MLB Player Props Advice: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds 7/29

MLB Player Props Advice: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds 7/29

Photo Credit: © Jonathan Dyer-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Cincinnati Reds will host the Chicago Cubs to kick off a three-game series tonight, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:10 PM EDT at Great American Ball Park. The Reds are coming off a tough stretch, losing six of their last ten games, and now hold a 50-55 overall record. However, Cincinnati has shown resilience at home, boasting a 25-28 record at Great American Ball Park. The Reds have been particularly successful in games where they’ve managed to score at least five runs, with a stellar 35-8 record in such scenarios.

On the other hand, the Chicago Cubs are also trying to get back on track with a 51-56 overall record. Their road performance has been subpar, with a 24-31 record away from Wrigley Field. The Cubs have demonstrated power-hitting prowess, especially in games where they’ve hit at least two home runs, going 20-6 in those matchups. The Cubs have had a slight edge recently, winning five of their last ten games, and they will look to carry that momentum into this series.

The Reds currently lead the season series against the Cubs 5-2. Key performers for the Reds include Spencer Steer, who has been a consistent offensive threat with 24 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs, and 64 RBI while batting .237. Elly De La Cruz has also been hot lately, hitting 13-for-39 with two doubles, a triple, and three home runs over the last ten games.

For the Cubs, Ian Happ leads with 40 extra-base hits, including 23 doubles, a triple, and 16 home runs. Patrick Wisdom has also been making significant contributions, going 4-for-10 with three home runs and six RBI over the past ten games.

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Player Prop Odds

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Spencer Steer Player Prop Odds:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+311) / Under 0.5 (-504)
• Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+350)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+123) / Under 0.5 (-169)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-103) / Under 0.5 (-133)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-109) / Under 0.5 (-125)
• Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+475) / Under 0.5 (-1000)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+104) / Under 1.5 (-142)

Player Analysis: Spencer Steer

Spencer Steer has been a consistent contributor for the Cincinnati Reds this season. With a batting average of .237, Steer has accumulated 24 doubles, two triples, and 15 home runs. His 64 RBIs are a testament to his ability to drive in runs and make significant offensive contributions. Over the last ten games, Steer has shown flashes of his potential, although his batting average during this stretch has been a bit lower. Nevertheless, his overall performance this season makes him a player to watch in the upcoming game against the Cubs.

Opposing Analysis: Chicago Cubs Pitching

The Cubs will be starting Jameson Taillon, who has been solid this season with a 7-5 record, a 2.96 ERA, and a 1.15 WHIP over 100.1 innings pitched. Taillon has struck out 78 batters while walking only 21, showcasing good control on the mound. However, with 12 home runs allowed, Taillon has shown some vulnerability to power hitters, which could be an opportunity for Steer.

Pitching Probables

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Pitcher	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Jameson Taillon (CHC)	7-5	2.96	78
Carson Spiers (CIN)	3-2	3.83	41

Team Previews

### Chicago Cubs

The Chicago Cubs have struggled offensively this season, ranking 28th in hits (785) and batting average (.228). However, they have managed to score 460 runs, ranking 15th in the league. Their pitching staff has been relatively solid, with a team ERA of 3.83, ranking 11th. The Cubs’ defense has also been a concern, committing 65 errors, which ranks 4th in the league. Their bullpen has recorded 22 saves, tying for 24th in the league.

### Cincinnati Reds

The Cincinnati Reds have been slightly better at the plate, with 830 hits (tied for 22nd) and a .233 batting average (24th). They have scored 440 runs, ranking 22nd in the league. The Reds’ pitching staff has been a bright spot, with a team ERA of 3.72, ranking 6th. Their defense has been more reliable, with 53 errors (19th). The bullpen has recorded 23 saves, tying for 22nd in the league.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Caleb Kilian	RP	Shoulder (60-Day IL)
Peyton Burdick	RF	Undisclosed (Day-to-Day)
Luke Maile	C	Back (10-Day IL)
Carson Spiers	SP	Shoulder (15-Day IL)

Recent Games

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Chicago Cubs

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Arizona	2-5	L
vs Arizona	0-3	L
vs Arizona	2-1	W
vs Milwaukee	3-1	W
vs Milwaukee	0-1	L

Cincinnati Reds

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Washington	5-8	L
@ Washington	4-5	L
@ Washington	2-5	L
@ Atlanta	4-1	W
@ Atlanta	9-4	W

Prediction

Given the current form and matchups, Spencer Steer is poised for a productive game. With Jameson Taillon having shown vulnerability to power hitters, Steer’s odds for hitting a home run at +350 present a valuable betting opportunity. Additionally, his odds for achieving over 1.5 total bases at +104 are appealing, considering his ability to hit doubles and home runs.

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