Kingpin analysis

Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates Over/Under Prediction 8/28

Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates Over/Under Prediction 8/28

Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates Over/Under Prediction 8/28

Read our expert over/under prediction for the Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates game on August 28. Get the latest odds, betting trends, and in-depth team analysis.


Game Summary

The Chicago Cubs are set to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates on August 28 at the historic PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. This matchup is crucial for both teams as they look to improve their standings in the National League. The Cubs come into this game with a record of 62-70, while the Pirates are slightly better at 67-66. The Cubs have struggled this season, particularly on the road, where they hold a 30-35 record. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with key losses affecting their momentum.

On the other hand, the Pirates have shown resilience, particularly at home with a 36-29 record. They have been battling for a playoff spot and every game counts. A victory against the Cubs could provide a significant boost to their postseason aspirations. Historically, these two teams have had a competitive rivalry, with games often being closely contested. The Pirates will look to leverage their home-field advantage, while the Cubs will be aiming to turn around their fortunes and find consistency in their performance.

The starting pitchers for this matchup are Paul Skenes for the Cubs and Kyle Hendricks for the Pirates. Skenes has been impressive this season with a record of 8-2 and an ERA of 2.16, making him a formidable opponent. Hendricks, however, has had a challenging season with a record of 3-10 and an ERA of 6.33, which raises concerns about his ability to contain the Cubs’ offense.

As both teams prepare for this critical clash, the betting community is keenly watching the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. With the Cubs’ recent struggles at the plate and the Pirates’ inconsistent hitting, this matchup is expected to be a defensive showdown, but with the potential for offensive fireworks given the right circumstances.


Odds and Betting Lines

Bet Type Odds
Over 7.5 -118
Under 7.5 -102

Pitching Probables

Pitcher W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
K. Hendricks (PIT) 3-10 6.33 1.45 101.0 117 67 29 19
P. Skenes (CHC) 8-2 2.16 0.94 104.0 73 130 25 10

Team Previews

Chicago Cubs

The Chicago Cubs have had a rocky season overall, with an overall record of 62-70. Their hitting has been mediocre, ranking 23rd in the league with an average of .235 and only 545 runs scored, placing them 23rd as well. The pitching staff has been slightly better, with a 4.04 ERA, ranking them 15th in the league. Paul Skenes has emerged as a bright spot for the Cubs, showcasing his talent with a solid ERA of 2.16 and a strong WHIP of 0.94. He has been effective in striking out batters, accumulating 130 strikeouts in just 104 innings pitched.

Despite Skenes' success, the Cubs have been plagued by inconsistency in their lineup. Key players such as Bryan Reynolds, who leads the team with a .279 batting average, 20 home runs, and 72 RBIs, have had to carry the load. However, the team has suffered from injuries and lack of offensive support at critical times.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pittsburgh Pirates have shown resilience this season with a record of 67-66. Their offense has been slightly more productive than the Cubs, ranking 15th in runs scored with 577 and a batting average of .238. However, their pitching staff is the standout aspect of their game, boasting a 3.75 ERA, ranking 7th in the league. Kyle Hendricks has struggled significantly this season, with an ERA of 6.33 and a record of 3-10. His inability to keep runners from reaching base has been a major concern.

Despite Hendricks’ struggles, the Pirates have relied on their bullpen and key performances from players like Seiya Suzuki, who leads the team with a .276 batting average and 23 home runs. The combination of solid hitting and a strong bullpen gives the Pirates a fighting chance in this matchup.


Team Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
J. Merryweather RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 10

Pittsburgh Pirates

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
M. Gonzales SP Forearm Out for the season

Betting Trends

  • The Cubs are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
  • The Pirates are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
  • The total has gone under in 4 out of the last 5 Cubs games.
  • The total has gone over in 6 out of the last 8 Pirates games.
  • The Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 against the Pirates.

Recent Games

Chicago Cubs

Opponent Score W/L
@ Cincinnati L7-1 Loss
@ Cincinnati L6-3 Loss
@ Cincinnati W13-4 Win
vs St. Louis W5-4 Win
vs St. Louis W6-3 Win

Pittsburgh Pirates

Opponent Score W/L
vs Chicago L18-8 Loss
vs Chicago L9-5 Loss
@ Texas L4-3 Loss
@ Texas W4-0 Win
vs Cincinnati W7-0 Win

Team Rankings

Team Hitting Starting Pitching Relief Pitching Fielding
Chicago Cubs 23rd 15th Tied-14th Tied-14th
Pittsburgh Pirates 20th 7th Tied-22nd Tied-23rd

Significant Betting Stats

  • Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 meetings with the Pirates.
  • The total has gone under in 4 of the Cubs’ last 5 games.
  • Pirates are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
  • Pirates have won 4 of their last 5 home games.
  • Skenes has a 2.16 ERA, indicating strong pitching performance.
  • Hendricks has struggled with a 6.33 ERA this season.
  • The Cubs have a lower batting average than the Pirates.
  • The total has gone over in 6 of the Pirates' last 8 games.
  • Bullpen performance favors Pirates in close games.
  • Weather conditions are favorable for scoring, with mild temperatures expected.

Weather

Weather on game day is expected to be around 78°F with intermittent clouds, providing a good atmosphere for baseball.


Prediction

Considering the performances of both starting pitchers, particularly Skenes' impressive form and Hendricks' struggles, the expectation is that the Cubs will be able to score runs against Hendricks. Additionally, the Pirates' offense has shown signs of life recently, which supports the notion of a high-scoring game. Therefore, we recommend taking the over for this matchup.

Pick: Over 7.5 runs

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Methodology and disclosure

Historical Kingpin articles preserve original body copy, authors, and publication dates. Structured pick or odds modules appear only when the source article provides them.

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