Kingpin analysis
EASY EASY Money on this Over/Under Cubs vs Yankees 9/6

EASY EASY Money on this Over/Under Cubs vs Yankees 9/6
Read our expert over/under pick for the Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees game on September 6. Get the latest odds, betting trends, and in-depth team analysis.
Game Summary
The Chicago Cubs are set to take on the New York Yankees on September 6 at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. This matchup sees two teams with different trajectories heading into the final stretch of the regular season. The Cubs enter this game with an overall record of 72-68, striving for a playoff spot in a competitive National League Central. The Yankees, with a solid 80-60 record, are fighting for a top position in the American League East and looking to secure their postseason chances.
The Cubs have shown resilience on their home turf, boasting a 37-31 record at Wrigley Field this season. However, they have had their struggles against teams with strong pitching. Their recent form includes a mixed bag of results, with some key victories followed by disappointing losses. The Cubs are currently positioned in the middle of the pack in the National League, and every game counts as they look to secure a wildcard spot.
On the other hand, the New York Yankees are in a strong position as they approach the playoffs. Their away record of 43-29 demonstrates their ability to perform under pressure, and they have been consistent in their offensive output, ranking second in the league for runs scored with 714 total runs this season. The Yankees' offense is led by superstar Aaron Judge, who is having an MVP-caliber season with a batting average of .323 and 51 home runs.
This matchup is particularly intriguing as it features two starting pitchers with contrasting styles. Jordan Wicks (Cubs), with a 3.82 ERA, will be aiming to limit the Yankees' potent lineup, while Luis Gil (Yankees), holding a 3.39 ERA, is looking to capitalize on the Cubs' recent inconsistencies at the plate. The game promises to be a thrilling encounter as both teams vie for crucial wins in their respective playoff races.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs Moneyline | +122 |
| New York Yankees Moneyline | -144 |
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| Chicago Cubs Spread | +1.5 |
| New York Yankees Spread | -1.5 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Wicks (CHC) | 2-2 | 3.82 | 1.36 | 33.0 | 35 | 32 | 10 | 2 |
| Luis Gil (NYY) | 12-6 | 3.39 | 1.20 | 124.2 | 83 | 144 | 66 | 12 |
Team Previews
Chicago Cubs
The Chicago Cubs have had a solid offensive season, ranking 12th in the league with 641 runs. Their batting average of .241 puts them in 17th place, indicating room for improvement in consistency at the plate. Seiya Suzuki leads the team with a .277 batting average, while Ian Happ has been a key contributor with 23 home runs and 81 RBIs this season. The Cubs' pitching staff has been fairly reliable, with a team ERA of 3.78, placing them in 7th in the league.
Defensively, the Cubs have been average, with 70 errors ranking them 21st overall. However, their relief pitching has been a bright spot, with 31 saves, good for 24th in the league. As they approach this crucial game against a formidable opponent, the health of their pitching staff is a concern, with Justin Steele nursing an elbow injury that will keep him out until at least September 20.
New York Yankees
The New York Yankees have been one of the top offensive teams in Major League Baseball this season, ranking 2nd overall with 714 runs scored and a team batting average of .252, placing them 9th. Aaron Judge has been the centerpiece of their lineup, hitting 51 home runs while driving in 124 RBIs. The Yankees' pitching staff has also been impressive, with a team ERA of 3.88, 9th in the league, led by Luis Gil's strong performance this season.
Despite a few recent struggles, the Yankees have managed to maintain their winning record, and their depth in both hitting and pitching gives them a significant advantage in this matchup. Their relief pitching has been solid as well, with 37 saves, ranking 8th in the league. The health of their bullpen is critical as they head into the playoffs, and the Yankees will look to secure a victory on the road against the Cubs.
Team Injuries
Chicago Cubs
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Lopez | RP | Groin | Expected to be out until at least Sep 18 |
| Justin Steele | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Sep 20 |
New York Yankees
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Poteet | SP | Triceps | Expected to be out until at least Sep 6 |
| Lou Trivino | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Sep 6 |
Betting Trends
- The Cubs are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
- The Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
- The total has gone over in 5 of the Cubs' last 6 games against teams with winning records.
- The Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- The total has gone under in 4 of the Yankees' last 5 games against the Cubs.
Recent Games
Chicago Cubs
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Cincinnati | L7-1 | L |
| @ Cincinnati | L6-3 | L |
| @ Cincinnati | W13-4 | W |
| @ St. Louis | L1-0 | L |
| vs Minnesota | W7-3 | W |
New York Yankees
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Texas | W8-4 | W |
| @ Texas | L7-4 | L |
| @ Texas | L10-6 | L |
| vs St. Louis | W6-3 | W |
| vs St. Louis | L6-5 | L |
Team Rankings
| Category | Chicago Cubs | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 12th | 2nd |
| Starting Pitching | 9th | 5th |
| Relief Pitching | 24th | 8th |
| Fielding | 21st | 7th |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Cubs are 4-1 in their last five games at home.
- The Yankees are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
- The total has gone over in 4 of the Cubs' last 5 games.
- The Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 games against the Cubs.
- Cubs' last 10 games have averaged 9.2 runs per game.
- Yankees have scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 10 games.
- The Cubs are 3-7 in their last 10 games against AL teams.
- The Yankees are 6-3 in their last 9 interleague games.
- Chicago is 2-5 in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record.
- The Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record.
Weather
The weather at Wrigley Field on game day is expected to be sunny with a temperature of 77°F, making for ideal baseball conditions.
Prediction
Given the offensive power of the Yankees, coupled with the recent struggles of the Cubs' pitching staff, it’s reasonable to expect a high-scoring game. The Yankees have been scoring prolifically and with their solid starting pitcher in Luis Gil, they should be able to limit the damage from the Cubs' lineup. The over/under is set at 8.5, and considering both teams' recent performances, I believe the total runs will exceed this mark.
Pick: Over 8.5 runs
Kingpin PRO
Follow ranked bettors with tracked cards
This article is free analysis. PRO unlocks today’s verified bettor inventory and alerts.
Simulated results. Entertainment only. Gambling involves risk.Methodology and disclosure
Historical Kingpin articles preserve original body copy, authors, and publication dates. Structured pick or odds modules appear only when the source article provides them.
Kingpin PRO
Continue with Kingpin PRO
Transparent simulated records. Entertainment only.
Simulated results. Entertainment only. Gambling involves risk.Simulated results for entertainment. Gambling involves risk. Bet only where legal.