Kingpin analysis

Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates Spread Prediction 8/27

Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates Spread Prediction 8/27

Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates Spread Prediction 8/27

Read our expert spread pick for the Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates game today. Get the latest odds, betting trends, and in-depth team analysis.


Game Summary

The Chicago Cubs are set to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates on August 27 at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. This matchup features two teams with contrasting records as the Cubs sit at 62-69 while the Pirates are slightly better at 66-66. Both teams have struggled this season, but they have shown flashes of potential that could lead to intriguing games down the stretch. The Cubs have been inconsistent, recently suffering a string of losses, while the Pirates have managed to maintain a .500 record despite some ups and downs.

In their last matchup, the Cubs faced the Pirates and ended up losing 18-8, showcasing some defensive woes and inconsistencies in pitching. The teams have a storied rivalry, with the Pirates often proving to be tough opponents at home. The Cubs will be looking to turn things around, especially with the pitching matchup favoring them slightly on paper.

Pitching for the Cubs will be Jared Jones, who has a record of 5-6 and an ERA of 3.56. He has shown promise but has struggled with consistency, having allowed 12 home runs this season. On the other side, the Pirates will counter with Justin Steele, boasting a 4-5 record and a stellar 3.07 ERA. Steele's ability to limit runs will be crucial for the Pirates as they look to capitalize on their home-field advantage.

As both teams head into this game, the focus will be on scoring runs efficiently. The Cubs' offense has been average this season, ranking 23rd in runs scored, while the Pirates have fared slightly better, ranking 15th. The outcome of this game could hinge on which team’s pitching staff can hold the opposing offense in check, making this an interesting matchup for bettors.


Odds and Betting Lines

Bet Type Odds
Over/Under N/A
Spreads Chicago Cubs -1.5 / Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
Moneyline Chicago Cubs +118 / Pittsburgh Pirates -142

Pitching Probables

Pitcher W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
Justin Steele (PIT) 4-5 3.07 1.07 123.0 99 125 32 11
Jared Jones (CHC) 5-6 3.56 1.11 91.0 74 98 27 12

Team Previews

Chicago Cubs

The Chicago Cubs have had a rough season, sitting with a record of 62-69. Their batting average is .235, ranking them 23rd in the league, and they have scored 545 runs this season. The Cubs' pitching staff has a collective ERA of 4.04, which ranks them 15th overall. Jared Jones, their starting pitcher for this game, has been a bright spot but has also had his challenges with consistency.

In recent games, the Cubs have struggled to find their rhythm, losing critical matchups. Their relief pitching has been hit-or-miss, which may be a concern if the game is tight late. Additionally, they are dealing with key injuries, with Jordan Wicks out with an oblique injury.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates have fought hard to maintain a .500 record at 66-66. Their offense has been slightly better than the Cubs', with a batting average of .238 and a total of 577 runs scored. The Pirates' pitching staff has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.75, ranking 7th in the league. Justin Steele is having a strong season, and his ability to limit runs could be crucial in this matchup.

However, the Pirates will miss a few key players today, including Andrew McCutchen and Ke'Bryan Hayes, which could impact their offensive production. Their recent form shows they can compete, but consistency remains a concern.


Team Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Jordan Wicks SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 4

Pittsburgh Pirates

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Andrew McCutchen DH Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
Joey Bart C Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
Colin Holderman RP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Aug 30

Betting Trends

  • The Cubs are 62-69 against the spread this season.
  • The Pirates are 74-56 against the spread this season.
  • Cubs have struggled on the road, posting a 30-35 record.
  • Pirates have been solid at home with a 36-29 record.

Recent Games

Chicago Cubs Recent Games

Opponent Score W/L
@ Chicago L6-3 L
@ Chicago W7-6 W
vs Minnesota W8-2 W
vs Minnesota W7-3 W
vs Minnesota L3-0 L

Pittsburgh Pirates Recent Games

Opponent Score W/L
@ Los Angeles L4-1 L
@ Los Angeles L6-5 L
@ Los Angeles L9-5 L
vs Cincinnati W4-3 W
vs Cincinnati L10-2 L

Team Rankings

Category Chicago Cubs Pittsburgh Pirates
Hitting 23rd 20th
Starting Pitching 15th 7th
Relief Pitching Tied-14th Tied-22nd
Fielding Tied-14th Tied-23rd

Significant Betting Stats

  • The Cubs are 9-21 in their last 30 games against the spread.
  • The Pirates have a solid home record of 36-29 against the spread.
  • Chicago is 5-15 in their last 20 games overall.
  • Pittsburgh is 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
  • The total has gone over in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games.
  • Pittsburgh is 7-3 in their last 10 games against a right-handed starter.
  • The Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 road games.
  • The Pirates are 7-3 in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record.
  • In the last 10 meetings, the Cubs are 3-7 against the spread.
  • The total has gone over in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these teams.

Weather

The weather for the game is expected to be sunny with a temperature of 86°F, providing ideal conditions for baseball.


Prediction

Considering the current form of both teams and the starting pitchers, the Pirates have a slight edge playing at home with their recent record. The Cubs have struggled on the road, and their inconsistent pitching could be a significant factor. The Pirates, with their solid ERA and performance at home, should cover the spread.

Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5


Photo Credit: nan

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Historical Kingpin articles preserve original body copy, authors, and publication dates. Structured pick or odds modules appear only when the source article provides them.

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