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MLB Spread Picks of the Day: Tigers vs Blue Jays 7/19

© Brian Bradshaw Sevald-USA TODAY Sports
MLB Spread Picks of the Day: Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/19

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Game Summary
The Detroit Tigers will face off against the Toronto Blue Jays on July 19 at Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. The Tigers, currently holding a 44-52 record, have struggled this season, ranking 24th in runs scored and 25th in hits. Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.45, which places them 24th in the league. Conversely, the Blue Jays, with a 47-50 record, have had their own challenges but are slightly better in terms of pitching with an ERA of 3.95, ranking 14th. This game will be crucial for both teams as they look to improve their standings.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 9.0 |
| Detroit Tigers Spread | +1.5 (-230) |
| Toronto Blue Jays Spread | -1.5 (+188) |
| Detroit Tigers Moneyline | +200 |
| Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline | -240 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan (MIN) | 7-4 | 3.45 | 94 |
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 8-5 | 2.95 | 112 |
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Team Previews
Detroit Tigers
Hitting: The Tigers have struggled offensively this season, ranking 25th in hits (748) and tied for 24th in runs scored (390). Their team batting average is .236, placing them 20th in the league. Riley Greene leads the team with a .271 batting average, while Javier Baez and Mark Canha provide some power in the lineup.
Relief Pitching: The Tigers' bullpen has recorded 23 saves this season, ranking tied for 18th. However, their overall ERA of 4.45 places them 24th in the league, indicating struggles in closing out games.
Fielding: Defensively, the Tigers have committed 56 errors, which ranks them tied for 9th in the league. This shows a need for improvement in their fielding to support their pitching staff better.
Starting Pitchers: The Tigers' starting rotation has had its ups and downs, with an overall ERA of 4.45. Casey Mize, currently on the 15-day IL, has been one of their more reliable starters.
Toronto Blue Jays
Hitting: The Blue Jays rank 21st in hits (763) and 18th in runs scored (413) with a team batting average of .234. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is the standout player, leading the team with a .288 batting average, 14 home runs, and 55 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Blue Jays' bullpen has recorded 21 saves, ranking tied for 22nd. Their overall ERA of 3.95 places them 14th in the league, indicating a more reliable bullpen compared to the Tigers.
Fielding: Defensively, the Blue Jays have committed 59 errors, ranking them tied for 4th in the league. Despite this high error count, their pitching staff has managed to maintain a respectable ERA.
Starting Pitchers: The Blue Jays' starting rotation, led by Kevin Gausman, has been solid with an overall ERA of 3.95. Gausman has been particularly effective, with a 2.95 ERA and 112 strikeouts this season.
Team Injuries
Detroit Tigers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | SS | Back | Day-To-Day |
| Mark Canha | 1B | Wrist | Day-To-Day |
| Parker Meadows | CF | 10-Day IL | Jul 19 |
| Casey Mize | SP | 15-Day IL | Jul 28 |
| Kerry Carpenter | RF | 10-Day IL | Aug 1 |
Toronto Blue Jays
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yimi Garcia | RP | Elbow | Day-To-Day |
| Bo Bichette | SS | Calf | Day-To-Day |
Betting Trends
- The Tigers are 47-50 against the spread this season.
- The Blue Jays are 49-47 against the spread this season.
- The Tigers have covered the spread in 5 of their last 10 games.
- The Blue Jays have covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 games.
- The Tigers are 23-28 on the road this season.
- The Blue Jays are 24-24 at home this season.
- The Tigers' games have gone over the total in 4 of their last 10 games.
- The Blue Jays' games have gone over the total in 5 of their last 10 games.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been hot, hitting .288 with 14 home runs.
- Kevin Gausman has been effective with a 2.95 ERA this season.
Recent Games
Detroit Tigers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Minnesota | 4-3 | W |
| vs Kansas City | 2-5 | L |
| vs Kansas City | 1-4 | L |
| vs Kansas City | 5-2 | W |
| @ Cleveland | 3-6 | L |
Toronto Blue Jays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Texas | 4-1 | W |
| vs Texas | 3-6 | L |
| vs Texas | 2-5 | L |
| @ Baltimore | 5-3 | W |
| @ Baltimore | 1-2 | L |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Detroit Tigers | Toronto Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 25th | 21st |
| Starting Pitching | 24th | 14th |
| Relief Pitching | 18th | 22nd |
| Fielding | 9th | 4th |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Tigers are 47-50 against the spread this season.
- The Blue Jays are 49-47 against the spread this season.
- The Tigers have covered the spread in 5 of their last 10 games.
- The Blue Jays have covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 games.
- The Tigers are 23-28 on the road this season.
- The Blue Jays are 24-24 at home this season.
- The Tigers' games have gone over the total in 4 of their last 10 games.
- The Blue Jays' games have gone over the total in 5 of their last 10 games.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been hot, hitting .288 with 14 home runs.
- Kevin Gausman has been effective with a 2.95 ERA this season.
Weather
As Rogers Centre is an indoor venue, weather conditions will not impact the game.
Prediction
Pick: Toronto Blue Jays to cover -1.5
The Toronto Blue Jays have a slight edge over the Detroit Tigers in this matchup, particularly with Kevin Gausman on the mound. The Blue Jays' offense, led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr., should be able to capitalize on the Tigers' struggling pitching staff. Additionally, the Blue Jays have been more consistent against the spread in recent games. Given their home-field advantage and stronger starting pitcher, the Blue Jays are likely to cover the -1.5 spread in this game.
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