Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 15 (10/15): MLB

Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 15 (10/15): MLB

 

Odds

Time 4:07 p.m. EST
Mariners money line -110
Mariners run line +1.5 (-230)
Astros money line -110
Astros run line -1.5 (+190)
Over / under 7

 

Key stats

  Seattle Mariners  Houston Astros
Record 92-74 108-56
Home / road record 46-39 57-26
Last 10 record 6-4 7-3
Streak L2 W4
Over / under record 77-81-8 61-92-11
Runs / game 4.29 4.55
Runs allowed / game 3.85 3.23

 

Preview

The Houston Astros and the Seattle Mariners will play the 3rd game of the American League Divisional Series at the Minute Maid Park on Saturday. The Astros beat the Mariners again in the second game of the series 4-2 and are one win away from the ALCS. Alvarez did it again as he smashed a two-run homer in the sixth inning that lifted the Astros to the win.

 

Seattle Mariners

The Mariners get here with a 92-74 record and have won 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.29 runs per game. They're batting for .230 AVG, 690 runs scored in 1237 hits and 197 home runs, ranking #17 in offense in the league, behind the Tampa Bay Rays. Eugenio Suarez leads with 87 RBI and 31 home runs and batting for .229 avg. Ty France has the best batting average with .278.

Defensively are allowing 3.85 runs per game, ranking #7 in the league. Logan Gilbert leads the team with 13 wins and pitching for a 3.20 ERA and 174 strikeouts.

Probable Pitcher:

George Kirby (8-5, 3.39 ERA) will be on the mound for the Mariners in the 3rd game of the series. Kirby took the loss against Detroit on Monday, allowing four runs on six hits and three walks while striking out five batters over four innings. He has given up 2 runs on 4 hits with 1 walk and 7 strikeouts in 4 innings against the Astros in his career.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 108-56 record and have won 6 of their last 7 games. They're averaging 4.55 runs and batting for .246 AVG, 737 runs scored in 1341 hits and 214 home runs, ranking #8 in offense in the league behind the Seattle Mariners. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .304 avg with 37 home runs and 97 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.23 runs per game and ranking #2 in the league. Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 1.75 ERA, 185 strikeouts and 18 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher: Lance McCullers Jr. (4-2, 2.27 ERA)

McCullers will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Astros. McCullers took the loss Monday, allowing one run on six hits and one walk over six innings against the Phillies. He struck out five. He has a record of 10-3 with an ERA of 2.80 and 120 strikeouts in 18 appearances against the Mariners in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Houston are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games.

Houston are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games against Seattle.

Houston are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games.

Seattle are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Mariners couldn't do much against Valdez and the Astros bullpen who held them to only 2 runs in the game and they'll now have to face Lance McCullers who has been pretty solid since his return and has dominated them in his career. Geroge Kirby will start for the Mariners who has been up and down this season and was pounded in his last start with 4 runs in 6 hits against one of the weakest offenses in the league, the Tigers. The Astros are on another level and the Mariners are no rivals for them so go with the Astros for the sweep.

PICK: Astros ML (-110)

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