MLB Player Props Lines and Odds: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers

MLB Player Props Lines and Odds: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers

Photo Credit: © Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Miami Marlins will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday, July 28, 2024, at 2:10 p.m. EDT at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. The Marlins, currently sitting at 39-66 and fifth in the NL East, are looking to continue their three-game road winning streak. On the other hand, the Brewers, leading the NL Central with a 59-45 record, aim to bounce back after recent losses.

Milwaukee has been strong at home, holding a 29-19 record and performing exceptionally well in games where they haven't allowed a home run, boasting a 25-6 record in such instances. Conversely, the Marlins have struggled on the road with a 17-32 record and an overall record of 39-66. However, they have an edge in the season series, leading 4-1 against the Brewers.

Key players for the Brewers include Rhys Hoskins, who ranks third on the team with 26 extra-base hits, and Eric Haase, who has been hot lately with three home runs and seven RBIs in his last ten games. For the Marlins, Bryan De La Cruz leads with 36 extra-base hits, and Josh Bell has been productive with five home runs and 10 RBIs over the past ten games.

Both teams have had mixed results in their last ten games, with the Brewers going 5-5 and the Marlins 7-3. Injuries will play a significant role, with several key players on both sides out or questionable.

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Player Prop Odds

For this matchup, let's focus on Willy Adames' player props:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+360), Under 0.5 (-600)
• Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+475), Under 0.5 (-900)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+130), Under 0.5 (-180)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+120), Under 0.5 (-165)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-110), Under 0.5 (-120)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+125), Under 1.5 (-175)

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Player Analysis

Willy Adames has been a key contributor to the Brewers' offense. Currently, he leads the team in RBIs with 68 and has a respectable batting average. Adames is known for his power, as evidenced by his 17 home runs this season. His ability to drive in runs and get on base makes him a valuable asset in the lineup.

In the last ten games, Adames has been consistent, contributing critical hits and maintaining a solid presence at the plate. His performance against right-handed pitchers this season has been noteworthy, making him a strong candidate to exceed his prop lines, especially in RBIs and total bases.

Opposing Analysis

For this game, Adames will be facing Miami Marlins' probable starter Kyle Tyler. Tyler has a 0-1 record with a 3.92 ERA and 1.45 WHIP. While Tyler has shown flashes of potential, his high WHIP indicates that he allows a fair number of baserunners, which could be advantageous for Adames.

The Marlins' bullpen has been solid, ranked 6th in ERA, but they have shown vulnerabilities, particularly against teams with potent offenses like the Brewers. This matchup could provide ample opportunities for Adames to capitalize on Tyler's inconsistency.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Kyle Tyler (MIA)	0-1	3.92	1.45	20.2	20	15	10	1
Tobias Myers (MIL)	6-4	3.14	1.15	77.1	67	68	22	11

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Team Previews

Miami Marlins

The Marlins have struggled this season, particularly on the road. Their offense ranks 7th in hits and tied for 8th in runs, but their pitching has been inconsistent. Their bullpen has been a bright spot, ranking 6th in ERA. However, the team has been plagued by injuries, with key players like Eury Perez and Josh Simpson out.

Offensively, Bryan De La Cruz and Josh Bell have been leading the charge. De La Cruz has 36 extra-base hits, while Bell has been on a hot streak with five home runs in the past ten games.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers have been solid, especially at home. They rank 17th in hits and 29th in runs, indicating some struggles offensively. However, their pitching has been a strong point, with a team ERA of 3.72. The Brewers have managed to stay competitive despite several injuries, including to key players like Christian Yelich and Devin Williams.

Rhys Hoskins and Eric Haase have been standouts recently, with Hoskins contributing numerous extra-base hits and Haase showing power with three home runs in the last ten games.

Team Injuries

Miami Marlins

Player	Position	Injury Status
Eury Perez	SP	Out for the season (Elbow)
Josh Simpson	RP	Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 (Elbow)
Dane Myers	SP	10-Day IL (Ankle)
Ryan Weathers	SP	60-Day IL (Finger)
Sixto Sanchez	SP	60-Day IL (Shoulder)
Braxton Garrett	SP	15-Day IL (Elbow)
Jesus Luzardo	SP	60-Day IL (Back)
Josh Simpson	RP	60-Day IL (Elbow)
Eury Perez	SP	60-Day IL (Elbow)
Sandy Alcantara	SP	60-Day IL (Elbow)

Milwaukee Brewers

Player	Position	Injury Status
Robert Gasser	SP	60-Day IL (Flexor)
Jackson Chourio	RF	Day-to-day (Ear)
Bryan Hudson	RP	15-Day IL (Oblique)
Rob Zastryzny	RP	15-Day IL (Elbow)
Christian Yelich	LF	10-Day IL (Back)
Oliver Dunn	IF	60-Day IL (Back)
Enoli Paredes	RP	15-Day IL (Forearm)
D.L. Hall	SP	60-Day IL (Knee)
Joe Ross	SP	15-Day IL (Back)
J.B. Bukauskas	SP	60-Day IL (Lat)
Wade Miley	SP	60-Day IL (Elbow)
Devin Williams	RP	60-Day IL (Back)
Brandon Woodruff	SP	60-Day IL (Elbow)

Recent Games

Miami Marlins

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs New York	W 6-4	W
vs New York	L 1-0	L
vs New York	W 4-2	W
vs New York	L 6-4	L
vs Baltimore	W 6-3	W
vs Baltimore	W 6-3	W
vs Baltimore	L 7-6	L
@ Milwaukee	W 6-2	W
@ Milwaukee	W 7-3	W

Milwaukee Brewers

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Minnesota	W 8-4	W
@ Minnesota	W 8-7	W
@ Chicago	L 3-1	L
@ Chicago	W 1-0	W
@ Chicago	W 3-2	W
vs Miami	L 6-2	L
vs Miami	L 7-3	L

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Prediction

Given the current form of both teams and the individual performance of Willy Adames, we believe he will have a significant impact in this game. Considering his recent form and the vulnerabilities in Kyle Tyler's pitching, the following prop seems favorable:

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