Kingpin analysis
Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Spread Prediction 8/28

Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Spread Prediction 8/28
Read our expert spread pick for the Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets game on August 28. Get the latest odds, betting trends, and in-depth team analysis.
Game Summary
The Arizona Diamondbacks are set to face off against the New York Mets on August 28 at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. Both teams are in the midst of their respective playoff races, making this matchup critical for their postseason aspirations. The Diamondbacks currently hold a record of 75-56, placing them firmly in the race for the NL West title. Their offense has been one of the most potent in MLB, leading the league in runs scored with 701 and ranking second in batting average at .261. The Mets, on the other hand, are struggling to keep pace in the NL East with a record of 68-63. Though their offense has been less explosive than the Diamondbacks, they still boast some powerful hitters, including Francisco Lindor, who leads the team with 27 home runs and 78 RBIs.
On the mound, the Diamondbacks will send out Eduardo Rodriguez, who has a record of 2-0 with a 3.94 ERA in limited innings this season, while the Mets will counter with Luis Severino, who is 9-6 with a 3.84 ERA. The contrasting styles of both pitchers could play a pivotal role in the outcome of the game. The Diamondbacks have been particularly strong at home, sporting a 37-26 record, while the Mets have been average on the road with a 33-30 record. Historical matchups between these two teams have often favored the Diamondbacks, adding another layer of intrigue to this game. With the stakes high and both teams fighting for playoff positioning, fans can expect an exciting contest.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | Not Available |
| Spread | Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 / New York Mets -1.5 |
| Moneyline | Arizona Diamondbacks (Odds: -192) / New York Mets (Odds: +158) |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) | 2-0 | 3.94 | 1.25 | 16.0 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 2 |
| Luis Severino (NYM) | 9-6 | 3.84 | 1.24 | 147.2 | 132 | 122 | 51 | 17 |
Team Previews
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks have been a formidable offensive unit this season, leading the league in runs scored. Their lineup is highlighted by Lourdes Gurriel Jr., who boasts a batting average of .275, and Joc Pederson, who has hit 20 home runs. With Eugenio Suarez adding depth in the lineup with 79 RBIs, the Diamondbacks have proven they can score runs in bunches. On the pitching side, their bullpen has been reliable, but their starting rotation has had ups and downs. Eduardo Rodriguez will need to provide a strong outing to give the Diamondbacks a chance at covering the spread against a tough Mets lineup.
New York Mets
The Mets have struggled to find consistency this season, evident in their overall record of 68-63. However, their offense remains potent, with Francisco Lindor leading the charge. Lindor's ability to drive in runs has kept the Mets competitive. Severino, while having a solid season overall, has been inconsistent in recent outings, which could prove detrimental against the Diamondbacks' high-scoring offense. The Mets will need their pitching staff to step up if they hope to secure a win and cover the spread in this matchup.
Team Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker | 1B | Oblique | Expected to be out until at least Sep 3 |
| Kyle Nelson | RP | Shoulder | Out for the season |
New York Mets
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Scott | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Sep 15 |
Betting Trends
- The Arizona Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 games against the spread.
- The New York Mets are 4-2 in their last 6 games against the spread.
- The total has gone over in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games.
- The total has gone under in 5 of New York's last 7 games.
- Arizona is 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
Recent Games
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia | W11-1 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | W12-5 | W |
| vs Colorado | W4-3 | W |
| vs Colorado | W4-3 | W |
| @ Miami | W3-1 | W |
New York Mets
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Seattle | L12-1 | L |
| @ Seattle | L4-0 | L |
| @ Seattle | L6-0 | L |
| vs Baltimore | W4-3 | W |
| vs Baltimore | L9-5 | L |
Team Rankings
| Team | Hitting | Starting Pitching | Relief Pitching | Fielding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 1st | 26th | Tied-12th | 30th |
| New York Mets | 11th | 18th | Tied-17th | 5th |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Diamondbacks have the best runs scored in the league.
- The Mets have a losing record when Severino is on the mound.
- Arizona's batting average ranks second in the league.
- The Mets have struggled against left-handed starters.
- Severino has a 1.24 WHIP, indicating potential trouble.
- The Diamondbacks are strong at home this season.
- New York's bullpen has been inconsistent this year.
- Arizona is 4-1 in their last five games against the Mets.
- The total has gone under in four of New York's last six games.
- The Diamondbacks have a solid home record overall.
Weather
Weather forecast for game day: Mostly cloudy with a temperature of 104°F.
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