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Jon Gray MLB Player Props Best Bets: Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays

MLB Player Props Best Bets: Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays
Photo Credit: © Andrew Dieb-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Texas Rangers (51-54, third in the AL West) are set to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (48-56, fifth in the AL East) on Sunday, July 28, 2024, at Rogers Centre in Toronto. The game is set to commence at 1:37 p.m. EDT. The Blue Jays are looking to sweep the three-game series against the Rangers, having already won the first two games. Toronto has been performing reasonably well at home with a 25-28 record and an overall record of 48-56. The Blue Jays have a particularly strong record of 36-17 in games where they record at least eight hits.
On the other hand, the Texas Rangers have struggled on the road, holding a 22-31 record away from home and a 51-54 overall record. The Rangers have a poor 24-47 record in games where they have given up a home run. This will be the third meeting between these two teams this season.
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Player Prop Odds
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Pitcher to Record a Win: Jon Gray Yes +160 | No -225
Player Analysis
Jon Gray has been a key player for the Rangers this season. He holds a 5-4 record with a 3.73 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 94 innings pitched. Gray has struck out 78 batters while walking only 23, showing his ability to control the game effectively. His performance in the last few games has been promising, and he will be looking to build on this momentum against the Blue Jays.
Opposing Analysis
The Toronto Blue Jays have had a mixed performance at the plate. They have a .240 batting average, which ranks 17th in the league, and have scored 446 runs, ranking 18th. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is a standout hitter for the Blue Jays, with 22 doubles, 18 home runs, and 62 RBIs. Over the past 10 games, George Springer has been in good form, hitting 10-for-41 with three home runs and six RBIs.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gray | 5-4 | 3.73 | 1.26 | 94.0 | 95 | 78 | 23 | 8 |
| J. Berrios | 8-8 | 4.08 | 1.21 | 123.2 | 111 | 92 | 39 | 22 |
Team Previews
Texas Rangers
**Hitting**: The Rangers have struggled with their hitting this season, ranking 27th in hits (800) and 26th in runs (416). They have a team batting average of .236, which places them 21st in the league. Josh Smith leads the team with a .282 batting average, and Marcus Semien has been in good form recently, hitting 11-for-36 with two home runs in the past 10 games.
**Pitching**: The Rangers' pitching has also been a weak spot, with a team ERA of 4.54, ranking 27th in the league. Their bullpen has managed 24 saves, tied for 19th in the league. The team has committed 57 errors, ranking 12th in fielding.
Toronto Blue Jays
**Hitting**: The Blue Jays have a .240 batting average, ranking 17th in the league, and have scored 446 runs, ranking 18th. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is their standout hitter, with 22 doubles, 18 home runs, and 62 RBIs. Over the past 10 games, George Springer has been impressive, hitting 10-for-41 with three home runs and six RBIs.
**Pitching**: The Blue Jays have performed better in pitching, with a team ERA of 3.99, ranking 16th. Jose Berrios, who will be starting this game, holds an 8-8 record with a 4.08 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. The team has committed 45 errors, ranking 27th in fielding.
Team Injuries
Texas Rangers
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Pruitt | RP | Sun, Jul 28 | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
| C. Bradford | SP | Sun, Jul 28 | Ribs | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
Toronto Blue Jays
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Romano | RP | Sat, Jul 27 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Sep 6 |
Recent Games
Texas Rangers
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Baltimore | L9-1 | 46-51 | Burnes 10-4 | Eovaldi 6-4 | NaN | 36336 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Baltimore | L8-4 | 46-52 | Rodriguez 12-4 | Scherzer 1-3 | NaN | 38410 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Baltimore | W3-2 | 47-52 | Heaney 4-10 | Kremer 4-6 | Yates 17 | 31808 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Chicago | W4-3 F/10 | 48-52 | Hernandez 3-0 | Wilson 1-6 | NaN | 30832 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Chicago | W3-2 | 49-52 | Gray 5-4 | Crochet 6-7 | Yates 18 | 39240 |
Toronto Blue Jays
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Detroit | L5-4 | 44-53 | Flaherty 7-5 | Bassitt 8-8 | Holton 3 | 39697 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Detroit | L7-3 | 44-54 | Faedo 5-1 | Kikuchi 4-9 | NaN | 38583 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Detroit | W5-4 | 45-54 | Gausman 8-8 | Montero 1-3 | Green 7 | 38766 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Tampa Bay | L4-2 | 45-55 | Alexander 3-3 | Berrios 8-8 | Fairbanks 19 | 38575 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Tampa Bay | W6-3 | 46-55 | Cabrera 3-2 | Adam 4-2 | NaN | 32276 |
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Prediction
Pick: Jon Gray to Record a Win (+160)
Jon Gray has shown solid form recently, and with the Blue Jays’ hitting being inconsistent, there's a strong chance Gray can lead the Rangers to a win. Given the odds at +160 for Gray to record a win, it presents a good value bet. Toronto's inconsistency at the plate and the Rangers' recent improvements suggest that Gray has a solid opportunity to secure a victory.
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