Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 12 (8/12): MLB
- Lm Tipster
- Aug 11, 2022, 11:29:20 PM
Credit: photo by Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports
Odds
| Time | 6:40 p.m. EST |
| Braves money line | -155 |
| Braves run line | -1.5 (+105) |
| Marlins money line | -130 |
| Marlins run line | +1.5 (-125) |
| Over / under | 7.5 |
Key stats
| Atlanta Braves | Miami Marlins | |
| Record | 66-46 | 50-61 |
| Road / home record | 29-24 | 23-28 |
| Last 10 record | 5-5 | 3-7 |
| Streak | W2 | W1 |
| Over / under record | 58-49-5 | 50-58-3 |
| Runs / game | 4.81 | 3.81 |
| Runs allowed / game | 4.04 | 4.17 |
Preview
The Miami Marlins and the Atlanta Braves will meet again to play a 4-game series at the loanDepot park. The Marlins lost their last series against the Phillies while the Braves beat the Boston Red Sox. The Braves have won 5 of the 9 head to head games vs Marlins this season.
Atlanta Braves
The Braves get here with a 66-46 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.81 runs per game. They're batting for .250 AVG, 539 runs scored in 955 hits and 170 home runs, ranking #4 in offense in the league behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Austin Riley is leading the team with 30 home runs and 74 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .300.
Defensively they are allowing 4.04 runs per game and rank #8 in the league. Max Fried leads the pitching staff with a 2.60 ERA, 127 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded with the Braves.
Probable Pitcher: Jake Odorizzi (4-4, 3.76 ERA)
Odorizzi will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for Atlanta. Odorizzi took the loss in his Atlanta debut in Game 1 of a doubleheader Saturday with the Mets. He struck out four over 4.2 innings and was charged with three runs (two earned) on six hits and three walks. He has a 3-1 record with an ERA of 3.41 and 35 strikeouts in 6 appearances versus the Marlins in his career.
Miami Marlins
The Marlins get here with a 50-61 record and have lost 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 3.81 runs per game. They're batting for .236 AVG, have 419 runs scored in 867 hits and 101 home runs, ranking #26 in offense in the league behind the Los Angeles Angels. Jazz Chisholm Jr leads with 14 home runs, 45 RBI. Garret Cooper is batting for an average of .274.
Defensively they are allowing 4.17 runs per game and rank #12 in the league. Sandy Alcantara is leading the team with a 2.01 ERA, 145 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded.
Probable Pitcher: Pablo Lopez (7-7, 3.57 ERA)
Lopez will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Marlins. Lopez took the loss Saturday, allowing four runs on nine hits and two walks over five innings against the Cubs. He struck out six. He is 3-6 with an ERA of 5.70 and 60 strikeouts in 12 appearances against the Braves in his career.
BETTING TRENDS
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Atlanta's last 13 games on the road.
Atlanta are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami.
Miami Marlins are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games.
Miami Marlins are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games at home.
Prediction
The Marlins have struggled offensively as they are averaging 1.9 runs per game in their last 10 games and have lost 9 of their last 10 games at home. Pablo Lopez will take the mound for the Marlins who has struggled in his last 2 starts allowing 10 runs across 7.2 innings and has a 5.70 ERA vs Braves in his career. The Braves offense exploded against the Red Sox scoring 17 runs in 2 games. They'll send Jake Odorizzi to the mound who has a good debut with the Braves although he lost to the Mets. With Lopez struggling I think the Braves batters will stay hot and win this game. Take the Braves.
PICK: Braves ML (-155)
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