New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 16 (7/16): MLB

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 16 (7/16): MLB

Credit: photo by Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:15 p.m. EST
Yankees money line -160
Yankees run line -1.5 (+125)
Red Sox money line +134
Red Sox run line +1.5 (-145)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  New York Yankees  Boston Red Sox
Record 62-28 48-43
Home / road record 35-12 25-23
Last 10 record 4-6 3-7
Streak L2 W1
Over / under record 42-45-3 39-43-9
Runs / game 5.24 4.69
Runs allowed / game 3.26 4.23

 

Preview

The Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees will play the 2nd game of the series at the Yankee Stadium on Saturday. The Red Sox took the win 5-4 in extra innings in the first game of the series. These teams are tied 4-4 this season.

New York Yankees

The Yankees get here with a 62-28 record and have lost 5 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 5.24 runs per game. They're batting for .243 AVG, 466 runs scored in 721 hits and 150 home runs, ranking #1 in offense in the league. Aaron Judge leads the team and is batting for .278 with 31 home runs and 66 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.2 runs per game and rank #1 in the league. Nestor Cortes allowed 4 runs against the Red Sox and still leads the pitching staff with a 2.74 ERA, 95 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded with the Yanks.

Probable Pitcher:  Jameson Taillon (9-2, 4.01 ERA)

Taillon will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for New York. Taillon took a no-decision in Sunday's 11-6 loss to Boston, allowing six runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out three batters in five innings. He is 2-0 with an ERA of 3.03 and 19 strikeouts in 5 appearances versus the Red Sox in his career.

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox get here with a 48-42 record and have lost 4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.7 runs per game. They're batting for .259 AVG, 422 runs scored in 805 hits and 86 home runs, ranking #6 in offense in the league, behind the Atlanta Braves. Rafael Devers is leading the team with 20 home runs and 52 RBI, batting for .327 AVG while Trevor Story leads in RBI's with 58. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.23 runs per game and rank #15 in the league. Nick Pivetta leads the team with 8 wins recorded with a 4.08 ERA and 100 strikeouts.

Probable Pitcher:  Nick Pivetta (8-6, 4.08 ERA)

Pivetta will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Red Sox. Pivetta, who allowed six runs on eight hits and two walks with five strikeouts in 3.1 innings against the Yankees on Sunday, did not factor into the decision. He has a record of 0-2 with an ERA of 8.50 and 19 strikeouts in 5 appearances versus the Yankees in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Boston Red Sox are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games on the road.

Boston Red Sox are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees' last 5 games against Boston.

NY Yankees are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games at home.

Prediction

The Yankees have struggled to win games lately but the offense is still responding well and they'll face Nick Pivetta on this game who already lost against the Yanks this season and has allowed 10 runs in his last 9 innings against them. Jameson Taillon will start for the bombers and he has been pounded lately including his last start against the Red Sox where he allowed 6 runs in 5 innings. Expect both offenses to stay hot and the best play for this game is the over.

PICK: Over 8.5 (-110)

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