Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, Pick and Preview, Jun 26 (6/26): NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, Pick and Preview, Jun 26 (6/26): NHL

Credit: photo by Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 8:00 p.m. EST
Lightning money line +100
Lightning spread +1.5 (-245)
Avalanche money line -120
Avalanche spread -1.5 (+205)
Over / under 6
 

2021-2022 season stats

  Tampa Bay Lightning Colorado Avalanche
Record 65-39 71-30
Road  / home record 35-16 32-18
Streak W1 L1
Goals per game 3.48 3.76
Goals allowed per game 2.78 2.83
Shots per game 30.9 35.0
Shots allowed per game 29.8 32.0
PP % 23.9% 24.00%
PK % 18.83% 20.88%
Over / under record 53-49-2 54-42-5

 

Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning and the Colorado Avalanche will meet again at the Ball Arena in Denver, CO to play the Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Finals. The Lightning took the win 3-2 in Game 5 at Denver to stay alive on the series.

Tampa Bay Lightning

The Lightning have lost 3 of their last 5 games and are 35-16 at home with a 65-39 record overall ranking 3rd in the Atlantic Division. The Lightning are 24-10-3 against Western conference rivals. Tampa Bay have a +61 scoring differential, with 296 total goals scored and 235 given up.

Steven Stamkos has scored 43 goals with 65 assists for the Lightning. Corey Perry has 3 goals and 3 assists over the past 10 games.

In their last 10 games the Lightning are 6-4, averaging 2.7 goals, 5.5 assists, 4.8 penalties and 13.1 penalty minutes while giving up 3 goals per game.

Colorado Avalanche

Colorado have won 8 of their last 10 games and are 32-18 on the road. They have 71-30 overall record ranking 1st in the Central Division. The Avalanche are 25-10-2 against Eastern conference rivals. Colorado averages 8.8 penalty minutes per game, the ninth-most in the Western Conference and have gone 59-4-4 when scoring three or more goals.

Mikko Rantanen has 36 goals and 56 assists for the Avalanche. Lehkonen has 4 goals and 5 assists over the last 10 games.

In their last 10 games the Avalanche are 8-2, averaging 4.5 goals, 6.3 assists, four penalties and 10.2 penalty minutes while giving up 3.1 goals per game.

BETTING TRENDS

Colorado are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Tampa Bay.

Colorado are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games against Colorado.

Tampa Bay are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games at home.

Prediction

The Bolts are still alive on the series but they need to win other 2 games in a row to win the Stanley Cup which is very complicated with the best team of the league in front. The Avs have won 8 of their last 9 games on the road and haven't lost 2 in a row on the playoffs. They already beat the Lightning in Tampa so I expect them to bounce back and win this game. Take the Avalanche.  

PICK: Avalanche ML (-120)

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