New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 23 (10/23): MLB

New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 23 (10/23): MLB

Odds

Time 7:07 p.m. EST
Yankees money line -122
Yankees run line -1.5 (+175)
Astros money line +102
Astros run line +1.5 (-210)
Over / under 6.5

 

Key stats

  New York Yankees  Houston Astros
Record 102-68 112-56
Home / road record 59-26 53-30
Last 10 record 4-6 9-1
Streak L3 W8
Over / under record 77-87-6 61-96-11
Runs / game 4.98 4.55
Runs allowed / game 3.50 3.23

 

Preview

The Houston Astros and the New York Yankees will meet again at the Yankee Stadium to play the 4th game of the ALCS on Saturday. The Astros took the win again 5-0 in Game 3 to take the lead 3-0 on the series and are one win away from the World Series. 

 

New York Yankees

The Yankees get here with a 102-68 record and have lost 5 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.98 runs per game. They're batting for .241 AVG, 807 runs scored in 1308 hits and 254 home runs, ranking #2 in offense in the league, behind the LA Dodgers. Aaron Judge leads the team and is batting for .315 with 62 home runs and 131 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.50 runs per game and rank #3 in the league. Gerrit Cole leads the pitching staff with a 3.50 ERA, 257 strikeouts and 13 wins recorded with the Yanks.

Probable Pitcher:  Nestor Cortes (13-4, 2.46 ERA)

Cortes will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Yankees. Cortes pitched 5.1 strong innings allowing only 1 run against the Guardians. He has has a record of 1-1 with an ERA of 8.04 and 13 strikeouts in 6 appearances against the Astros in his career.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 112-56 record and have won 9 of their last 10 games. They're averaging 4.55 runs and batting for .246 AVG, 737 runs scored in 1341 hits and 214 home runs, ranking #8 in offense in the league behind the Seattle Mariners. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .304 avg with 37 home runs and 97 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.23 runs per game and ranking #2 in the league. Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 1.75 ERA, 185 strikeouts and 18 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher: Lance McCullers (4-2, 2.27 ERA)

McCullers will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Astros. The right-hander pitched Game 3 of the ALDS and fired six scoreless frames against the Mariners. He is 2-0 with an ERA of 2.97 and 36 strikeouts in 5 appearances versus the Yankees in his career.r.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Houston are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games.

Houston are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games against NY Yankees.

Houston are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games on the road.

Houston are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees.

NY Yankees are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees' last 6 games against Houston.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees' last 5 games at home.

NY Yankees are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Houston.

 

Prediction

The Astros continue to dominate the Yankees beating them in the last 6 meetings and are just one win away from eliminate them. Lance McCullers will take the mound for this game who has been pretty solid lately and has allowed only 1 run in his last 2 starts but hasn't faced the Yankees since last season. Nestor Cortes will start for the Yanks who has also been solid this season but allowed 3 runs against the Astros the last time he faced them. The Yankees offense has been dominated by the Astros bullpen and with Cortes starting for the bombers I expect another low scoring game. Take the under.

PICK: Under 6.5 (-110)

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