MLB Player Props Bet Advice: Cubs vs Reds 7/29

MLB Player Props Bet Advice: Cubs vs Reds 7/29

Photo Credit: © Peter Aiken-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Chicago Cubs will be taking on the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio, on July 29th. Both teams have had a mixed season so far and are looking to gain ground in the National League standings. The Cubs, with a 50-55 record, are slightly behind the Reds, who hold a 51-56 record. The Cubs have been struggling as of late, losing five of their last ten games. The Reds are similarly inconsistent, also losing five of their last ten.

Historically, these two teams have had competitive matchups, making it an exciting game to bet on. The Cubs are coming off a series win against the Kansas City Royals, while the Reds split their series against the Tampa Bay Rays. This game will be crucial for both teams as they aim to improve their mid-table standings.

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Player Prop Odds

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• Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +311 / Under -504
• Batter Hits (0.5): Over -199 / Under +143
• Batter Home Runs (0.5): Over +390
• Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +136 / Under -189
• Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over -111 / Under -123
• Batter Singles (0.5): Over +133 / Under -184
• Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over +116 / Under -160

Player Analysis

Ian Happ has been one of the standout performers for the Cubs this season. With a batting average of .268, he leads the team in home runs (16) and RBIs (60). Happ has been a consistent force in the lineup, providing the Cubs with much-needed power and run production. Over his last ten games, Happ has maintained a solid batting average and has managed to get on base frequently. His performance will be crucial for the Cubs, especially against a tough Reds pitching staff.

Opposing Analysis

The Reds will be sending Carson Spiers to the mound. Spiers has a 3-2 record with a 3.83 ERA over 47 innings pitched. While Spiers has been decent, he has shown vulnerability against power hitters, which could play into Happ's strengths. The Reds' bullpen has also been shaky, which could provide additional opportunities for Happ to capitalize later in the game.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Jameson Taillon (Cubs)	7-5	2.96	78
Carson Spiers (Reds)	3-2	3.83	41

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Team Previews

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs have been struggling offensively, ranking 28th in hits with a .228 batting average. Despite their struggles, they have been able to generate runs, ranking 15th in the league. Their pitching staff has been a bright spot, with a team ERA of 3.83, ranking 11th. Their defense has also been solid, committing only 65 errors, the fourth fewest in the league.

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds have been slightly better offensively, ranking 22nd in hits and 24th in batting average. Their pitching has been more consistent, with a team ERA of 3.72, ranking sixth. The Reds' defense has been average, with 53 errors, ranking 19th.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Caleb Kilian	RP	Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 (Shoulder)

Player	Position	Injury Status
Peyton Burdick	RF	Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 (Undisclosed)
Luke Maile	C	Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 (Back)
Carson Spiers	SP	Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 (Shoulder)

Recent Games

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Chicago Cubs

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Arizona	2-5	L
vs Arizona	0-3	L
vs Arizona	2-1	W
vs Milwaukee	3-1	W
vs Milwaukee	0-1	L

Cincinnati Reds

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Washington	5-8	L
@ Washington	4-5	L
@ Washington	2-5	L
@ Atlanta	4-1	W
@ Atlanta	Postponed	Postponed

Prediction

Given Ian Happ's current form and the vulnerabilities in the Reds' pitching staff, especially against power hitters, a safe bet would be to take the Over on Happ's total bases (1.5). The odds for Over are +116, indicating good value for bettors. Additionally, considering the Reds' bullpen struggles, betting on Happ to achieve over 0.5 RBIs (+136) also presents an appealing option.

Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (+116)

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