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UFC Fight Night Predictions: Evan Elder vs Gauge Young 4/26

UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates - Evan Elder Meets Gauge Young in Lightweight Prelim
On April 26, 2025, the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri, hosts UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates. The preliminary card features an exciting lightweight matchup between Americans Evan Elder and Gauge "Gee Money" Young. Both fighters are looking to build momentum and make a name for themselves in the competitive 155-pound division.
Fighter Backgrounds
Evan Elder
Evan "The Phenom" Elder (9-2-0), representing Kill Cliff FC, is a dynamic lightweight with a mix of knockout and submission victories. Elder has shown resilience and a willingness to engage wherever the fight goes. He is looking to string together wins and climb the divisional ranks.
Gauge Young
Gauge "Gee Money" Young (9-2-0), fighting out of Ignite Jiu-Jitsu, is a powerful finisher with a high number of knockout wins on his record. Young is known for his aggressive approach and ability to end the fight with strikes. He is eager to make a statement in the UFC octagon.
Fighting Styles and Strengths
Evan Elder
- Well-Rounded: Elder has secured wins via both knockout and submission, indicating proficiency in multiple areas.
- Switch Stance: His ability to fight from a switch stance can make him a less predictable striking opponent.
- Decent Striking Volume: Lands 5.02 significant strikes per minute (SIG STR LPM).
- Submission Threat: Has a submission average of 0.63 per 15 minutes (SUB AVG).
Gauge Young
- Knockout Power: Young boasts 6 (T)KO victories out of 9 wins, showcasing significant power in his hands.
- Aggressive Striker: He is known for coming forward and looking to land damaging blows.
- Higher Striking Accuracy: Has a significant strike accuracy of 56.41% (SIG STR ACC) compared to Elder's 52.48%.
Recent Performances
Evan Elder
Elder is coming off a first-round submission victory over Darrius Flowers in July 2024, showcasing his grappling abilities. Prior to that, he secured a unanimous decision win against Genaro Valdez in July 2023. His two professional losses have come via TKO and unanimous decision.
Gauge Young
Young recently secured a first-round TKO victory over Eric Grant in December 2024. Prior to that, he suffered a unanimous decision loss to Quillan Salkilld on Dana White's Contender Series in September 2024 but had a string of TKO victories before that.
Odds and Betting Information
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Evan Elder | -195 |
| Gauge Young | +165 |
Evan Elder enters this matchup as the favorite at -195, while Gauge Young is the underdog with odds of +165.
Keys to Victory
Evan Elder
- Utilize Well-Rounded Game: Elder should look to blend his striking with his grappling to keep Young guessing.
- Avoid a Striking Slugfest: While he has knockout power, engaging in a pure striking battle with Young could be risky.
- Look for Submission Opportunities: If the fight goes to the ground, Elder's submission skills could be a factor.
Gauge Young
- Land Powerful Strikes: Young's primary path to victory is to land a clean power shot and secure a knockout.
- Utilize Striking Accuracy: Focusing on landing his more accurate strikes could help him win exchanges on the feet.
- Defend Takedowns: While Elder's takedown stats aren't high, Young's zero takedown defense percentage suggests he needs to be cautious.
Prediction
This lightweight preliminary bout presents an intriguing clash of styles. Evan Elder is the favored fighter with a well-rounded skillset, but Gauge Young possesses significant knockout power and higher striking accuracy, making him a dangerous underdog. While Elder has shown he can finish fights, Young's primary path to victory is a powerful strike that could end the night early. Given the odds and Young's finishing ability, there is value in picking the underdog.
Prediction: Gauge Young to win (+165).
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