facing a rookie pitcher who might rely heavily on fastballs. Ohtani can turn a 95 mph heater into a souvenir in a heartbeat. With Trout likely getting on base ahead of him, Shohei will be swinging for the fences. At roughly +300 odds, an Ohtani homer is a thrilling prop with a very real chance of cashing.

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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)

Starting Pitchers: Elvin Rodriguez (MIL) vs. Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) – It’s Rodriguez vs. Rodriguez in the desert. Unfortunately for Milwaukee, their Rodriguez (Elvin) is far less established than Arizona’s (Eduardo). The Diamondbacks (8-5) are off to a strong start, thanks to a balanced lineup and improved pitching. The Brewers (5-8) have scuffled, especially on offense, and now face a tough lefty in Eduardo Rodriguez (1-1, 2.25 ERA), who has looked sharp after signing with Arizona in the offseason.

Moneyline: Diamondbacks (-180) – Arizona is a sizable favorite, and they should get the job done. The D-backs offense is scrappy and effective – Corbin Carroll, Ketel Marte, and Christian Walker provide a mix of speed and power that has given opponents fits. Milwaukee, meanwhile, hasn’t found a groove, particularly away from home. With an inexperienced Elvin Rodriguez (making a spot start likely) on the mound for the Brewers, Arizona has the clear advantage. It’s a chalky pick, but Diamondbacks to win is the right call.
Run Line: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+105) – We’re willing to lay the run and a half with Arizona here. Eduardo Rodriguez can easily deliver 6+ innings of low-run ball against a Brewers lineup that ranks near the bottom of MLB in OPS. That sets the stage for the Snakes to win by multiple runs. Arizona’s last four wins have all been by 2 or more runs, showing they can separate late. With Milwaukee’s bullpen already taxed from recent games, the D-backs -1.5 is an attractive bet at roughly even money.
Total: Under 8.5 runs – This game sets up as a pitcher’s duel of sorts (at least on one side). Eduardo Rodriguez is a strike-thrower who can neutralize Milwaukee’s lefty bats (Christian Yelich, Rowdy Tellez), and the Brewers might not scratch much more than 2-3 runs all night. On the flip side, Arizona should score, but if they get a comfortable lead they might not need to keep piling on. A 5-2 type win for Arizona is our expectation, which lands under 8.5.
Prop: Corbin Carroll over 1.5 total bases – Carroll, the D-backs’ electric young outfielder, has been a catalyst atop the lineup. He’s a threat to shoot the gap for a double or turn a single into a two-base play with a stolen base. Facing a pit

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